DEĞİŞEN YAYILIMLI SIRALI LOJİSTİK REGRESYON MODELİ İLE BİREYLERİN UMUTLU OLMA DÜZEYLERİNİ ETKİLEYEN FAKTÖRLERİN BELİRLENMESİ

Year 2025, Issue: 101, 65 - 78

Şeyda Ünver

https://doi.org/10.17753/sosekev.1550209

Abstract

Bu çalışmanın amacı, Türkiye İstatistik Kurumu tarafından 2021 yılında yapılmış olan Yaşam Memnuniyeti Araştırması’nın mikro veri setinden yararlanarak Değişen yayılımlı sıralı lojistik regresyon modeli ile bireylerin kendi geleceklerinden umutlu olma düzeylerini etkileyen faktörleri belirlemektir. Model sonuçları incelendiğinde yaş, cinsiyet, eğitim düzeyi, çalışma durumu/sektör, mutluluk düzeyi, yaşamından memnuniyet düzeyi, sağlığından memnuniyet düzeyi ve gelir düzeyi değişkenlerinin anlamlı olduğu görülmektedir. Çalışmaya göre erkeklerin kadınlara göre kendi geleceklerinden umutlu/çok umutlu olma olasılıkları daha fazladır. Çalışmanın sonuçlarına göre, bireylerin umutlarını artırmayı hedefleyen politikaların ortaya konulması ve ülkenin ekonomik ve sosyal olarak gelişmesini sağlayacak, özellikle de bireylerin kendilerine olan inançlarını artıracak stratejilerin geliştirilmesi önemlidir.

Keywords

Umut düzeyi, Değişen yayılımlı sıralı lojistik regresyon modeli, Türkiye

Thanks

Kıymetli Hocam, Doktora tez danışmanım Prof. Dr. Ömer ALKAN’a teşekkürlerimi sunuyorum.

Determining the Factors Affecting the Hopefulness Levels of İndividuals with the Heteroskedastic Ordered Logistic Regression Model

Abstract

The aim of this study is to determine the factors affecting the level of hopefulness of individuals about their future using the Heteroskedastic ordered logistic regression model by using the micro data set of the Life Satisfaction Survey conducted by the Turkish Statistical Institute in 2021. When the model results are examined, it is seen that the variables of age, gender, education level, employment status/sector, happiness level, life satisfaction level, health satisfaction level and income level are significant. According to the study, men are more likely to be hopeful/very hopeful about their future than women. According to the results of the study, it is important to put forward policies that aim to increase the hopes of individuals and to develop strategies that will ensure the economic and social development of the country, and especially increase the self-belief of individuals.

Keywords

Hope level, Heteroskedastic ordered logistic regression model, Türkiye

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