Comparative Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis for Sakarya

Abstract

Sakarya province can be significantly affected by earthquakes on the North Anatolian Fault. Earthquake hazard includes some uncertainties. Earthquake catalog data is needed for probabilistic earthquake hazard calculations. In addition to current catalog information, existing attenuation relationships, including earthquake characteristics for the region, should be developed or their suitability checked. For this purpose, an earthquake hazard analysis was carried out for the Serdivan, Erenler, Adapazarı, and Arifiye districts of Sakarya by using the EMME (Earthquake Model of the Middle East Region) data catalog, which was carried out on a global scale and using the ASK14 model from the NGA-West2 equations. CRISIS software was used for analysis. As a result of the study, it was concluded that the evaluation of ground effects in these regions is an essential requirement.

Keywords

• Probabilistic Earthquake Hazard Analysis
• Sakarya
• CRISIS

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