Ekonomik Büyümenin Belirleyicileri: Sınır Testi Yaklaşımı

Abstract

Bu çalışmada, yabancı doğrudan yatırımlar ve ihracatın, Türkiye’nin ekonomik büyümesine etkileri, 1992:Q1-2012:Q3 dönemi verileri kullanılarak, sınır testi yaklaşımıyla analiz edilmiştir. Yapılan analiz sonucunda, serilerin eşbütünleşik olduğu tespit edilmiştir. Elde edilen ampirik bulgulara göre; ihracatın ekonomik büyüme üzerindeki etkisi istatistikî olarak anlamlıdır, yabancı doğrudan yatırımların ise ekonomik büyüme üzerindeki etkisi pozitif fakat istatistikî olarak anlamlı değildir. Modelin hata düzeltme mekanizması çalışmaktadır.

Keywords

• Ekonomik Büyüme,Yabancı Doğrudan Yatırımlar,İhracat

Determinants of Economic Growth: Bounds Testing Approach

Abstract

In this study, the effects of foreign direct investments and exports on Turkey’s economic growth are analyzed via bounds testing approach by using 1992:Q12012:Q3 period data. According to empirical findings, series were found to be cointegrated. In the long and short run analysis, the effect of export on the economic growth is statistically significant; however effect of foreign direct investment on the economic growth is positive but statistically insignificant. The model’s error correction mechanism has been worked

Keywords

• Economic Growth,Foreign Direct Investment,Export

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