Sosyal Medya ve Türk Dış Politikası: Kobani Tweetleri Üzerinden Türk Dış Politikası Algısı
Year 2016,
Special Issue: Turkish Foreign Policy, 175 - 197, 01.12.2016
Emre Hatipoğlu
,
Osman Zeki Gökçe
Berkay Dinçer
Yücel Saygın
Abstract
Gelişen teknolojinin haber ve bilgi paylaşımını hızlı ve etkin hale getirmesi seçmen kitlelerinin algı ve tutumlarını, karar alıcıların politikalarına karşı daha hassas hale getirmiştir. Bu hassasiyet özellikle demokrasilerde belirginleşen iç ve dış politika arasındaki bağlantıyı farklı bir boyuta taşımıştır. Son on beş yılda Türk dış politikasının iç siyaset ile bağıntısı daha görünür ve önemli hale gelmiş; bu süreçte dış politika yapımında kamuoyu algı ve tutumlarının artan önemi akademik çalışmalara yansımıştır. Bu çalışma, bireylerin Türk dış politikasına ilişkin algı ve tutumlarını inceleyen yazına katkıda bulunmayı amaçlamakta, bunun için Twitter’da paylaşılan Türkçe metinlerin benzer “hissiyatta” olanlarını gruplamayı mümkün kılan bir bilgisayar algoritması kullanmaktadır. Bu çalışma ile Türkiye siyasi araştırmalarındaki en güncel konulardan ikisi, yani iç-dış politika bağlantısı ile siyasette sosyal medyanın rolü, ilişkilendirilmektedir. İnceleme ile, yakın dönemde Türk dış politikasını meşgul eden Kobani konusunda Twitter’da oluşan algı ve tutumların parti/ideolojik aidiyet düzlemi üzerinden örgütlendiğini göstermiştir.
References
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- Dimitrova, Antoaneta, Elitsa Kortenska ve Bernard Steunenberg. “Comparing Discourses about Past and Future EU Enlargements: Core Arguments and Cleavages”, MAXCAP Working Paper Series, No.13, 2015.
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- Hatipoğlu, Emre vd. “Foreign Policy and The EU in Turkish Politics: Exploring Trends in Electoral Manifestos”, Peter Balazs ve Ahmet Evin (der.), Turkey and the European Union: Strategic Partners and Competitors, Budapeşte, Central European University Press, 2015, s.17-36.
- Holsti, Ole. “Public Opinion and Foreign Policy Challenges to the Almond-Lippman Consensus”, International Studies Quarterly, Cilt 36, No.4, 1992, s.440–443.
- Hurwitz, Jon ve Mark Peffley. “How are Foreign Policy Attitudes Structured? A Hierarchical Model”, American Political Science Review, Cilt 81, No.4, 1987, s.1099-1120.
- Ifukor, Presley. “‘Elections’ or ‘Selections’? Blogging and Twittering the Nigerian 2007 General Elections”, Bulletin of Science, Technology & Society, Cilt 30, No.6, 2010, s.398–414.
- Jansen, Bernard J. vd.“Twitter Power: Tweets as Electronic Word of Mouth”, Journal of the American Society for Information Science and Technology, Cilt 60, No.11, 2009, s.2169–2188.
- Jewitt, Robert ve Lincoln Dahlberg. “Commentaries”, International Journal of Media & Cultural Politics, Cilt 5, No.3, 2009, s.233–246.
- Kalaycıoğlu, Ersin. “Public Choice and Foreign Affairs: Democracy and International Relations in Turkey”, New Perspectives on Turkey, Cilt 40, 2009, s.59-83.
- Kennedy, Ryan ve Matt Dickenson. “Turkish Foreign Policy and Public Opinion in the AKP Era”, Foreign Policy Analysis, Cilt 9, No.2, 2013, s.171-188.
- Kirişçi, Kemal. “The Transformation of Turkish Foreign Policy: The Rise of the Trading State”, New Perspectives on Turkey, Cilt 40, 2009, s.29-56.
- Mardin, Şerif. Din ve Ideoloji, İstanbul, İletişim Yayınları, 1983.
- Mardin, Şerif. Religion and Social Change in Modern Turkey: The Case of Bediüzzaman Said Nursi, Albany, State University of New York Press, 1989.
- Mayer-Schönberger, Viktor ve Kenneth Cukier. Big data: A Revolution that Will Transform How We Live, Work, and Think, Boston, Houghton Mifflin Harcourt, 2013.
- McNair, Brian. “Journalism in the 21st Century-Evolution, Not Extinction”, Journalism, Cilt 10, No.3, 2009, s. 347–349.
