محور التحالف الجديد شرق المتوسط واتفاقيات أبراهام

Year 2021, Volume: 10 Issue: 1, 9 - 27, 01.01.2021

Nurşin Ateşoğlu Güney Vişne Korkmaz

Abstract

وصلت الحرب الباردة الجديدة إلى شرق البحر الأبيض المتوسط. على المستوى الإستراتيجي، يوجب دخول الصين وروسيا إلى فراغ القوة في هذا المجال الجيوسياسي الإستراتيجي على واشنطن أن تجد أدوات قليلة التكلفة، يمكن بواسطتها إعادة تصميم هيكلية ومؤسسية الجغرافيا السياسية الإقليمية. وحتى اليوم، يبدو أن الولايات المتحدة تستعمل ثلاثة محاور للتحالفات، ظهر آخرها في شكل تحالفات مع اسرائيل وهي تحالفات مرنة وموجهة نحو المصلحة على مستوى التنافس الإقليمي. من المتوقع للأسف أن تعزز هذه التحالفات، الانقسامات الموجودة مسبقا في المنطقة ما لم يحدث تغيير جذري. تبحث هذه الدراسة في كيفية وتعليل وجوب تبني واشنطن منطق «محاور التحالف» لتشكيل شرق البحر المتوسط، وتستكشف التأثير المتوقع لاتفاقات أبراهام التي أطلقتها الولايات المتحدة على الجغرافيا السياسية الإقليمية.

Keywords

الجغرافيا السياسية, محاور التحالفات, اتفاقيات أبراهام, شرق المتوسط

A New Alliance Axis in the Eastern Mediterranean and Abraham Accords

Abstract

The New Cold War has arrived in the Eastern Mediterranean. At the strategic level, Chinese economic and Russian military assertiveness have led the U.S. to think twice about its mistakes, which opened up a power vacuum in this strategic geopolitical realm. Washington must find cost-free instruments with which to (re) design the structural and institutional scaffolding of regional geopolitics, which are fragmented and confrontational at the regional level because of the severe, ongoing power struggle. Until today, the U.S. has seemed to use three axes of alliances that have emerged as Israeli-based, flexible, and benefit-oriented alignments at the level of regional rivalry. These alignments, especially in the context of the Abraham Accords, are unfortunately expected to reinforce pre-existing divisions in the region unless a radical change occurs. This study examines how and why Washington must embrace the logic of ‘alliance axes to shape the Eastern Mediterranean and explores the projected impact of the U.S.-initiated Abraham Accords on regional geopolitics.

Keywords

Geopolitics, U.S., Axes of Alliances, Abraham Accords, Eastern Mediterranean

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