Tarımsal kredilerin ekonomik büyüme ve finansal gelişme üzerindeki etkisi

Abstract

Amaç: Bu çalışma, 2005-2022 yılları arasındaki dönem için 20 farklı ülkeden elde edilen veriler doğrultusunda, tarımsal kredilerin ekonomik büyüme ve finansal gelişme üzerindeki etkilerini analiz etmeyi amaçlamaktadır. Tarımsal kredilerin yalnızca tarımsal üretimi artırmakla sınırlı kalmayıp, makroekonomik düzeyde nasıl bir rol üstlendiğini ortaya koymak çalışmanın temel hedefidir.

Tasarım / metodoloji / yaklaşım: Çalışmada, panel veri seti üzerinde Dumitrescu-Hurlin panel nedensellik analizi yöntemi uygulanmıştır. Bu yöntem sayesinde ülkeler arası heterojenlik dikkate alınarak, değişkenler arasındaki nedensellik ilişkileri yönleriyle birlikte detaylı bir şekilde incelenmektedir.

Bulgular: Elde edilen bulgular, tarımsal krediler ile finansal gelişme ve ekonomik büyüme arasında karşılıklı etkileşime dayalı çift yönlü bir nedensellik ilişkisinin mevcut olduğunu göstermektedir. Tarımsal krediler, tarım sektörünün üretim kapasitesini artırarak, finansal sistemin derinleşmesine ve ekonomik büyümenin hızlanmasına anlamlı katkılar sunmaktadır. Aynı şekilde, finansal gelişme ve ekonomik büyümenin de tarımsal kredi hacmini etkilediği gözlenmektedir.

Özgünlük / değer: Bu çalışmada, tarımsal kredilerin makroekonomik etkilerinin çok yönlü bir yaklaşımla ele alınıp, 20 farklı ülke üzerinden incelenmesi literatüre önemli katkılar sunmaktadır. Tarımsal kredilerin ekonomik büyüme ve finansal gelişme üzerindeki rolüne dair çift yönlü ilişkiyi ortaya koyması bakımından özgün bir değer taşımaktadır. Ayrıca, politika yapıcılar için kısa vadeli dinamiklerin göz önünde bulundurulmasının önemine dikkat çekmektedir.

Keywords

• Tarımsal krediler
• ekonomik büyüme
• finansal gelişme
• panel nedensellik

The impact of agricultural loans on economic growth and financial development

Abstract

Purpose: This study aims to analyze the effects of agricultural loans on economic growth and financial development based on data obtained from 20 different countries for the period 2005-2022. The main objective of the study is to reveal how agricultural loans play a role at the macroeconomic level, not limited to increasing agricultural production.

Design/methodology/approach: The Dumitrescu-Hurlin panel causality analysis method was applied to the panel data set. This method allows for a detailed examination of the causality relationships between variables, taking into account cross-country heterogeneity.

Findings: The results indicate a bidirectional and mutual causal relationship between agricultural credit, financial development, and economic growth. Agricultural credit contributes significantly to deepening the financial system and accelerating economic growth by increasing the production capacity of the agricultural sector. Similarly, financial development and economic growth are also observed to affect the volume of agricultural credit.

Originality/value: This study gives significant contributions to the literature by examining the macroeconomic effects of agricultural credit from a multifaceted approach across 20 different countries. It has unique value in revealing the two-way relationship between the role of agricultural credit in economic growth and financial development. Furthermore, it highlights the importance of considering short-term dynamics for policymakers.

Keywords

• Agricultural loans
• economic growth
• financial development
• panel causality

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