- Mo, Jongryn. “Domestic Institutions and International Bargaining: The Role of Agent Veto in Two-Level Games”, American Political Science Review, Cilt 89, No.4, 1995, s.914-924.
- O’Connor, Brendan vd. “From Tweets to Polls: Linking Text Sentiment to Public Opinion Time Series”, Proceedings of the International AAAI Conference on Weblogs and Social Media (ICWSM), 2010, s.122–129.
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- Rosenau, James N. Public Opinion and Foreign Policy: An Operational Formulation, New York, Random House, 1960.
- Smith, Alastair ve David R. Hayes. “The Shadow of the Polls: Electoral Effects on International Agreements”, International Interactions, Cilt 23, No.1, 1997, s.79-108.
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- Tec, Juan Javier. The Role of Audience Costs in Turkish Hard and Soft Power Foreign Policy, Basılmamış Yüksek Lisans Tezi, İstanbul, Sabancı Üniversitesi, 2014.
- Tomz, Michael. “Domestic Audience Costs in International Relations: An Experimental Approach”, InternationalOrganization, Cilt 61, No.4, 2007, s.821-840.
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- Yardi, Sarita ve Danah Boyd. “Dynamic Debates: An Analysis of Group Polarization over Time on Twitter”, Bulletin of Science, Technology & Society, Cilt 30, No.5, 2010, s.316–327.
Social Media and Turkish Foreign Policy: Turkish Foregin Policy Perceptions through Kobane Tweets
Year 2016,
Special Issue: Turkish Foreign Policy, 175 - 197, 01.12.2016
Emre Hatipoğlu
,
Osman Zeki Gökçe
Berkay Dinçer
Yücel Saygın
Abstract
Recent technological advances enabling quick and effective dissemination of information on social media have
made perceptions and attitudes of an electorate towards policy actions more sensitive. This sensitivity shapes
the link between domestic and foreign policies, especially in democracies. During the past fifteen years, foreign
and domestic policy nexus in Turkey has become more prominent and critical; thus scholarly focus on this has
increased. This study contributes to the literature by examining the public opinion-foreign policy nexus using new
methodology. It employs an algorithm, which groups tweets in Turkish with similar “sentiments.” With this, the
study addresses two recently popular topics in Turkish political studies, i.e., foreign-domestic policy linkage and the
role of social media in Turkish politics, via recent siege of Kobane, Syria. The findings show that arising perceptions
and attitudes in Twitter are organized over political party/ideological stance dimensions.
References
- Achen, Christopher H. “Mass Political Attitudes and the Survey Response”, American Political Science Review, Cilt 69, No.4, 1975, s.1218-1231.
- Aldrich John H., John L. Sullivan ve Eugene Bordiga. “Foreign Affairs and Issue Voting: Do Presidential Candidates ‘Waltz before a Blind Audience?’ ”, American Political Science Review, Cilt 83, No.1, 1989, s.123-141.
- Almond, Gabriel. The American People and Foreign Policy, Harcourt, Brace, 1950.
- Aras, Bülent ve Pınar Akpınar. “The Role of Humanitarian NGOs in Turkey’s Peacebuilding”, International Peacekeeping, Cilt 22, No.3, 2015, s.230-247.
- “AvroBarometre 83 Genel Rapor“, EuroBarometer 83, Mayıs 2015, http://ec.europa.eu/public_opinion/archives/eb/eb83/eb83_first_en.pdf, (Erişim Tarihi 07 Şubat 2008).
- Başlevent, Cem, Hasan Kirmanoğlu ve Burhan Şenatalar. “Empirical Investigation of Party Preferences and Economic Voting in Turkey”, European Journal of Political Research, Cilt 44, No.4, 2005, s.547-562.
- Campbell Angus vd. The American Voter, New York, Wiley, 1960.
- Canan-Sokullu, Ebru Ş. “Türk Kamuoyunda NATO Algısı”, Uluslararası İlişkiler, Cilt 9, Sayı 34, 2012, s.151-182.
- Cohen, Noam. “Twitter on the Barricades: Six Lessons Learned”, New York Times, 20 Haziran 2009, http://www.nytimes.com/2009/06/21/weekinreview/21cohenweb.html?_r=0, (Erişim Tarihi 25 Aralık 2015).
- Converse, Philip E. “The Nature of Belief Systems in Mass Publics”, David Apter (der.), Ideology and Discontent, New York, Wiley, 1964.
- Çarkoğlu, Ali. “Who Wants Full Membership? Characteristics of Turkish Public Support for EU Membership”, Special Issue on Turkey and the European Union, Turkish Studies, Cilt 4, No.1, 2003, s.171-194.
