The Connection between Energy Consumption, Carbon Emission and Economic Growth: Evidence from Panel Causality Testing
Year 2022,
Volume: 3 Issue: 1, 9 - 14, 07.03.2022
Ayşegül Han
,
Şeyma Şahin Kutlu
,
Ceren Pehlivan
Abstract
Growth-oriented economic policies in developing economies cause some environmental problems. Energy consumption is increasing day by day, and this increase brings with it an increase in CO2 emissions. This situation is in the BRICS-T countries, which have recently seen a severe upward trend in growth rates. In this study, the relationship between energy consumption, CO2 emissions and economic growth in BRICS-T countries was investigated by panel analysis. As a result of the survey covering the years 1990-2018, it was determined that there is a bidirectional causality relationship between GDP per capita and CO2 emissions and a one-way causality relationship from GDP per capita to energy consumption per capita.
References
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- Akarca, A. T., & Long, T. V. (1980). On the Relationship Between Energy and GNP: A Reexamination. The Journal of Energy and Development, 326-331.
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- Ang, J. (2007). CO2 Emissions, Energy Consumption, and Output in France. Energy Policy, 10(35), 4772-4778.
- Apergis, N., & Öztürk, İ. (2015). Testing Environmental Kuznets Curve Hypothesis in Asian Countries. Ecological Indicators, 52(2015), 16–22.
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- Asumadu-Sarkodie, S., & Owusu, P.A. (2016). Carbon Dioxide Emission, Electricity Consumption, Industrialization, and Economic Growth Nexus: The Beninese Case. Energy Sources, Part B: Economics, Planning, and Policy, 11(11), 1089–1096.
- Atgür, M. (2021). Ekonomik Büyüme, Enerji Tüketimi ve Karbon Emisyonları İlişkisi: Çin Örneği. Afyon Kocatepe Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 23(1), 172-186.
- Aydın, C., Darıcı, B. & Şahin Kutlu, Ş. (2018). Ekolojik Ayakizi ile Reel Gelir Arasındaki İlişki: Panel Yumuşak Geçişli Regresyon Modelinden Kanıtlar. International Conference on Empirical Economics and Social Sciences (ICEESS’18), June 27-28, Bandırma-Turkey.
- Aydın, C., Darıcı, B., & Şahin Kutlu, Ş. (2019). Ekonomik Büyüme Çevre Kirliliğini Azaltır mı?, Anemon Muş Alparslan Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 7(2), 191–196.
- Brock, W. A., & Taylor, M.S. (2004). The Green Solow Model (Working Paper 10557). National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, MA.
- Dinda, S. (2004). Environment Kuznets Curve Hypothesis a Survey, Ecological Economics, 49, 431-455.
- Güvenek, B., & Alptekin, V. (2010). Enerji Tüketimi ve Büyüme İlişkisi: OECD Ülkelerine ilişkin bir Panel Veri Analizi. Enerji, Piyasa ve Düzenleme, 1(2), 172-193.
- Halıcıoğlu, F. (2009). An Econometric Study of CO2 Emissions, Energy Consumption, Income and Foreign Trade in Turkey. Energy Policy, 37, 1156–1164.
- Jalil, A., & Mahmud, S. F. (2009). Environment Kuznets Curve for CO2 Emissions: A Cointegration Analysis for China. Energy Policy, 37(12), 5167–5172.
- Kasperowicz, R. (2015). Economic Growth and CO2 Emissions: The ECM Analysis. Journal of International Studies, 3(8), 91-98.
- Konat, G., & Fendoğlu, E. (2021). Covid-19 Salgınının Makroekonomik Etkileri: Ekonometrik Bir Analiz. Covid 19 Pandemisinin İşletme ve Ekonomi Alanında Etkileri Seçme Yazılar içinde (s. 255-272), Ankara, Gazi Kitabevi.
- Kónya, L. (2006). Exports and Growth: Granger Causality Analysis on OECD Countries with a Panel Data Approach. Economic Modelling, 23, 978-992.
- Kraft, J., & Kraft, A. (1978). On the Relationship Between Energy and GNP, Journal of Energy and Development, 3, 401–403.
- Lean, H. H., & Smyth, R. (2010). CO2 Emissions, Electricity Consumption and Output in ASEAN, Applied Energy, 87, 1858–1864.
- Lee, C. C., Chiu, Y. B., & Sun, C. H. (2010). The Environmental Kuznets Curve Hypothesis for Water Pollution: Do Regions Matter?, Energy Policy, 38, 12–23.
- Magazzino, C. (2014). The Relationship Between CO2 Emissions, Energy Consumption and Economic Growth in Italy. International Journal of Sustainable Energy, 1–14.
