Research Article
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Year 2024, , 11 - 19, 19.01.2024
https://doi.org/10.31127/tuje.1177522

Abstract

References

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  • Yacoub, E., & Tayfur, G. (2019). Trend analysis of temperature and precipitation in Trarza region of Mauritania. Journal of Water and Climate Change, 10(3), 484-493. https://doi.org/10.2166/wcc.2018.007
  • Zeybekoğlu, U., & Karahan, H. (2018). Standart süreli yağış şiddetlerinin eğilim analizi yöntemleriyle incelenmesi. Pamukkale Üniversitesi Mühendislik Bilimleri Dergisi, 24(6), 974-1004. https://doi.org/10.5505/pajes.2017.54265
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  • Ülke, A., & Özkoca, T. (2018). Sinop, Ordu ve Samsun illerinin sıcaklık verilerinde trend analizi. Gümüşhane Üniversitesi Fen Bilimleri Dergisi, 8(2), 455-463. https://doi.org/10.17714/gumusfenbil.351294
  • Zeybekoğlu, U., & Aktürk, G. (2022). Homogeneity and Trend Analysis of Temperature Series in Hirfanli Dam Basin. Türk Doğa ve Fen Dergisi, 11(1), 49-58. https://doi.org/10.46810/tdfd.955393
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  • Ay, M., & Kisi, O. (2017). Kızılırmak Nehrinde Bazı İstasyonlardaki Akımların Trend Analizi. Teknik Dergi, 28(2), 7779-7794. https://doi.org/10.18400/tekderg.304034
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  • Keskin, M. E., Çakto, İ., Çetin, V., & Bektaş, O. (2018). Doğu Anadolu Bölgesi yağış ve sıcaklık trend analizi. Mühendislik Bilimleri ve Tasarım Dergisi, 6(2), 294-300. https://doi.org/10.21923/jesd.380963
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  • Lloyd-Hughes, B., & Saunders, M. A. (2002). A drought climatology for Europe. International Journal of Climatology, 22 (13), 1571–1592. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.846
  • Sirdas, S., & Sen, Z. (2003). Spatio-temporal drought analysis in the Trakya region, Turkey. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 48(5), 809-820. https://doi.org/10.1623/hysj.48.5.809.51458
  • Kömüşçü, A. Ü., Erkan, A., Turgu, E., & Sönmez, K. F. (2004). A new insight into drought vulnerability in Turkey using the standard precipitation index. Journal of Environmental Hydrology, 12(18), 1-17.
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  • Livada, I., & Assimakopoulos, V. (2007). Spatial and temporal analysis of drought in greece using the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI). Theoretical and applied climatology. 89, 143–153. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-005-0227-z
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  • Yacoub, E., & Tayfur, G. (2017). Evaluation and assessment of meteorological drought by different methods in Trarza region, Mauritania. Water Resources Management, 31, 825-845. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-016-1510-8
  • Ionita, M., Scholz, P., & Chelcea, S. (2016). Assessment of droughts in Romania using the Standardized Precipitation Index. Natural Hazards, 81, 1483-1498. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-015-2141-8
  • Dabanli, I. (2018). Drought hazard, vulnerability, and risk assessment in Turkey. Arabian Journal of Geosciences, 11, 538. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12517-018-3867-x
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  • Topçu, E. (2022). Appraisal of seasonal drought characteristics in Turkey during 1925–2016 with the standardized precipitation index and copula approach. Natural Hazards, 112(1), 697-723. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-021-05201-x
  • Bacanli, Ü. G., Dikbaş, F., & Baran, T. (2011). Meteorological drought analysis case study: Central Anatolia. Desalination and Water Treatment, 26(1-3), 14-23. https://doi.org/10.5004/dwt.2011.2105
  • Yıldız, O. (2009). Assessing temporal and spatial characteristics of droughts in the Hirfanli dam basin, Turkey. Scientific Research and Essays, 4(4), 249-255. https://doi.org/10.5897/SRE.9000212
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  • Oguzturk, G., & Yildiz, O. (2016). Assessing hydrological responses to droughts in the Hirfanli Dam basin, Turkey. International Journal of Advances in Mechanical and Civil Engineering, 3(5), 116–123
  • Zeybekoğlu, U., & Aktürk, G. (2021). A comparison of the China-Z Index (CZI) and the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) for drought assessment in the Hirfanli Dam basin in central Turkey. Arabian Journal of Geosciences, 14(24), 2731. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12517-021-09095-8
  • Zeybekoglu, U. (2022). Spatiotemporal analysis of droughts in Hirfanli Dam basin, Turkey by the Standardised Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI). Acta Geophysica, 70(1), 361-371. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11600-021-00719-x
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Analysis of temperature and precipitation series of Hirfanli Dam Basin by Mann Kendall, Spearman’s Rho and Innovative Trend Analysis

