NORTH MACEDONIA IS ON THE VERGE OF POLITICAL FRACTURE

Year 2022, Volume: 2 Issue: 6, 120 - 138, 30.09.2022

Çağdaş Duman

Abstract

The process of evolving the chaotic atmosphere into an economic crisis, which started with the pandemic process, continues to increase its impact in North Macedonia. The administrative crisis in North Macedonia, which has a very cosmopolitan structure in terms of the population it contains, plays a vital role in the acceleration of ethnic and political polarization. The political alliances in North Macedonia follow a proxy policy through their relations with regional and global actors in order to have a say in the administration of the country when this situation is combined with the security concerns created by the Ukraine Crisis. Thus, the polarization that has occurred on a global scale is carried over to the internal politics of North Macedonia. The practice of the Cold War, which has been revived in the region with the Ukraine Crisis, narrows the maneuvering areas of political alliances and drags the country's politics to a deadlock. The uncertainty in the European Union membership process puts the current government in a difficult position both in domestic and foreign public opinion. In the last local elections, eyes were turned to the Internal Macedonian Revolutionary Organization - Democratic Party of Macedonia's National Unity (VMRO-DPMNE), after the opposition won a significant part of the metropolitan cities, especially the capital Skopje. The opposition's calls for early elections and street protests accelerated as its votes increased in opinion polls and it appeared in front of the ruling Social Democratic Union of Macedonia (SDSM). The impact of the Ukraine Crisis on the political balances in the Balkan countries was examined on North Macedonia. In this study, we analyzed the potential for change in North Macedonian politics and the current situation of the opposition.

Keywords

North Macedonia, European Union, Ukraine Crisis, Internal Macedonian Revolutionary Organization - Party of National Unity of Macedonia (VMRO-DPMNE)

SİYASİ KIRILMANIN EŞİĞİNDE KUZEY MAKEDONYA

Abstract

Pandemi süreci ile başlayan kaotik atmosferin ekonomik krize evrilme süreci Kuzey Makedonya’da etkisini artırarak devam ettirmektedir. İçinde barındırdığı nüfus açısından oldukça kozmopolit bir yapıya sahip olan Kuzey Makedonya’daki yönetim krizi, etnik ve siyasi kutuplaşmanın ivme kazanmasında önemli rol oynamaktadır. Bu durum, Ukrayna Krizi’nin yaratmış olduğu güvenlik endişeleri ile birleştiğinde Kuzey Makedonya’daki siyasi ittifaklar ülke yönetiminde söz sahibi olmak adına bölgesel ve küresel aktörlerle olan ilişkileri üzerinden bir vekalet siyaseti izlemektedirler. Böylece küresel çapta meydana gelen kutuplaşma Kuzey Makedonya iç siyasetine taşınmaktadır. Ukrayna Krizi ile bölgede yeniden hayat bulan Soğuk Savaş pratiği siyasi ittifakların manevra alanlarını daraltmakla birlikte ülke siyasetini çözümsüzlüğe sürüklemektedir. Kuzey Makedonya’nın Avrupa Birliği üyelik sürecindeki belirsizlik mevcut iktidarı hem iç hem de dış kamuoyunda zor duruma sokmaktadır. Yapılan son yerel seçimlerde başta başkent Üsküp olmak üzere büyükşehirlerin önemli bir kısmını muhalefetin kazanmasıyla gözler Makedon İç Devrimci Örgütü - Makedonya'nın Ulusal Birliği Demokratik Partisi (VMRO-DPMNE)’ne çevrildi. Yapılan kamuoyu yoklamalarında oylarının artması ve iktidardaki Makedonya Sosyal Demokrat Birliği (SDSM)’nin önünde gözükmesiyle muhalefetin erken seçim çağrıları ve sokak protestoları ivme kazandı. Ukrayna Krizi’nin Balkan ülkelerindeki siyasi dengelere olan etkisi Kuzey Makedonya üzerinde incelendi. Bu çerçevede yaptığımız çalışmada Kuzey Makedonya siyasetindeki değişim potansiyelini ve muhalefetin mevcut durumunu analiz edildi.

Keywords

Kuzey Makedonya, Avrupa Birliği, Ukrayna Krizi, Makedon İç Devrimci Örgütü - Makedonya

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