- Magazzino, C. (2015). Economic Growth, CO2 Emissions and Energy Use in Israel. International Journal of Sustainable Development & World Ecology, 22, 89–97.
- Obradović, S., & Lojanica, N. (2017). Energy Use, CO2 Emissions and Economic Growth-Causality on a Sample of SEE Countries, Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja, 30(1), 511-526.
- Öztürk, İ., & Acaravcı, A. (2010). CO2 Emissions, Energy Consumption and Economic Growth in Turkey, Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 14, 3220–3225.
- Perman, R., & Stern, D. I. (2003). Evidence from Panel Unit Root and Cointegration Tests that the Environmental Kuznets Curve does not Exist. The Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, 47(3), 325–347.
- Pesaran, M. H., Ullah, A., & Yamagata T. (2008). A Bias-Adjusted LM Test of Error CrossSection Independence, Econometrics Journal, 11, 105-127.
- Saatçi, M., & Dumrul, Y. (2013). Elektrik Tüketimi ve Ekonomik Büyüme İlişkisinin Dinamik Bir Analizi: Türkiye Örneği, Uludağ Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, 32(2), 1-24.
- Saidi, K., & Hammami, S. (2015). The impact of CO2 emissions and economic growth on energy consumption in 58 countries, Energy Reports 1 (2015), 62–70.
- Sancar-Özkök, C., & Atay-Polat M. (2018). Co2 Emisyonu- Enerji Tüketimi ve Ekonomik Büyüme Arasındaki Nedensellik İlişkisi: G7 Ülkeleri Üzerine Ekonometrik Bir Analiz. UİİİD-IJEAS, 2018(21), 33-46.
- Sanglimsuwan, K. (2011). Carbon dioxide Emissions and Economic Growth: An Econometric Analysis. International Research Journal of Finance and Economics, 67, 97-102.
- Shiu, A., & Lum, P. L. (2003). Electricity Consumption and Economic growth in China. Energy Policy, 32(1): 47-54.
- Stern, D. (1993). Energy Use and Economic Growth in the USA a Multivariate Approach. Energy Economics 15, 137–150.
- Stern, D. (2004). The rise and fall of the environmental Kuznets curve, World Development 32, 1419–1439.
- Su, L., & Chen, Q. (2013). Testing Homogeneity in Panel Data Models with İnteractive Fixed Effects. Econometric Theory, 29(6), 1079-1135.
- Uçan, O., Arıcıoğlu, E., & Yücel, F. (2014). Energy Consumption and Economic Growth Nexus: Evidence from Developed Countries in Europe. International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, 3(4), 411-419.
- Usta, C., & Berber, M. (2017). Türkiye’de Enerji Tüketimi Ekonomik Büyüme İlişkisinin Sektörel Analizi. Ekonomik ve Sosyal Araştırmalar Dergisi, 13(1), 173-187.
- Jun, W., Mughal, N., Zhao, J., Shabbir, M.S., Niedbala, G., Jain, V., & Anwarf, A. (2021). Does Globalization Matter for Environmental Degradation? Nexus Among Energy Consumption, Economic Growth, and Carbon Dioxide Emission, Energy Policy 153, 1-8.
- Yuan, J-H, Zhao, C-H, Yu, S., & Hu, Z-G. (2007). Electricity Consumption and Economic Growth in China: Cointegration and Co-feature Analysis. Energy Economics, 29, 1179–1191.
- Zellner, A., (1962). An Efficient Method of Estimating Seemingly Unrelated Regression Equations and Tests of Aggregation Bias. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 57, 500-509.
- Zhang, X. P., & Cheng, X.M. (2009). Energy Consumption, Carbon Emissions and Economic Growth in China. Ecological Economics, 68(10), 2706-2712.
Enerji tüketimi, karbon emisyonu ve ekonomik büyüme ilişkisi: Panel nedensellik testinden kanıtlar
Year 2022,
Volume: 3 Issue: 1, 9 - 14, 07.03.2022
Ayşegül Han
,
Şeyma Şahin Kutlu
,
Ceren Pehlivan
Abstract
Gelişen ekonomik yapılarda büyüme odaklı yürütülen ekonomik politikalar birtakım çevresel sorunların yaşanmasına yol açmaktadır. Enerji tüketimi gün geçtikçe artmakta, bu artış beraberinde CO2 emisyonu artışını getirmektedir. Son dönemde büyüme oranlarında ciddi bir yükseliş eğiliminde olan BRICS-T ülkelerinde bu durum daha belirgin bir şekilde kendini göstermektedir. Bu çalışmada BRICS-T ülkelerinde enerji tüketimi, CO2 emisyonu ve ekonomik büyüme arasındaki ilişki panel analiziyle araştırılmıştır. 1990-2018 yıllarını kapsayan çalışmada yapılan analiz sonucunda kişi başına GSYH ile CO2 emisyonu arasında çift yönlü, kişi başına GSYH’dan kişi başı enerji tüketimine tek yönlü nedensellik ilişkisinin bulunduğu belirlenmiştir.