Year 2024, , 11 - 19, 19.01.2024
https://doi.org/10.31127/tuje.1177522

Abstract

In this study long-term trend analysis of precipitation and temperature series are determined in the Hirfanli dam basin of Turkey. Data is obtained from the Turkish State Meteorological Service for the period of 1968 to 2017 for Gemerek, Kayseri, Kirsehir, Nevsehir, Sivas and Zara. Mann-Kendall, Spearman's Rho and Innovative Trend Analysis are used for trend analysis with 95% confidence levels. According to the results of the temperature series upward trend were determined. The results of all methods are similar but increasing significant trends were determined by Mann Kendall and Spearman's Rho except Zara. According to the precipitation series results, with decreasing trends in Gemerek, Kirsehir, Nevsehir and Zara, increasing trends were determined in Kayseri and Sivas. The results of Mann Kendall and Spearman's Rho methods show parallelism with each other. Contrary to other methods, Innovative Trend Analysis determined a decreasing trend in Kayseri. As a result of the analysis, the trends in the precipitation series are not significant at the 95% confidence level. In addition to statistical analyzes, evaluations were made in terms of integrated disaster management for drought disaster in the basin with arid climate characteristics.

References

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  • Türkeş, M. (1996). Spatial and temporal analysis of annual rainfall variations in Turkey. International Journal of Climatology, 16(9), 1057-1076. https://doi.org/10.1002/(SICI)1097-0088(199609)16:9<1057::AID-JOC75>3.0.CO;2-D
  • Singh, S., & Kumara, S. (2021). Non-Parametric Trend Analysis in South-East Regions of Uttarakhand, India. International Journal of Earth Sciences Knowledge and Applications, 3(3), 301-304.
  • Jayasekara, S. M., Aeysingha, N. S., & Meegastenna, T. J. (2020). Streamflow trends of Kelani River basin in Sri Lanka (1983-2013). Journal of the National Science Foundation of Sri Lanka, 48(4), 449–462. http://dx.doi.org/10.4038/jnsfsr.v48i4.9440
  • Caloiero, T. (2020). Evaluation of rainfall trends in the South Island of New Zealand through the innovative trend analysis (ITA). Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 139(1-2), 493-504. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-019-02988-5
  • Cooley, A., & Chang, H. (2017). Precipitation intensity trend detection using hourly and daily observations in Portland, Oregon. Climate, 5(1), 10. https://doi.org/10.3390/cli5010010
  • Ribeiro, S., Caineta, J., Costa, A. C., Henriques, R., & Soares, A. (2016). Detection of inhomogeneities in precipitation time series in Portugal using direct sequential simulation. Atmospheric Research, 171, 147-158. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2015.11.014
  • Birsan, M. V., Micu, D. M., Nita, A. I., Mateescu, E., Szep, R., & Keresztesi, A. (2019). Spatio-temporal changes in annual temperature extremes over Romania (1961–2013). Romanian Journal of Physics, 64(7-8), 816.
  • Yacoub, E., & Tayfur, G. (2019). Trend analysis of temperature and precipitation in Trarza region of Mauritania. Journal of Water and Climate Change, 10(3), 484-493. https://doi.org/10.2166/wcc.2018.007
  • Zeybekoğlu, U., & Karahan, H. (2018). Standart süreli yağış şiddetlerinin eğilim analizi yöntemleriyle incelenmesi. Pamukkale Üniversitesi Mühendislik Bilimleri Dergisi, 24(6), 974-1004. https://doi.org/10.5505/pajes.2017.54265
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  • Ülke, A., & Özkoca, T. (2018). Sinop, Ordu ve Samsun illerinin sıcaklık verilerinde trend analizi. Gümüşhane Üniversitesi Fen Bilimleri Dergisi, 8(2), 455-463. https://doi.org/10.17714/gumusfenbil.351294
  • Zeybekoğlu, U., & Aktürk, G. (2022). Homogeneity and Trend Analysis of Temperature Series in Hirfanli Dam Basin. Türk Doğa ve Fen Dergisi, 11(1), 49-58. https://doi.org/10.46810/tdfd.955393
  • Haktanir, T., & Citakoglu, H. (2014). Trend, independence, stationarity, and homogeneity tests on maximum rainfall series of standard durations recorded in Turkey. Journal of Hydrologic Engineering, 19(9), 05014009. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)HE.1943-5584.000097
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  • Ay, M., & Kisi, O. (2017). Kızılırmak Nehrinde Bazı İstasyonlardaki Akımların Trend Analizi. Teknik Dergi, 28(2), 7779-7794. https://doi.org/10.18400/tekderg.304034
  • Bacanli, U. G., & Tanrikulu, A. (2017). Ege Bölgesinde Buharlaşma Verilerinin Trend Analizi. Afyon Kocatepe Üniversitesi Fen ve Mühendislik Bilimleri Dergisi, 17(3), 980-987. https://doi.org/10.5578/fmbd.66282
  • Kadioğlu, M. (1997). Trends in surface air temperature data over Turkey. International Journal of Climatology: A Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 17(5), 511-520. https://doi.org/10.1002/(SICI)1097-0088(199704)17:5<511::AID-JOC130>3.0.CO;2-0
