Research Article

Analysis of an epidemic model for transmitted diseases in a group of adults and an extension to two age classes

Volume: 49 Number: 3 June 2, 2020
EN

Analysis of an epidemic model for transmitted diseases in a group of adults and an extension to two age classes

Abstract

Infectious diseases are a serious problem for public health and spark the interest in interdisciplinary studies. In this paper, we present two mathematical models describing a possible scenario for infectious diseases. The first model considers the dynamics of the disease among adults and emphasizes the role of carriers in the SIR model and the second model assumes that the disease is transmitted to children by adults. We state the equilibria for each model and study the local stability of the equilibria. Furthermore, we perform simulations using a parameter set that explains the spread of a specific infectious disease (meningococcal disease) and interpret the possible cases of transmission via simulations.

Keywords

References

  1. [1] S. Agrawal and S. Nadel, Acute bacterial meningitis in infants and children epidemi- ology and management, Pediatr Drugs, 13 (6), 385–400, 2011.
  2. [2] O.M. Akpa and B.A. Oyejola, Modeling the transmission dynamics of HIV/AIDS epidemics: an introduction and a review, J. Infect. Dev. Ctries. 4 (10), 597–608, 2010.
  3. [3] B.M. Althouse and S.V. Scarpino, Asymptomatic transmission and the resurgence of Bordetella pertussis, BMC Medicine, 13, 146, 2015.
  4. [4] E.J. Anderson and S.G. Weber, Rotavirus infection in adults, Lancet Infect. Dis. 4, 91–99, 2004.
  5. [5] R.M. Anderson and R.M. May, Infectious Diseases of Humans, Dynamics and Con- trol, Oxford University Press, Oxford, 1991.
  6. [6] P. Balmer, C. Burman, L. Serra and L. J. York, Impact of meningococcal vaccina- tion on carriage and disease transmission: A review of the literature, Hum. Vaccin. Immunother, 14 (5), 1118–1130, 2018.
  7. [7] S. Bunimovich-Mendrazitsky and L. Stone, Modeling polio as a disease of develop- ment, J. Theor. Biol. 237 (3), 302–315, 2005.
  8. [8] Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, https://www.cdc.gov/meningitis/bacterial.html

Details

Primary Language

English

Subjects

Mathematical Sciences

Journal Section

Research Article

Publication Date

June 2, 2020

Submission Date

July 9, 2018

Acceptance Date

May 14, 2019

Published in Issue

Year 2020 Volume: 49 Number: 3

APA
Gölgeli, M., & Atay, F. M. (2020). Analysis of an epidemic model for transmitted diseases in a group of adults and an extension to two age classes. Hacettepe Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, 49(3), 921-934. https://doi.org/10.15672/hujms.624042
AMA
1.Gölgeli M, Atay FM. Analysis of an epidemic model for transmitted diseases in a group of adults and an extension to two age classes. Hacettepe Journal of Mathematics and Statistics. 2020;49(3):921-934. doi:10.15672/hujms.624042
Chicago
Gölgeli, Meltem, and Fatihcan M. Atay. 2020. “Analysis of an Epidemic Model for Transmitted Diseases in a Group of Adults and an Extension to Two Age Classes”. Hacettepe Journal of Mathematics and Statistics 49 (3): 921-34. https://doi.org/10.15672/hujms.624042.
EndNote
Gölgeli M, Atay FM (June 1, 2020) Analysis of an epidemic model for transmitted diseases in a group of adults and an extension to two age classes. Hacettepe Journal of Mathematics and Statistics 49 3 921–934.
IEEE
[1]M. Gölgeli and F. M. Atay, “Analysis of an epidemic model for transmitted diseases in a group of adults and an extension to two age classes”, Hacettepe Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, vol. 49, no. 3, pp. 921–934, June 2020, doi: 10.15672/hujms.624042.
ISNAD
Gölgeli, Meltem - Atay, Fatihcan M. “Analysis of an Epidemic Model for Transmitted Diseases in a Group of Adults and an Extension to Two Age Classes”. Hacettepe Journal of Mathematics and Statistics 49/3 (June 1, 2020): 921-934. https://doi.org/10.15672/hujms.624042.
JAMA
1.Gölgeli M, Atay FM. Analysis of an epidemic model for transmitted diseases in a group of adults and an extension to two age classes. Hacettepe Journal of Mathematics and Statistics. 2020;49:921–934.
MLA
Gölgeli, Meltem, and Fatihcan M. Atay. “Analysis of an Epidemic Model for Transmitted Diseases in a Group of Adults and an Extension to Two Age Classes”. Hacettepe Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, vol. 49, no. 3, June 2020, pp. 921-34, doi:10.15672/hujms.624042.
Vancouver
1.Meltem Gölgeli, Fatihcan M. Atay. Analysis of an epidemic model for transmitted diseases in a group of adults and an extension to two age classes. Hacettepe Journal of Mathematics and Statistics. 2020 Jun. 1;49(3):921-34. doi:10.15672/hujms.624042

Cited By