References
- Aitor, C. A., & Ainhoa, Z. A. (2007). Electricity Consumption and Economic Growth: Evidence from Spain. BILTOKI Series, 200701.
- Akarca, A. T., & Long, T. V. (1980). On the Relationship Between Energy and GNP: A Reexamination. The Journal of Energy and Development, 326-331.
- Altınay, G., & Karagöl E. (2004). Structural Break, Unit Root, and the Causality Between Energy Consumption and GDP in Turkey. Energy Economics, 26, 985-994.
- Ang, J. (2007). CO2 Emissions, Energy Consumption, and Output in France. Energy Policy, 10(35), 4772-4778.
- Apergis, N., & Öztürk, İ. (2015). Testing Environmental Kuznets Curve Hypothesis in Asian Countries. Ecological Indicators, 52(2015), 16–22.
- Apergis, N., & Payne, J. E. (2010). Renewable Energy Consumption and Growth in Eurasia. Energy Economics, 32(6), 1392-1397.
- Arı, A., & Zeren, F. (2011). CO2 Emisyonu ve Ekonomik Büyüme: Panel Veri Analizi. Yönetim ve Ekonomi, 18(2), 38-47.
- Arrow, K., Bolin, B., Costanza, R., Dasgupta, P., Folke, C., Holling, C.S., Jansson, B.-O., Levin, S., Mäler, K.-G., Perrings, C.A., & Pimentel, D. (1995). Economic Growth, Carrying Capacity, and the Environment. Ecological Economics, 15(2), 91-95.
- Artan, S., Hayaloğlu, P., & Seyhan, B. (2015). Türkiye’de Çevre Kirliliği, Dışa Açıklık ve Ekonomik Büyüme İlişkisi. Yönetim ve Ekonomi Araştırmaları Dergisi, 13(1), 308-325.
- Asumadu-Sarkodie, S., & Owusu, P.A. (2016). Carbon Dioxide Emission, Electricity Consumption, Industrialization, and Economic Growth Nexus: The Beninese Case. Energy Sources, Part B: Economics, Planning, and Policy, 11(11), 1089–1096.
- Atgür, M. (2021). Ekonomik Büyüme, Enerji Tüketimi ve Karbon Emisyonları İlişkisi: Çin Örneği. Afyon Kocatepe Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 23(1), 172-186.
- Aydın, C., Darıcı, B. & Şahin Kutlu, Ş. (2018). Ekolojik Ayakizi ile Reel Gelir Arasındaki İlişki: Panel Yumuşak Geçişli Regresyon Modelinden Kanıtlar. International Conference on Empirical Economics and Social Sciences (ICEESS’18), June 27-28, Bandırma-Turkey.
- Aydın, C., Darıcı, B., & Şahin Kutlu, Ş. (2019). Ekonomik Büyüme Çevre Kirliliğini Azaltır mı?, Anemon Muş Alparslan Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 7(2), 191–196.
- Brock, W. A., & Taylor, M.S. (2004). The Green Solow Model (Working Paper 10557). National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, MA.
- Dinda, S. (2004). Environment Kuznets Curve Hypothesis a Survey, Ecological Economics, 49, 431-455.
- Güvenek, B., & Alptekin, V. (2010). Enerji Tüketimi ve Büyüme İlişkisi: OECD Ülkelerine ilişkin bir Panel Veri Analizi. Enerji, Piyasa ve Düzenleme, 1(2), 172-193.
- Halıcıoğlu, F. (2009). An Econometric Study of CO2 Emissions, Energy Consumption, Income and Foreign Trade in Turkey. Energy Policy, 37, 1156–1164.
- Jalil, A., & Mahmud, S. F. (2009). Environment Kuznets Curve for CO2 Emissions: A Cointegration Analysis for China. Energy Policy, 37(12), 5167–5172.
- Kasperowicz, R. (2015). Economic Growth and CO2 Emissions: The ECM Analysis. Journal of International Studies, 3(8), 91-98.
- Konat, G., & Fendoğlu, E. (2021). Covid-19 Salgınının Makroekonomik Etkileri: Ekonometrik Bir Analiz. Covid 19 Pandemisinin İşletme ve Ekonomi Alanında Etkileri Seçme Yazılar içinde (s. 255-272), Ankara, Gazi Kitabevi.
