TFF Süperlig’de Pazartesi ve Derbi Maçlarının Ev Sahibi Takım Avantajına Etkileri

Abstract

Futbolda ev sahibi takım avantajı iyi bilinen ve maçların sonuçlarını belirleyen önemli bir konudur. Pek çok farklı ligde ev sahibi avantajını etkileyen faktörler kapsamlı bir şekilde incelenmesine rağmen, konu Türkiye’de yeterli ilgiyi görememiştir. Çalışmada TFF Süper Lig’de maç katılım düzeyinin ev sahibi avantajı üzerindeki etkisi değerlendirilmektedir. Tek aşamalı en küçük kareler modelinde pazartesi günü ve derbi maçlarının seyirci sayısını anlamlı bir şekilde etkilediği sonucuna ulaşılmıştır. Daha sonra bu iki etki araç değişken olarak iki aşamalı en küçük kareler modeline dahil edilmiştir. Sonuçlar maç katılımındaki içsel artışların ev sahibi avantajını azaltan etkilere sahip olduğunu göstermektedir. Dolayısıyla fikstür hazırlanırken ilgili kurumların hafta içi maçlarına daha az yer vermesi kulüpler arasında olumsuz etkilenen rekabetçi dengenin düzelmesi ve gelir kayıplarının telafi edilmesine katkı sağlayacaktır.

Keywords

• Ev sahibi takım avantajı
• Maç katılımı
• TFF Süper Lig

The Effects of Monday and Derby Matches on the Home Team Advantage in TFF Super League

Abstract

Home team advantage in football is a well-known and important issue that determines the results of the matches. Although the factors affecting the home advantage have been extensively studied in many different leagues, it has not attracted enough attention in Turkey. This paper evaluates the effect of fan attendance on home team advantage in TFF Super League. In the first-stage least squares model, it has been found out that monday and derby matches significantly affected the number of attendance. These two effects were then included as instrumental variables in the two-stage least squares model. The results show that the endogenous increases in match attendance decreases home team advantage. Consequently, the relevant institutions give less place to the weekday matches while preparing the fixtures and this will provide contribution to the improvement of the competitive balance between the football clubs and the compensation of the income losses.

Keywords

• Home team advantage
• Match attendance
• TFF Super League

References

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