EN
Hybrid Deep Learning Model for Earthquake Time Prediction
Abstract
Earthquakes are one of the most dangerous natural disasters that have constantly threatened humanity in the last decade. Therefore, it is extremely important to take preventive measures against earthquakes. Time estimation in these dangerous events is becoming more specific, especially in order to minimize the damage caused by earthquakes. In this study, a hybrid deep learning model is proposed to predict the time of the next earthquake to potentially occur. The developed CNN+GRU model was compared with RF, ARIMA, CNN and GRU. These models were tested using an earthquake dataset. Experimental results show that the CNN+GRU model performs better than others according to MSE, RMSE, MAE and MAPE metrics. This study highlights the importance of predicting earthquakes, providing a way to help take more effective precautions against earthquakes and potentially minimize loss of life and material damage. This study should be considered an important step in the methods used to predict future earthquakes and supports efforts to reduce earthquake risks.
Keywords
References
- [1] Wang, Q., Guo, Y., Yu, L., Li, P. “Earthquake prediction based on spatio-temporal data mining: An LSTM network approach”, IEEE Transactions on Emerging Topics in Computing, 8(1): 148-158, (2017).
- [2] Galkina, A., Grafeeva, N. “Machine learning methods for earthquake prediction: A survey”, In Proceedings of the Fourth Conference on Software Engineering and Information Management (SEIM-2019), Saint Petersburg, Russia, (2019).
- [3] Pribadi, K.S., Abduh, M., Wirahadikusumah, R.D., Hanifa, N.R., Irsyam, M., Kusumaningrum, P., Puri, E., “Learning from past earthquake disasters: The need for knowledge management system to enhance infrastructure resilience in Indonesia”, International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 64, (2021).
- [4] Erzin, Y., Cetin, T., “The use of neural networks for the prediction of the critical factor of safety of an artificial slope subjected to earthquake forces”, Scientia Iranica, 19(2): 188-194, (2012).
- [5] Asim, K. M., Martínez-Álvarez, F., Basit, A., Iqbal, T., “Earthquake magnitude prediction in Hindukush region using machine learning techniques”, Natural Hazards, 85(1): 471-486, (2017).
- [6] Moustra, M., Avraamides, M., Christodoulou, C., “Artificial neural networks for earthquake prediction using time series magnitude data or seismic electric signals”, Expert systems with applications, 38(12): 15032-15039, (2011).
- [7] Florido, E., Martínez-Álvarez, F., Morales-Esteban, A., Reyes, J., Aznarte-Mellado, J.L., “Detecting precursory patterns to enhance earthquake prediction in Chile”, Computers & Geosciences, 76: 112-120, (2015).
- [8] Asencio-Cortés, G., Martínez-Álvarez, F., Troncoso, A., Morales-Esteban, A., “Medium–large earthquake magnitude prediction in Tokyo with artificial neural networks”, Neural Computing and Applications, 28(5): 1043-1055, (2017).
Details
Primary Language
English
Subjects
Deep Learning
Journal Section
Research Article
Early Pub Date
April 2, 2024
Publication Date
September 1, 2024
Submission Date
September 21, 2023
Acceptance Date
February 27, 2024
Published in Issue
Year 2024 Volume: 37 Number: 3
APA
Utku, A., & Akcayol, M. A. (2024). Hybrid Deep Learning Model for Earthquake Time Prediction. Gazi University Journal of Science, 37(3), 1172-1188. https://doi.org/10.35378/gujs.1364529
AMA
1.Utku A, Akcayol MA. Hybrid Deep Learning Model for Earthquake Time Prediction. Gazi University Journal of Science. 2024;37(3):1172-1188. doi:10.35378/gujs.1364529
Chicago
Utku, Anıl, and M. Ali Akcayol. 2024. “Hybrid Deep Learning Model for Earthquake Time Prediction”. Gazi University Journal of Science 37 (3): 1172-88. https://doi.org/10.35378/gujs.1364529.
EndNote
Utku A, Akcayol MA (September 1, 2024) Hybrid Deep Learning Model for Earthquake Time Prediction. Gazi University Journal of Science 37 3 1172–1188.
IEEE
[1]A. Utku and M. A. Akcayol, “Hybrid Deep Learning Model for Earthquake Time Prediction”, Gazi University Journal of Science, vol. 37, no. 3, pp. 1172–1188, Sept. 2024, doi: 10.35378/gujs.1364529.
ISNAD
Utku, Anıl - Akcayol, M. Ali. “Hybrid Deep Learning Model for Earthquake Time Prediction”. Gazi University Journal of Science 37/3 (September 1, 2024): 1172-1188. https://doi.org/10.35378/gujs.1364529.
JAMA
1.Utku A, Akcayol MA. Hybrid Deep Learning Model for Earthquake Time Prediction. Gazi University Journal of Science. 2024;37:1172–1188.
MLA
Utku, Anıl, and M. Ali Akcayol. “Hybrid Deep Learning Model for Earthquake Time Prediction”. Gazi University Journal of Science, vol. 37, no. 3, Sept. 2024, pp. 1172-88, doi:10.35378/gujs.1364529.
Vancouver
1.Anıl Utku, M. Ali Akcayol. Hybrid Deep Learning Model for Earthquake Time Prediction. Gazi University Journal of Science. 2024 Sep. 1;37(3):1172-88. doi:10.35378/gujs.1364529
Cited By
Some New Techniques of Computing Correlation Coefficient between q-Rung Orthopair Fuzzy Sets and their Applications in Multi-Criteria Decision-Making
Gazi University Journal of Science
https://doi.org/10.35378/gujs.1420424DEPREM SEVİYE SINIFLANDIRMASI İÇİN HİBRİT BİR CONVLSTM MODELİ: KARŞILAŞTIRMALI BİR ANALİZ
Kahramanmaraş Sütçü İmam Üniversitesi Mühendislik Bilimleri Dergisi
https://doi.org/10.17780/ksujes.1467269Enhanced earthquake occurrence time prediction: A hybrid LSTM-Kalman Filter approach
Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.soildyn.2025.110064