- Çarkoğlu, Ali ve Binnaz Toprak. Türkiye’de Din, Toplum ve Siyaset, İstanbul, TESEV Yayınları, 2000, s.117-118.
- Çarkoğlu, Ali ve Kemal Kirişçi. “Civil Society, Public Opinion and Foreign Policy: Greek Turkish Relations”, Taciser Ulaş Belge (der.), Voices for the Future, Civic Dialogue Between Turks and Greeks, Istanbul, Bilgi University Press, 2004, s.33-45.
- Çarkoğlu, Ali ve Ersin Kalaycıoğlu. Turkish Democracy Today: Elections, Protests and Stability in an İslamic Society, Londra, IB Tauris, 2007.
- Çarkoğlu, Ali ve Ersin Kalaycıoğlu. The Rising Tide of Conservatism in Turkey, New York, Palgrave Macmillan, 2009.
- Çarkoğlu, Ali ve Çiğdem Kentmen. “Diagnosing Trends and Determinants in Public Support for Turkey’s EU Membership”, South European Society and Politics, Cilt 16, No.3, 2011, s.365-379.
- Çarkoğlu, Ali ve Belgin San-Akça. “Domestic Audience Cost and Foreign Policy Commitments: An Experimental Analysis”, The Annual Meeting of American Political Science Association, San Francisco, 2015.
- Dimitrova, Antoaneta, Elitsa Kortenska ve Bernard Steunenberg. “Comparing Discourses about Past and Future EU Enlargements: Core Arguments and Cleavages”, MAXCAP Working Paper Series, No.13, 2015.
- Erdoğan, Emre. “The Missing Element: Turkish Public Opinion towards the US”, Turkish Policy Quarterly, Cilt 4, No.1, 2005, s.1-16.
- Erdoğan, Emre. “Dış Politikada Siyasallaşma: Türk Kamuoyunun “Davos Krizi” ve Etkileri Hakkındaki Değerlendirmeleri”, Uluslararası İlişkiler, Cilt 10, Sayı 37, 2013, s.37-67.
- Ettema, James S. “New Media and New Mechanisms of Public Accountability”, Journalism, Cilt 10, No.3, 2009, s.319–321.
- Everts, Philip P. Public Opinion, Churches and Foreign Policy: Studies of Domestic Factors in the Making of Dutch Foreign Policy, Leiden, Leiden University Press, 1983.
- Evin, Ahmet ve Emre Hatipoğlu. “Convergence or Divergence: EU and Turkish Foreign Policy over the Last Decade”, Peter Balazs (der.), A European Union with 36 Members? Perspectives and Risks, Budapeşte, Central European University Press, 2014, s.185-198.
- Fearon, James D. “Domestic Political Audiences and The Escalation of International Disputes”, American Political Science Review, Cilt 88, No.3, 1994, s.577-592.
- Foyle, Douglas C. Counting the Public In: Presidents, Public Opinion, and Foreign Policy, New York, Columbia University Press, 1999.
- Gökçe, Osman Zeki vd.“Twitter and Politics: Identifying Turkish Opinion Leaders in New Social Media”, Turkish Studies, Cilt 15, No.4, 2014, s.671-688.
- Hale, William. Turkish Foreign Policy, 1774-2000, London, Frank Cass Publishers, 2000.
- Hamdy, Naila. “Arab Media Adopt Citizen Journalism to Change the Dynamics of Conflict Coverage”, Global Media Journal: Arabian Edition, Cilt 1, No.1, 2010, s.3–15.
- Hatipoğlu, Emre. Foreign Policy and Public Attitudes in Turkey: An Application of the Hierarchical Model of Attitude Constraint, Yayımlanmamış Yüksek Lisans Tezi, İstanbul, Sabancı Üniversitesi, 2004.
- Hatipoğlu, Emre vd. “Foreign Policy and The EU in Turkish Politics: Exploring Trends in Electoral Manifestos”, Peter Balazs ve Ahmet Evin (der.), Turkey and the European Union: Strategic Partners and Competitors, Budapeşte, Central European University Press, 2015, s.17-36.
- Holsti, Ole. “Public Opinion and Foreign Policy Challenges to the Almond-Lippman Consensus”, International Studies Quarterly, Cilt 36, No.4, 1992, s.440–443.
- Hurwitz, Jon ve Mark Peffley. “How are Foreign Policy Attitudes Structured? A Hierarchical Model”, American Political Science Review, Cilt 81, No.4, 1987, s.1099-1120.