- Kónya, L. (2006). Exports and Growth: Granger Causality Analysis on OECD Countries with a Panel Data Approach. Economic Modelling, 23, 978-992.
- Kraft, J., & Kraft, A. (1978). On the Relationship Between Energy and GNP, Journal of Energy and Development, 3, 401–403.
- Lean, H. H., & Smyth, R. (2010). CO2 Emissions, Electricity Consumption and Output in ASEAN, Applied Energy, 87, 1858–1864.
- Lee, C. C., Chiu, Y. B., & Sun, C. H. (2010). The Environmental Kuznets Curve Hypothesis for Water Pollution: Do Regions Matter?, Energy Policy, 38, 12–23.
- Magazzino, C. (2014). The Relationship Between CO2 Emissions, Energy Consumption and Economic Growth in Italy. International Journal of Sustainable Energy, 1–14.
- Magazzino, C. (2015). Economic Growth, CO2 Emissions and Energy Use in Israel. International Journal of Sustainable Development & World Ecology, 22, 89–97.
- Obradović, S., & Lojanica, N. (2017). Energy Use, CO2 Emissions and Economic Growth-Causality on a Sample of SEE Countries, Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja, 30(1), 511-526.
- Öztürk, İ., & Acaravcı, A. (2010). CO2 Emissions, Energy Consumption and Economic Growth in Turkey, Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 14, 3220–3225.
- Perman, R., & Stern, D. I. (2003). Evidence from Panel Unit Root and Cointegration Tests that the Environmental Kuznets Curve does not Exist. The Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, 47(3), 325–347.
- Pesaran, M. H., Ullah, A., & Yamagata T. (2008). A Bias-Adjusted LM Test of Error CrossSection Independence, Econometrics Journal, 11, 105-127.
- Saatçi, M., & Dumrul, Y. (2013). Elektrik Tüketimi ve Ekonomik Büyüme İlişkisinin Dinamik Bir Analizi: Türkiye Örneği, Uludağ Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, 32(2), 1-24.
- Saidi, K., & Hammami, S. (2015). The impact of CO2 emissions and economic growth on energy consumption in 58 countries, Energy Reports 1 (2015), 62–70.
- Sancar-Özkök, C., & Atay-Polat M. (2018). Co2 Emisyonu- Enerji Tüketimi ve Ekonomik Büyüme Arasındaki Nedensellik İlişkisi: G7 Ülkeleri Üzerine Ekonometrik Bir Analiz. UİİİD-IJEAS, 2018(21), 33-46.
- Sanglimsuwan, K. (2011). Carbon dioxide Emissions and Economic Growth: An Econometric Analysis. International Research Journal of Finance and Economics, 67, 97-102.
- Shiu, A., & Lum, P. L. (2003). Electricity Consumption and Economic growth in China. Energy Policy, 32(1): 47-54.
- Stern, D. (1993). Energy Use and Economic Growth in the USA a Multivariate Approach. Energy Economics 15, 137–150.
- Stern, D. (2004). The rise and fall of the environmental Kuznets curve, World Development 32, 1419–1439.
- Su, L., & Chen, Q. (2013). Testing Homogeneity in Panel Data Models with İnteractive Fixed Effects. Econometric Theory, 29(6), 1079-1135.
- Uçan, O., Arıcıoğlu, E., & Yücel, F. (2014). Energy Consumption and Economic Growth Nexus: Evidence from Developed Countries in Europe. International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, 3(4), 411-419.
- Usta, C., & Berber, M. (2017). Türkiye’de Enerji Tüketimi Ekonomik Büyüme İlişkisinin Sektörel Analizi. Ekonomik ve Sosyal Araştırmalar Dergisi, 13(1), 173-187.
- Jun, W., Mughal, N., Zhao, J., Shabbir, M.S., Niedbala, G., Jain, V., & Anwarf, A. (2021). Does Globalization Matter for Environmental Degradation? Nexus Among Energy Consumption, Economic Growth, and Carbon Dioxide Emission, Energy Policy 153, 1-8.
- Yuan, J-H, Zhao, C-H, Yu, S., & Hu, Z-G. (2007). Electricity Consumption and Economic Growth in China: Cointegration and Co-feature Analysis. Energy Economics, 29, 1179–1191.
- Zellner, A., (1962). An Efficient Method of Estimating Seemingly Unrelated Regression Equations and Tests of Aggregation Bias. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 57, 500-509.
- Zhang, X. P., & Cheng, X.M. (2009). Energy Consumption, Carbon Emissions and Economic Growth in China. Ecological Economics, 68(10), 2706-2712.