Research Article

Optimal condition-based maintenance strategy for a three-state system under dependent competing failures

Volume: 55 Number: 2 March 9, 2026
EN

Optimal condition-based maintenance strategy for a three-state system under dependent competing failures

Abstract

Industrial systems function in dynamic settings characterized by changing conditions. This manuscript develops a reliability model and a condition-based maintenance approach for a single-component system with three states (normal, defective, and failed). The system is prone to failures resulting from both internal degradation and external shocks, and these shocks can cause abrupt rises in degradation. Internal degradation is simulated through a Wiener process that features elevated drift and diffusion coefficients when the system is in the defective state. External shocks follow a non-homogeneous Poisson process and are classified as safe, damaging, and fatal shocks. A preventive degradation threshold is defined according to the state of the system, and particle swarm optimization is utilized to determine the inspection interval and the optimal preventive threshold. Finally, the proposed maintenance model is verified using a numerical example.

Keywords

Project Number

National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 12361060); Industrial Support Program of Gansu Provincial Department of Education (No. 2025CYZC-016)

References

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Details

Primary Language

English

Subjects

Probability Theory, Stochastic Analysis and Modelling, Statistics (Other)

Journal Section

Research Article

Early Pub Date

March 9, 2026

Publication Date

March 9, 2026

Submission Date

October 7, 2025

Acceptance Date

February 16, 2026

Published in Issue

Year 2026 Volume: 55 Number: 2

APA
Guo, Z., & Yan, R. (2026). Optimal condition-based maintenance strategy for a three-state system under dependent competing failures. Hacettepe Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, 55(2), 752-782. https://doi.org/10.15672/hujms.1798557
AMA
1.Guo Z, Yan R. Optimal condition-based maintenance strategy for a three-state system under dependent competing failures. Hacettepe Journal of Mathematics and Statistics. 2026;55(2):752-782. doi:10.15672/hujms.1798557
Chicago
Guo, Zhouxia, and Rongfang Yan. 2026. “Optimal Condition-Based Maintenance Strategy for a Three-State System under Dependent Competing Failures”. Hacettepe Journal of Mathematics and Statistics 55 (2): 752-82. https://doi.org/10.15672/hujms.1798557.
EndNote
Guo Z, Yan R (April 1, 2026) Optimal condition-based maintenance strategy for a three-state system under dependent competing failures. Hacettepe Journal of Mathematics and Statistics 55 2 752–782.
IEEE
[1]Z. Guo and R. Yan, “Optimal condition-based maintenance strategy for a three-state system under dependent competing failures”, Hacettepe Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, vol. 55, no. 2, pp. 752–782, Apr. 2026, doi: 10.15672/hujms.1798557.
ISNAD
Guo, Zhouxia - Yan, Rongfang. “Optimal Condition-Based Maintenance Strategy for a Three-State System under Dependent Competing Failures”. Hacettepe Journal of Mathematics and Statistics 55/2 (April 1, 2026): 752-782. https://doi.org/10.15672/hujms.1798557.
JAMA
1.Guo Z, Yan R. Optimal condition-based maintenance strategy for a three-state system under dependent competing failures. Hacettepe Journal of Mathematics and Statistics. 2026;55:752–782.
MLA
Guo, Zhouxia, and Rongfang Yan. “Optimal Condition-Based Maintenance Strategy for a Three-State System under Dependent Competing Failures”. Hacettepe Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, vol. 55, no. 2, Apr. 2026, pp. 752-8, doi:10.15672/hujms.1798557.
Vancouver
1.Zhouxia Guo, Rongfang Yan. Optimal condition-based maintenance strategy for a three-state system under dependent competing failures. Hacettepe Journal of Mathematics and Statistics. 2026 Apr. 1;55(2):752-8. doi:10.15672/hujms.1798557