Assessment of Vulnerability, Resilience Capacity and Land Use Within the Scope of Climate Change Adaptation: The Case of Balıkesir-Susurluk Basin

Yıl 2022, Cilt: 22 Sayı: 2, 112 - 124, 27.09.2022

Mustafa Aytekin Yusuf Serengil

https://doi.org/10.17475/kastorman.1179037

Öz

Aim of study: Countries will be affected by climate change in different levels and ways. Therefore, it is necessary to focus on methods and options specific to regions. Basin approach, the sustainability of the basins and their capacity to be exposed to the possible effects of climate change, adapting to and resisting climate change should be addressed with an integrated approach. “Basin vulnerability analysis” methods are developed to ensure ecosystems sustainability and reveal their adaptive capacities. The purpose of these analyses is to calculate the basin’s vulnerability to all anthropogenic stress factors, especially climate change, for prioritizing investments and measures.
Area of study: This study applied in Balıkesir-Susurluk sub-basins.
Material and methods: This study applied a vulnerability analyses and mapped in Balıkesir-Susurluk sub-basins. The vulnerability analysis results were evaluated together with land use and resilience capacity.
Main results: We obtained a high correlation (r2=0.788) between the vulnerability values and the water quality scores. The used method was verified and found to be successful and applicable.
Highlights: The dissemination of the method with its application to other basins is critical in analyzing the vulnerability at the basin scale and directing the basin restoration investments.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Basin Vulnerability, Adaptation, Resilience, Climate Change

Destekleyen Kurum

TUBITAK

Proje Numarası

116Y446

İklim Değişikliğine Uyum Kapsamında Kırılganlık, Direnç Kapasitesi ve Arazi Kullanımı Değerlendirilmesi: Balıkesir-Susurluk Havzası Örneği

Öz

Çalışmanın amacı: İklim değişikliğinden ülkeler farklı düzeyde ve şekilde etkilenecektir. Bu durumda hem ülkelere hem de farklı bölgelere özgü uyum yöntem ve seçenekleri üzerinde durulması gerekmektedir. Havza yaklaşımı kapsamında havzaların sürdürülebilirliği ve iklim değişikliğinin olası etkilerine maruz kalma, iklim değişikliğine uyum sağlama ve direnç gösterme kapasiteleri de entegre bir yaklaşımla ele alınmalıdır. Ekosistemlerin sürdürülebilirliğinin sağlanabilmesi ve adaptif kapasitelerinin ortaya konulabilmesi için “havza kırılganlık analizi” yöntemleri geliştirilmektedir. Bu analizlerde amaç yatırımların ve önlemlerin önceliklendirilmesi ve doğru yönlendirilmesi bakımından havzanın iklim değişikliği başta olmak üzere tüm antropojenik stres faktörlerine karşı kırılganlığının hesaplanmasıdır.
Çalışma alanı: Bu çalışma Balıkesir-Susurluk alt havzalarında gerçekleştirilmiştir.
Materyal ve yöntem: Balıkesir-Susurluk alt havzalarında kırılganlık analizi uygulanmış ve haritalanmıştır. Kırılganlık analizi sonuçları, arazi kullanımı ve direnç kapasitesi ile birlikte değerlendirilmiştir.
Temel sonuçlar: Kırılganlık değerleri ile arazi ölçümlerinde elde edilen su kalitesi skorları arasında elde edilen yüksek korelasyon (r2=0.788) sayesinde uygulanan yöntemin doğrulaması yapılmış ve yöntem başarılı ve uygulanabilir bulunmuştur.
Araştırma vurguları: Yöntemin başka havzalara uygulaması ile yaygınlaştırılması, havza ölçeğinde kırılganlığın analizi ve havza restorasyon yatırımlarının yönlendirilmesi bakımından son derece önemlidir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Havza Kırılganlığı, Uyum, Direnç, İklim Değişikliği

Proje Numarası

116Y446

Kaynakça

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