Araştırma Makalesi
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FİNANSAL RİSKLER İLE FİRMA DEĞERİ ARASINDAKİ İLİŞKİNİN BELİRLENMESİ: BORSA İSTANBUL FİRMALARI ÜZERİNE BİR UYGULAMA

Yıl 2018, Cilt: 5 Sayı: 2, 287 - 301, 30.06.2018
https://doi.org/10.30798/makuiibf.412559

Öz

Çalışmada, finansal riskler ile firma değeri arasındaki ilişkiyi ortaya
çıkarmak amaçlanmıştır. Bu bağlamda, 2012-2017 yılları arasında Borsa İstanbul
100 Endeksinde pay senetleri devamlı olarak işlem gören firmalara ilişkin
veriler, panel veri analizi ile incelenmiştir. Finansal riskler, faiz, sermaye,
kur, likidite ve kredi riskleri ile temsil edilmiştir. Firma değeri ise Tobin’s
Q, Piyasa Değeri/Defter Değeri ve Fiyat/Kazanç oranları ile ölçülmüştür. Analiz
kapsamında üç farklı model oluşturulmuştur. Birinci modelde sermaye ve likidite
riskleri ile TQ arasında anlamlı ve negatif ilişki tespit edilirken, kur, kredi
ve faiz riski ile anlamlı herhangi bir ilişki tespit edilememiştir. İkinci
modelde, kredi riski ile Piyasa Değeri/Defter Değeri oranı arasında anlamlı ve
negatif ilişki tespit edilirken, faiz, sermaye, kur ve likidite riskleri ile
anlamlı herhangi bir ilişki tespit edilememiştir. Üçüncü modelde ise kur ve
kredi riskleri ile Fiyat/Kazanç oranı arasında anlamlı ve negatif ilişki tespit
edilirken, faiz, sermaye ve likidite riskleri ile anlamlı herhangi bir ilişki
tespit edilememiştir.

Kaynakça

  • ALLAYANNIS, G. ve WESTON, J. P. (2001). The Use of Foreign Currency Derivatives and Firm Market Value, Review of Financial Studies, 14 (1), 243-276.
  • AZİM, A., HASSAN, M. ve ZAKİA, A. (2015). Risk Management And Disclosure And Their Impact on Firm Value: The Case of Egypt, International Journal of Business, Accounting, & Finance, 9(1), 30-43.
  • BALTAGI, B. H. (2013). Econometric Analysis of Panel Data, Fifth Edition Chichester: Jhon Wiley&Sons Ltd.
  • BALTAGI, B. H. ve LI, Q. (1991). A Joint Test for Serial Correlation and Random Individual Effects, Statistics and Probability Letters, 11, 277-280.
  • BALTAGI, H. B. (2005). Econometric Analysis of Panel Data. England: Wiley.
  • BECK, N. ve KATZ, J. (1995). What To Do (and Not to Do) with Time-Series Cross-Section Data, American Political Science Review, 89(3), 634-647.
  • BHARGAVA, A., FRANZINI, L. ve NARENDRANATHAN, W. (1982). Serial Correlation and the Fixed Effects Model, The Review of Economic Studies, 49(4), 533–549.
  • BORN, B., BREITUNG, J. (2016). Testing for Serial Correlation in Fixed-Effects Panel Data Models, Econometric Reviews, 35(7), 1290-1316.
  • BORSA İSTANBUL (www.borsaistanbul.com), Erişim Tarihi: 01.04.2018.
  • BREUSCH, T. S. ve PAGAN, A. R. (1980). The Lagrange Multiplier Test And Its Applications to Model Specification in Econometrics, The Review of Economic Studies, 47(1), 239-253.
  • ÇAĞDAŞ, B. ve GÜRSOY, C. T. (2003). Şirketlerde Finansal Risk Yönetimi Amaçlı Bir Modelin Geliştirilmesi Yöntem ve Aşamaları, İtüdergisi/d mühendislik, 2(3), 55-64.
  • DAMODARAN, A. (2012). Investment Valuation: Tools and Techniques for Determining the Value of Any of Any Asset, USA: John Wiley & Sons.
  • FATHI, S., ZAREI, F. ve ESFAHANI, S. S. (2012). Studying the Role of Financial Risk Management on Return on Equity, International Journal of Business and Management, 7(9), 215-221.
  • GONZALEZ, F. P. ve YUN, H. (2013). Risk Management and Firm Value: Evidence from Weather Derivatives, The Journal of Finance, 68(5), 2143-2176.
  • GREGORY, J. (2015). The XVA Challenge: Counterparty Credit Risk, Funding, Collateral and Capital, John Wiley & Sons: United Kingdom.
  • HAIR, J., ANDERSON, R., TATHAM, R. ve BLACK, W. (1998). Multivariate Data Analysis, New Jersey: Prentice-Hall.
  • HONDA, Y. (1985). Testing The Error Components Model With Non-Normal Disturbances, Review of Economic Studies, 52, 681-690.
  • MUTETI, S. R. (2014). Relationship Between Financial Risk Management And Financial Performance of Commercial Banks In Kenya, Kenya: A Research Project, College of Humanities and Social Sciences.
  • PAGACH, D. P. ve WARR, R. S. (2010). The Effects of Enterprise Risk Management on Firm Performance, 01.04.2018 tarihinde SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1155218 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1155218 internet sitesinden alınmıştır.
  • SAYILGAN, G. (1995). Finansal Risk Yönetimi, Ankara Üniversitesi SBF Dergisi, 323-334.
  • SWEETING, P. (2017). Financial Enterprise Risk Management, United Kingdom: Cambridge University Press.
  • ŞENOL, Z. ve KARACA, S. S. (2017). Finansal Risklerin Firma Değeri Üzerine Etkisi: BİST Örneği, Gazi İktisat ve İşletme Dergisi, 3(1), 1-18.
  • ŞENOL, Z., KARACA, S. S. ve ERDOĞAN, S. (2017). The Effects of Fınancial Risk Management on Firm's Value: An Empirical Evidence From Borsa Istanbul Stock Exchange, Financial Studies, 21(4), 27-45.
  • TABACHNICK, B. ve FIDELL, L. (2001), Using Multivariate Statistics. Boston: Allyn and Bacon.
  • TAMIMI, H. A., MINIAOUI, H. ve ELKELISH, W. W. (2015). Financial Risk and Islamic Banks’ Performance in The Gulf Cooperation Council Countries, International Journal of Business and Finance Research, 9(5), 103-112.
  • YÜCEL, T., MANDACI, P. E. ve KURT, G. (2007). İşletmelerin Finansal Risk Yönetimi ve Türev Ürün Kullanımı: İMKB 100 Endeksinde Yer Alan İşletmelerde Bir Uygulama, Muhasebe ve Finansman Dergisi, 36, 106-114.
  • ZULFIQAR, S. ve ANEES, A. N. (2012). Liquidity Risk And Performance of Banking System, Journal of Financial Regulation and Compliance, 20(2), 182-195.