  • Ceribasi, G. (2018). Analysis of meteorological and hydrological data of Iznik Lake Basin by using Innovative Sen Method. Journal of Environmental Protection and Ecology, 19(1), 15-24.
  • Yenigün, K., & Ülgen, M. (2016). İklim değişikliği ekseninde maksimum akım verilerindeki trendler ve baraj güvenliğine etkisinin izlenmesi. Dicle Üniversitesi Mühendislik Fakültesi Mühendislik Dergisi, 7(2), 343-353.
  • Kuyucu, H., Demir, V., Geyikli, M. S., & Citakoglu, H. (2017). Trend Analysis of Turkey Temperatures. 1st International Symposium on Multidisciplinary Studies and Innovative Technologies Proceedings. Tokat, 157-159.
  • Keskin, M. E., Çakto, İ., Çetin, V., & Bektaş, O. (2018). Doğu Anadolu Bölgesi yağış ve sıcaklık trend analizi. Mühendislik Bilimleri ve Tasarım Dergisi, 6(2), 294-300. https://doi.org/10.21923/jesd.380963
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  • Lloyd-Hughes, B., & Saunders, M. A. (2002). A drought climatology for Europe. International Journal of Climatology, 22 (13), 1571–1592. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.846
  • Sirdas, S., & Sen, Z. (2003). Spatio-temporal drought analysis in the Trakya region, Turkey. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 48(5), 809-820. https://doi.org/10.1623/hysj.48.5.809.51458
  • Kömüşçü, A. Ü., Erkan, A., Turgu, E., & Sönmez, K. F. (2004). A new insight into drought vulnerability in Turkey using the standard precipitation index. Journal of Environmental Hydrology, 12(18), 1-17.
  • Sönmez, F. K., Koemuescue, A. U., Erkan, A., & Turgu, E. (2005). An analysis of spatial and temporal dimension of drought vulnerability in Turkey using the standardized precipitation index. Natural hazards, 35, 243-264. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-004-5704-7
  • Livada, I., & Assimakopoulos, V. (2007). Spatial and temporal analysis of drought in greece using the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI). Theoretical and applied climatology. 89, 143–153. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-005-0227-z
  • Mishra, A. K., & Singh, V. P. (2010). A review of drought concepts. Journal of hydrology, 391(1-2), 202-216. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2010.07.012
  • Yacoub, E., & Tayfur, G. (2017). Evaluation and assessment of meteorological drought by different methods in Trarza region, Mauritania. Water Resources Management, 31, 825-845. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-016-1510-8
  • Ionita, M., Scholz, P., & Chelcea, S. (2016). Assessment of droughts in Romania using the Standardized Precipitation Index. Natural Hazards, 81, 1483-1498. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-015-2141-8
  • Dabanli, I. (2018). Drought hazard, vulnerability, and risk assessment in Turkey. Arabian Journal of Geosciences, 11, 538. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12517-018-3867-x
  • Cebeci, İ., Demirkıran, O., Doğan, O., Sezer, K. K., Öztürk, Ö., & Elbaşı, F. (2019). Türkiye’nin iller bazında kuraklık değerlendirmesi. Toprak Su Dergisi, 169-176. https://doi.org/10.21657/topraksu.655613
  • Topçu, E. (2022). Appraisal of seasonal drought characteristics in Turkey during 1925–2016 with the standardized precipitation index and copula approach. Natural Hazards, 112(1), 697-723. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-021-05201-x
  • Bacanli, Ü. G., Dikbaş, F., & Baran, T. (2011). Meteorological drought analysis case study: Central Anatolia. Desalination and Water Treatment, 26(1-3), 14-23. https://doi.org/10.5004/dwt.2011.2105
  • Yıldız, O. (2009). Assessing temporal and spatial characteristics of droughts in the Hirfanli dam basin, Turkey. Scientific Research and Essays, 4(4), 249-255. https://doi.org/10.5897/SRE.9000212
  • Yildiz, O. (2014). Spatiotemporal analysis of historical droughts in the Central Anatolia, Turkey. Gazi University Journal of Science, 27(4), 1177-1184.
  • Oguzturk, G., & Yildiz, O. (2016). Assessing hydrological responses to droughts in the Hirfanli Dam basin, Turkey. International Journal of Advances in Mechanical and Civil Engineering, 3(5), 116–123
  • Zeybekoğlu, U., & Aktürk, G. (2021). A comparison of the China-Z Index (CZI) and the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) for drought assessment in the Hirfanli Dam basin in central Turkey. Arabian Journal of Geosciences, 14(24), 2731. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12517-021-09095-8
  • Zeybekoglu, U. (2022). Spatiotemporal analysis of droughts in Hirfanli Dam basin, Turkey by the Standardised Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI). Acta Geophysica, 70(1), 361-371. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11600-021-00719-x
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There are 63 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language English
Subjects Engineering
Journal Section Articles
Authors

