MINT ÜLKELERİNDE CARİ İŞLEMLER AÇIĞI SÜRDÜRÜLEBİLİR Mİ?

Tunahan Hacıimamoğlu

doi:10.11611/yead.1000464

MINT ÜLKELERİNDE CARİ İŞLEMLER AÇIĞI SÜRDÜRÜLEBİLİR Mİ?

Abstract

Bu çalışmanın amacı 1987-2020 döneminde yıllık ihracat ve ithalat verileri kullanılarak MINT ülkeleri için cari açığın sürdürülebilir olup olmadığını Husted (1992) ve Quintos (1995) modelleri bağlamında analiz etmektir. Bu amaç doğrultusunda çalışmada eşbütünleşme ilişkisinin tahmini için Durbin-Hausman testi, katsayı tahmini için ortak ilişkili etkiler ortalama grup tahmincisi (CCE-MG), nedensellik ilişkisinin tahmini için ise Emirmahmutoğlu ve Köse (2011) bootstrap panel nedensellik yaklaşımları kullanılmıştır. Eşbütünleşme analizi sonuçları ihracat ve ithalat değişkenlerinin uzun dönemde birlikte hareket ettiklerini, diğer bir ifade ile eşbütünleşik olduklarını ortaya koymuştur. Dolayısı ile MINT ülkeleri için cari açığın sürdürülebilir olduğu ifade edilebilir. Öte yandan uzun dönem katsayı tahmincisi sonuçlarına göre MINT ülkeleri için ithalat değişkeninin katsayı değeri 0.31 olarak belirlenmiştir. Bu sonuç Husted (1992) ve Quintos (1995) modelleri bağlamında bu ülkeler için cari açığın zayıf düzeyde sürdürülebilir olduğu anlamına gelmektedir.

Keywords

Supporting Institution

Çalışma herhangi bir kurum tarafından desteklenmemektedir.

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Details

Primary Language

Turkish

Subjects

Economics

Journal Section

Research Article

Authors

Tunahan Hacıimamoğlu ^*
0000-0003-1474-8506
Türkiye

Publication Date

June 30, 2022

Submission Date

September 24, 2021

Acceptance Date

April 7, 2022

Published in Issue

Year 2022 Volume: 20 Number: 2

DOI

https://doi.org/10.11611/yead.1000464

IZ

https://izlik.org/JA38DX64UR

Cite

RIS / Bibtex

APA

Hacıimamoğlu, T. (2022). MINT ÜLKELERİNDE CARİ İŞLEMLER AÇIĞI SÜRDÜRÜLEBİLİR Mİ? Journal of Management and Economics Research, 20(2), 76-97. https://doi.org/10.11611/yead.1000464

AMA

1.Hacıimamoğlu T. MINT ÜLKELERİNDE CARİ İŞLEMLER AÇIĞI SÜRDÜRÜLEBİLİR Mİ? Journal of Management and Economics Research. 2022;20(2):76-97. doi:10.11611/yead.1000464

Chicago

Hacıimamoğlu, Tunahan. 2022. “MINT ÜLKELERİNDE CARİ İŞLEMLER AÇIĞI SÜRDÜRÜLEBİLİR Mİ?”. Journal of Management and Economics Research 20 (2): 76-97. https://doi.org/10.11611/yead.1000464.

EndNote

Hacıimamoğlu T (June 1, 2022) MINT ÜLKELERİNDE CARİ İŞLEMLER AÇIĞI SÜRDÜRÜLEBİLİR Mİ? Journal of Management and Economics Research 20 2 76–97.

IEEE

[1]T. Hacıimamoğlu, “MINT ÜLKELERİNDE CARİ İŞLEMLER AÇIĞI SÜRDÜRÜLEBİLİR Mİ?”, Journal of Management and Economics Research, vol. 20, no. 2, pp. 76–97, June 2022, doi: 10.11611/yead.1000464.

ISNAD

Hacıimamoğlu, Tunahan. “MINT ÜLKELERİNDE CARİ İŞLEMLER AÇIĞI SÜRDÜRÜLEBİLİR Mİ?”. Journal of Management and Economics Research 20/2 (June 1, 2022): 76-97. https://doi.org/10.11611/yead.1000464.

JAMA

1.Hacıimamoğlu T. MINT ÜLKELERİNDE CARİ İŞLEMLER AÇIĞI SÜRDÜRÜLEBİLİR Mİ? Journal of Management and Economics Research. 2022;20:76–97.

MLA

Hacıimamoğlu, Tunahan. “MINT ÜLKELERİNDE CARİ İŞLEMLER AÇIĞI SÜRDÜRÜLEBİLİR Mİ?”. Journal of Management and Economics Research, vol. 20, no. 2, June 2022, pp. 76-97, doi:10.11611/yead.1000464.

Vancouver

1.Tunahan Hacıimamoğlu. MINT ÜLKELERİNDE CARİ İŞLEMLER AÇIĞI SÜRDÜRÜLEBİLİR Mİ? Journal of Management and Economics Research. 2022 Jun. 1;20(2):76-97. doi:10.11611/yead.1000464