Unveiling the Türkiye-GCC Economic Partnership: ARDL Cointegration Approach

Year 2024, Volume: 13 Issue: 3, 47 - 68, 01.09.2024

Erhan Akkaş

https://doi.org/10.36360/1560-013-003-003

Abstract

This analysis examines the economic relationship between Türkiye and the GCC countries, focusing notably on the economic and trade ties. It argues that while mutual relations have increased during the AK Party era, historical commercial relations have been subject to fluctuations due to regional and foreign policy preferences. Descriptive analysis using secondary data supports this claim. Cointegration techniques are also employed to empirically analyze the trade relationship between the two sides from 1994 to 2020.

Keywords

Türkiye, GCC Countries, Economic Interdependence, Economic Relationship

الشراكة الاقتصادية بين تركيا ودول مجلس التعاون الخليجي: نهج التكامل المشترك

Abstract

تتناول هذا الدراسة تحليل العلاقة الاقتصادية بين تركيا ودول مجلس التعاون الخليجي، مع التركيز بشكل خاص على الروابط الاقتصادية والتجارية. وتزعم أنه في حين زادت العلاقات المتبادلة خلال عهد حزب العدالة والتنمية، فإنّ العلاقات التجارية التاريخية كانت عرضة للتقلبات أكثر؛ بسبب تفضيلات السياسة الإقليمية والخارجية. والتحليل الوصفي باستخدام البيانات الثانوية يدعم هذا الادعاء. كما أنه يجري في هذا البحث استخدام تقنيات التكامل المشترك لتحليل العلاقة التجارية بين الجانبين تجريبيًّا من عام 1994 إلى عام 2020.

Keywords

تركيا, مجلس التعاون الخليجي, الترابط الاقتصادي, العلاقات الاقتصادية

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