Fatma Gündüz 0000-0001-9585-3759

Utku Zeybekoğlu 0000-0001-5307-8563

Early Pub Date September 15, 2023
Publication Date January 19, 2024
Published in Issue Year 2024

Cite

APA Gündüz, F., & Zeybekoğlu, U. (2024). Analysis of temperature and precipitation series of Hirfanli Dam Basin by Mann Kendall, Spearman’s Rho and Innovative Trend Analysis. Turkish Journal of Engineering, 8(1), 11-19. https://doi.org/10.31127/tuje.1177522
AMA Gündüz F, Zeybekoğlu U. Analysis of temperature and precipitation series of Hirfanli Dam Basin by Mann Kendall, Spearman’s Rho and Innovative Trend Analysis. TUJE. January 2024;8(1):11-19. doi:10.31127/tuje.1177522
Chicago Gündüz, Fatma, and Utku Zeybekoğlu. “Analysis of Temperature and Precipitation Series of Hirfanli Dam Basin by Mann Kendall, Spearman’s Rho and Innovative Trend Analysis”. Turkish Journal of Engineering 8, no. 1 (January 2024): 11-19. https://doi.org/10.31127/tuje.1177522.
EndNote Gündüz F, Zeybekoğlu U (January 1, 2024) Analysis of temperature and precipitation series of Hirfanli Dam Basin by Mann Kendall, Spearman’s Rho and Innovative Trend Analysis. Turkish Journal of Engineering 8 1 11–19.
IEEE F. Gündüz and U. Zeybekoğlu, “Analysis of temperature and precipitation series of Hirfanli Dam Basin by Mann Kendall, Spearman’s Rho and Innovative Trend Analysis”, TUJE, vol. 8, no. 1, pp. 11–19, 2024, doi: 10.31127/tuje.1177522.
ISNAD Gündüz, Fatma - Zeybekoğlu, Utku. “Analysis of Temperature and Precipitation Series of Hirfanli Dam Basin by Mann Kendall, Spearman’s Rho and Innovative Trend Analysis”. Turkish Journal of Engineering 8/1 (January 2024), 11-19. https://doi.org/10.31127/tuje.1177522.
JAMA Gündüz F, Zeybekoğlu U. Analysis of temperature and precipitation series of Hirfanli Dam Basin by Mann Kendall, Spearman’s Rho and Innovative Trend Analysis. TUJE. 2024;8:11–19.
MLA Gündüz, Fatma and Utku Zeybekoğlu. “Analysis of Temperature and Precipitation Series of Hirfanli Dam Basin by Mann Kendall, Spearman’s Rho and Innovative Trend Analysis”. Turkish Journal of Engineering, vol. 8, no. 1, 2024, pp. 11-19, doi:10.31127/tuje.1177522.
Vancouver Gündüz F, Zeybekoğlu U. Analysis of temperature and precipitation series of Hirfanli Dam Basin by Mann Kendall, Spearman’s Rho and Innovative Trend Analysis. TUJE. 2024;8(1):11-9.
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