Quagmire in CivilWar

Year 2020, Volume: 12 Issue: 2, 473 - 475, 15.11.2020

Muhammed Çağrı Bilir

Abstract

The theory of quagmire is an explanatory concept to suggest an answer to the question of why quagmire occurs in some civil wars, while not in others. Based on the specification of the term around the meaning of entrapment, theory sets out an analytical concept that helps to explain the quagmire conditions, that are based on the analyses of the interactions of belligerents and foreign backers. In doing so, the game-theoretic approach in examining actors' interactions in the strategic structure of the conflicts enables the theory to display how foreign backers and belligerents' preferences are shaped as a result of the interactions of them, thereby portraying the scenarios causing the quagmire

Keywords

game theory, quagmire, civil war

Thanks

Thanks to dear author Jonah Schulhofer-Wohl and Cambridge University Press, sending a copy of the book for review.

İç Savaş Bataklığı

Abstract

The theory of quagmire is an explanatory concept to suggest an answer to the question of why quagmire occurs in some civil wars, while not in others. Based on the specification of the term around the meaning of entrapment, theory sets out an analytical concept that helps to explain the quagmire conditions, that are based on the analyses of the interactions of belligerents and foreign backers. In doing so, the game-theoretic approach in examining actors' interactions in the strategic structure of the conflicts enables the theory to display how foreign backers and belligerents' preferences are shaped as a result of the interactions of them, thereby portraying the scenarios causing the quagmire.

Keywords

Game Theory, Quagmire, Rationalism, Civil Wars, Entrapment

مستنقع الحرب الأهلية

Abstract

References

• Popper, K. (1962). Conjectures and Refutations: The Growth of Scientific Knowledge. Routledge.