OLAYLAR VE YORUMLAR

Year 2022, Issue: 45, 9 - 64, 14.11.2022

Alev Kılıç

Abstract

Bu incelemede Ermenistan’daki iç gelişmeler ve dış dinamikleri ile Türkiye-Ermenistan ilişkilerinin Ocak-Haziran 2022 tarihleri arasında gösterdiği gelişmeler ele alınmaktadır. Karabağ Savaşından sonra bölgenin değişen koşulları bölgede barış, istikrar, iş birliği ve iyi komşuluk ilişkileri tesisi yolunda büyük olanaklar ortaya çıkartmıştır.

Bu bağlamda ilk öncelik, Ermenistan ile Azerbaycan arasında barış anlaşmasının imzalanması olacaktır. Dönem içinde bu yönde karşılıklı iyi niyet beyanlarına rağmen somut bir adım atılamamıştır. Azerbaycan ile barış anlaşması süreci Ermenistan iç politikasında da ateşli tartışmalara neden olmuştur. Ukrayna’daki savaş nedeniyle AGİT Minsk Grubu eş-başkanlığı sürecinin tıkanması üzerine Avrupa Birliği’nin bu rolü üstlenme çabaları ön plana çıkmıştır. Rusya’nın Ermenistan’dan kaynaklanan bu girişimleri ihtiyatla karşıladığı görülmüştür. Öte yandan, Türkiye ile Ermenistan arasında bir normalleşme süreci başlamıştır. Tarafların özel temsilcileri, ilki Moskova’da diğer ikisi Viyana’da olmak üzere üç kez görüşmüştür. Türk tarafının bu görüşmelerin iki ülke başkentlerinde yapılması önerisi Ermenistan tarafından üçüncü bir tarafın gözetimi altında yapılması ısrarı nedeniyle gerçekleşmemiştir. Bölgesel iş birliği bağlamında da Türkiye ve Azerbaycan Cumhurbaşkanlarının gündeme getirdiği altılı platform, ilk toplantısını dönem içinde Moskova’da bir eksikle yapmıştır. Gürcistan, Rusya ile ikili siyasi sorunları nedeniyle bu aşamada katılmamıştır.

Nisan ayındaki anma törenleri, gerçekçi ve hukuki temeli bulunmayan Ermeni söyleminin ve iddialarının bir kez daha gündeme taşınmasına vesile olmuştur. Burada gene en ileri ve aşırı giden ABD yönetimi olmuş, bizzat ABD Başkanı mesnetsiz soykırım suçlamasını defalarca tekrarlamıştır. ABD’nin ve genel olarak Batının siyasi bir baskı aracı olarak kullandığı diğer örneklerle de ortaya çıkan bu suçlamanın giderek kendilerinin inandırıcılığına, güvenirliğine, tarafsızlığına ve etkinliğine gölge düşürmekte olduğu da anlaşılmaya başlamıştır.

Keywords

Paşinyan, Haçaturyan, Mirzoyan, Ermeni Devrimci Federasyonu, Zengezur Koridoru, Ermenistan-Azerbaycan, Azerbaycan-Türkiye, Avrupa Birliği

FACTS AND COMMENTS

Abstract

This article covers Türkiye (Turkey)-Armenia relations as well as internal and international developments of Armenia in the period of January-June 2022. The Karabagh War led to a substantial change in the region, opening new horizons for establishing peace, stability, cooperation, and neighborly relations in the region.

The first step to activate this huge regional potential will be the signing of the Peace Treaty between Armenia and Azerbaijan. Despite mutually expressed constructive rhetoric to this end, no concrete development could be achieved during the period under review. Meanwhile, the peace treaty process with Azerbaijan caused heated arguments in internal politics of Armenia. As the work of the OSCE Minsk Group co-chairs was adversely affected following the war in Ukraine, initiatives by the European Union to fill the void has come to the fore. Russia appeared to note this development favored by Armenia with circumspection. Another noteworthy development has been the initiation of a process of normalization of relations between Türkiye and Armenia, both sides designating special representatives for negotiations. The special representatives have met three times, first in Moscow and twice in Vienna. Türkiye’s insistence on holding the talks directly in respective capitals could not be realized due to Armenia’s preference to conduct them with a third-party involvement. Regarding regional cooperation, the proposal promulgated by the Presidents of Türkiye and Azerbaijan to establish a platform of six convened for its first meeting in Moscow, with one absentee, Georgia, on political bilateral differences with Russia. As was to be expected, this regional approach has received a cool reaction by non-regional parties with interest in the region.

The month April was again an occasion to bring into agenda the unfounded Armenian narrative and allegations. It was again the US administration that went to extremes, with the US President repeating the very biased, baseless allegation of “genocide” multiple times. This accusation that is used by the US and the West in general clearly reveals that it is employed as a political tool to exert political pressure. However, this rhetoric is in fact casting a shadow to their own credibility, trustworthiness, neutrality, and influence.

Keywords

Armenian Revolutionary Federation, Pashinyan, Khachaturyan, Mirzoyan, Zangezur Corridor, Armenia-Azerbaijan, Armenia-Turkey, European Union, Zengezur Koridoru

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