An ARDL Study on Wastewater, Carbon Dioxide, and Blue Economy Impacts in Türkiye

Year 2025, Volume: 12 Issue: 1, 101 - 119, 04.01.2025

Aslı Öztopcu

Abstract

Pollution of water resources results in the degradation of aquatic ecosystems and poses a threat to the global Blue Economy. Water pollutants, especially in water source like oceans, seas, rivers, and lakes where aquaculture is prevalent, can lead to species alterations, reduced food quality, decreased tourism opportunities in coastal areas, reduced employment in the sector, and declining incomes. This study aims to capture the impact of municipal wastewater and carbon dioxide on income in Türkiye between 1994 and 2022 using the ARDL approach. It examines the relationship between municipal wastewater and carbon dioxide discharged into rivers, lakes, and seas, and the income generated from aquatic resources, with the objective of guiding Blue Economy policy actions. The results of the ARDL long-term estimates indicate that (i) wastewater discharged by municipalities and (ii) carbon dioxide have adverse effects on income derived from aquatic resources. In the long-term forecast, carbon dioxide is expected to cause supply shortages due to increasing pollution in seas and rivers, while in the short term, it affects resources in lakes. The findings also suggest a long-term decrease in product quantities due to wastewater in water sources. Based on these results, the study recommends changes in policies addressing factors that disrupt the aquatic ecosystem, and suggests that municipalities develop new methods to combat wastewater discharge.

Keywords

Blue economy, Wastewater, Water Pollution, Aquatic Ecosystem, Environmental Economics

Ethical Statement

This study was conducted in compliance with the principles of scientific research and publication ethics.

Türkiye'de Atıksu, Karbondioksit ve Mavi Ekonomi Etkileri Üzerine Bir ARDL Çalışması

Abstract

Su kaynaklarındaki kirlenme su ekosisteminin bozulması ve küresel mavi ekonomiyi tehdit etmesiyle sonuçlanmaktadır. Su kirleticiler, özellikle su ürünlerinin bulunduğu okyanus, deniz, akarsu ve göl gibi su kaynaklarında bulunan türlerin değişimine, gıda kalitesinin azalmasına, kıyı bölgelerinde turizm imkânlarının daralmasına, sektördeki istihdamın azalmasına ve gelirlerde düşmeye yol açabilmektedir. Bu makale ARDL yaklaşımını kullanarak, Türkiye’deki 1994-2022 arasındaki verileri kullanarak belediyelerin atık suları ve karbondioksitin gelir üzerindeki etkisini yakalamayı amaçlamıştır. Mavi Ekonomi politika eylemlerine yön vermek için belediyelerin akarsu, göl ve denize deşarj ettiği atık su ve karbondioksit ile su ürünlerinden elde edilen gelirlerin arasındaki ilişkiyi incelemeyi amaçlamaktadır. ARDL uzun vadeli tahminlerinin sonuçları (i) belediyelerin deşarj ettiği atık suyun ve (ii) karbondioksitin su ürünlerinden elde edilen gelirlerde olumsuz etkileri olduğunu göstermektedir. Uzun dönemli tahminde karbondioksit, deniz ve akarsularda kirlenme artışı nedeniyle ürün temininde sıkıntı yaşanacağı, kısa dönemde göldeki su ürünlerinde etkili olduğu görülmüştür. Sudaki atık su nedeniyle uzun dönemde ürün miktarında azalma olacağını da göstermektedir. Sonuçlara dayanarak, su ekosistemini bozan unsurlarla ilgili politikalarda değişiklik gerektiğini önermektedir. Belediyelerin atık suyla mücadele etmesinde yeni yöntemler geliştirilmesi önerilmektedir.

Keywords

Mavi Ekonomi, Atık Su, Su Kirliliği, Su Ekosistemi, Çevre Ekonomisi

Ethical Statement

İkincil verilerle çalışıldığı için etik izin gerektirmemektedir.

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