The Assessment of Turkey’s Exposure and Susceptibility to Disasters and Hazards with IDB Indicator System

Abstract

The aim of this study is to determine the exposure and sensitivity of our country against the increasing natural, technological and man-made disasters with the help of index system and to reveal the deficiencies and competencies in this subject. In this way, the study will guide the decision makers in terms of the preparations and work to be done against disasters. The study was prepared with a semi-numerical method and the scope of the study was all provinces of our country. The data covers the period of 2015, 2016, 2017 and their averages. The ESI (Exposure and Susceptibility Index) consists of 8 sub-factors and the index value is between 0 and 1. Classification of index values was done according to international standards as follows; between 0-0.20 as low, between 0.20-0.40 as medium, between 0.40-0.80 as high and between 0.80-1.00 as very high. In the results of the study; in terms of exposure and sensitivity, 14.82% of Turkey provinces were in high, 81.47% were in the middle category and 3.70% were in the low category. It is noteworthy that among the provinces in the high category, large cities such as İstanbul (0.58), Adana (0.44), İzmir (0.42), Gaziantep (0.41) and Şanlıurfa (0.40) took place. In the international arena, the calculation is made out of 20 countries that Turkey has the lowest 10th countries. In addition, Turkey's ES Index value is below the average compared to the general average of the countries. Accordingly, it is necessary to make investments and studies on irregular population growth, population density, poor population rates, agriculture and distribution of continuous products for our provinces with high ESI value.

Keywords

• Disaster
• Risk Management
• Vulnerability
• Exposure and Susceptibility

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