Orta Doğu Çatışmasının Kripto Piyasasına Etkisi: Filistin-İsrail Savaşı ve Bitcoin Üzerine Bir Çalışma

Year 2024, , 185 - 196, 30.09.2024

Maryem Ebaba , Ayben Koy

https://doi.org/10.54821/uiecd.1523435

Abstract

Bu çalışmanın amacı, jeopolitik olayların Bitcoin'in performansı üzerindeki etkilerini analiz etmektir. Çalışma, militan grup Hamas'ın İsrail'e saldırısı, İran ile İsrail arasındaki gerilim ve Filistin ile ABD arasındaki çatışma da dahil olmak üzere 7 Ekim 2023'ten itibaren yaşanan dönemi incelemektedir. Olay çalışması yönteminin kullanıldığı Çalışmanın sonuçları, Bitcoin'in ayarlama ve tahmin dönemlerinde iyi performans gösterdiğine dair kanıtlar sunmakta ve bu da onun güvenli bir liman varlığı olabileceğini göstermektedir. Ayrıca, olay günündeki negatif Aritmetik Ortalama Getiri (AAR), piyasanın ilk tepkisini yansıtmaktadır Çalışma yatırımcılara kripto para piyasasını etkileyen riskler hakkında daha derin bir anlayış sağlarken aynı zamanda Bitcoin'in spekülatif bir varlık ve güvenli bir liman varlığı olarak ikili yapısını da vurgulamaktadır.

Keywords

Jeopolitik Olaylar, Kripto Piyasaları, Hamas, Bitcoin

The Impact of Middle East Conflict on Crypto-Market Study Case Palestine-Israel War and Bitcoin

Abstract

The objective of this research is to determine the impact of geopolitical developments on Bitcoin's value. It focuses on the events that occurred from October 7, 2023 including the attack on Israel by the militant group Hamas, the tension between Iran and Israel, and the conflict between Palestine and the US. Through a comprehensive event study, we can analyze the returns generated by these events. The results of the study Srevealed that Bitcoin performed well during the adjustment and anticipation periods, which showed that it could be a safe-haven asset. On the other hand, the negative AAR during the event day reflected the market's first reaction. The study also highlighted Bitcoin's dual nature as a speculative asset and a safe-haven asset providing investors with a deeper understanding of the risks that affect the cryptocurrency market.

Keywords

Geopolitical Events, Crypto Markets, Hamas’s Attack, Bitcoin

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