- Ifukor, Presley. “‘Elections’ or ‘Selections’? Blogging and Twittering the Nigerian 2007 General Elections”, Bulletin of Science, Technology & Society, Cilt 30, No.6, 2010, s.398–414.
- Jansen, Bernard J. vd.“Twitter Power: Tweets as Electronic Word of Mouth”, Journal of the American Society for Information Science and Technology, Cilt 60, No.11, 2009, s.2169–2188.
- Jewitt, Robert ve Lincoln Dahlberg. “Commentaries”, International Journal of Media & Cultural Politics, Cilt 5, No.3, 2009, s.233–246.
- Kalaycıoğlu, Ersin. “Public Choice and Foreign Affairs: Democracy and International Relations in Turkey”, New Perspectives on Turkey, Cilt 40, 2009, s.59-83.
- Kennedy, Ryan ve Matt Dickenson. “Turkish Foreign Policy and Public Opinion in the AKP Era”, Foreign Policy Analysis, Cilt 9, No.2, 2013, s.171-188.
- Kirişçi, Kemal. “The Transformation of Turkish Foreign Policy: The Rise of the Trading State”, New Perspectives on Turkey, Cilt 40, 2009, s.29-56.
- Mardin, Şerif. Din ve Ideoloji, İstanbul, İletişim Yayınları, 1983.
- Mardin, Şerif. Religion and Social Change in Modern Turkey: The Case of Bediüzzaman Said Nursi, Albany, State University of New York Press, 1989.
- Mayer-Schönberger, Viktor ve Kenneth Cukier. Big data: A Revolution that Will Transform How We Live, Work, and Think, Boston, Houghton Mifflin Harcourt, 2013.
- McNair, Brian. “Journalism in the 21st Century-Evolution, Not Extinction”, Journalism, Cilt 10, No.3, 2009, s. 347–349.
- Mo, Jongryn. “Domestic Institutions and International Bargaining: The Role of Agent Veto in Two-Level Games”, American Political Science Review, Cilt 89, No.4, 1995, s.914-924.
- O’Connor, Brendan vd. “From Tweets to Polls: Linking Text Sentiment to Public Opinion Time Series”, Proceedings of the International AAAI Conference on Weblogs and Social Media (ICWSM), 2010, s.122–129.
- Öniş, Ziya. “Multiple Faces of the” New” Turkish Foreign Policy: Underlying Dynamics and a Critique”, Insight Turkey, Cilt 13, No.1, 2011, s.47-65.
- Özkırımlı, Umut. The Making of a Protest Movement in Turkey: #occupygezi, Londra, Palgrave Macmillan, 2014.
- Rosenau, James N. Public Opinion and Foreign Policy: An Operational Formulation, New York, Random House, 1960.
- Smith, Alastair ve David R. Hayes. “The Shadow of the Polls: Electoral Effects on International Agreements”, International Interactions, Cilt 23, No.1, 1997, s.79-108.
- Şenyuva, Özgehan. “Türkiye Kamuoyu ve Avrupa Birliği 2001-2008: Beklentiler, İstekler ve Korkular”, Uluslararası İlişkiler, Cilt 6, No.22, 2009, s.97-123.
- Sobel, Richard. The Impact of Public Opinion on US Foreign Policy since Vietnam: Constraining the Colossus, Oxford, Oxford University Press, 2001.
- Tec, Juan Javier. The Role of Audience Costs in Turkish Hard and Soft Power Foreign Policy, Basılmamış Yüksek Lisans Tezi, İstanbul, Sabancı Üniversitesi, 2014.
- Tomz, Michael. “Domestic Audience Costs in International Relations: An Experimental Approach”, InternationalOrganization, Cilt 61, No.4, 2007, s.821-840.
- Tumasjan, Andranik vd. “Predicting Elections with Twitter: What 140 Characters Reveal about Political Sentiment”, Proceedings of the Fourth International AAAI Conference on Weblogs and Social Media (ICWSM), 2010, s.178–185.
- Türkiye’nin Nabzı Ekim Ayı Araştırması Seçimlere Doğru Terör, Suriye Krizi ve Medya, Ankara, Metropoll Stratejik ve Sosyal Araştırmalar, Ekim 2015.
- Verba Sidney vd. “Public Opinion and the War in Vietnam”, American Political Science Review, Cilt 61, No.2, 1967, s.317-333.
- Yardi, Sarita ve Danah Boyd. “Dynamic Debates: An Analysis of Group Polarization over Time on Twitter”, Bulletin of Science, Technology & Society, Cilt 30, No.5, 2010, s.316–327.