ليبيا: التطورات والتوقعات

Year 2021, Volume: 10 Issue: 3, 73 - 98, 01.07.2021

Murat Aslan

Abstract

إن التقديرات المتعلقة بالمرحلة التي تلت الهجوم الذي أطلقه حفتر على طرابلس في التاسع عشر من إبريل عام 2019 وهزيمته بعد ذلك هي محل اهتمام من الجميع. في هذه الدراسة نطرح تساؤلات حول إمكانية إرساء الاستقرار في ليبيا، وإقامة دولة على أسس ديموقراطية في ظل التدخلات الخارجية. وفي هذا الصدد تم تحديد إشكالية البحث لتكون "هل يمكن أن يسود السلام ليبيا؟"، وستكون الفرضية هي أنه سيكون من الممكن إقامة دولة مستقرة في حالة تحقق شروط معينة. وفي إطار الدراسة سيتم تناول التطورات التي وقعت في ليبيا، وسنقدم بعض التقييمات للمرحلة المقبلة. في الخاتمة سيتم تسليط الضوء على الهشاشة السياسية والعسكرية

Keywords

منتدى الحوار الليبي, الدستور, الانتخابات, العملية السياسية

Libya: Developments and Expectations

Abstract

This study raises questions about the possibility of establishing stable political structure in Libya and establishing a state on democratic foundations despite foreign interventions. The question "Can peace prevail in Libya?" is the research problem, and the hypothesis will be that it will be possible to establish a stable state if certain conditions are met. Within the framework of the study, the developments that occurred in Libya will be discussed, and we will present some assessments for the next stage of the political process. In the conclusion, the political and military fragility in Libya will be highlighted.

Keywords

Libya’s Dialogue Forum, Constitution, Elections, Political Process

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