DETERMINATION OF THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN FINANCIAL RISKS AND FIRM VALUE: AN APPLICATION ON ISTANBUL STOCK EXCHANGE COMPANIES

Yıl 2018, Cilt: 5 Sayı: 2, 287 - 301, 30.06.2018
https://doi.org/10.30798/makuiibf.412559

Öz

This
study is aimed at revealing the relationship between financial risks and firm
value. In this context, the data from the firms, whose shares are continuously
traded on Borsa Istanbul 100 Index between 2012-2017, is analyzed by the panel
data analysis. Financial risks are represented by interest, capital, currency,
liquidity and credit risks. Firm value is measured by Tobin Q, Market
Value/Book Value and Price/Earning ratios. Within the scope of the analysis,
three different models are specified. In the first model, while a negative and
significant relationship was found between capital and liquidity risks and
Tobin Q, no significant relationship was observed with currency, credit and
interest risk. In the second model, while a negative and significant
relationship was found between credit risk and Market Value/Book Value, no
significant relationship was observed with interest, capital, currency and
liquidity risks. In the third model, while a negative and significant
relationship was found between credit and currency risks and Price/Earning
ratio, no significant relationship was observed with interest, capital and
liquidity risks. Consequently, it has been revealed that in order to increase
their firm value, Borsa Istanbul 100 index firms should consider sales and
receivable policies, financial decisions, liquidity position and exchange
rates.

Kaynakça

  • ALLAYANNIS, G. ve WESTON, J. P. (2001). The Use of Foreign Currency Derivatives and Firm Market Value, Review of Financial Studies, 14 (1), 243-276.
  • AZİM, A., HASSAN, M. ve ZAKİA, A. (2015). Risk Management And Disclosure And Their Impact on Firm Value: The Case of Egypt, International Journal of Business, Accounting, & Finance, 9(1), 30-43.
  • BALTAGI, B. H. (2013). Econometric Analysis of Panel Data, Fifth Edition Chichester: Jhon Wiley&Sons Ltd.
  • BALTAGI, B. H. ve LI, Q. (1991). A Joint Test for Serial Correlation and Random Individual Effects, Statistics and Probability Letters, 11, 277-280.
  • BALTAGI, H. B. (2005). Econometric Analysis of Panel Data. England: Wiley.
  • BECK, N. ve KATZ, J. (1995). What To Do (and Not to Do) with Time-Series Cross-Section Data, American Political Science Review, 89(3), 634-647.
  • BHARGAVA, A., FRANZINI, L. ve NARENDRANATHAN, W. (1982). Serial Correlation and the Fixed Effects Model, The Review of Economic Studies, 49(4), 533–549.
  • BORN, B., BREITUNG, J. (2016). Testing for Serial Correlation in Fixed-Effects Panel Data Models, Econometric Reviews, 35(7), 1290-1316.
  • BORSA İSTANBUL (www.borsaistanbul.com), Erişim Tarihi: 01.04.2018.
  • BREUSCH, T. S. ve PAGAN, A. R. (1980). The Lagrange Multiplier Test And Its Applications to Model Specification in Econometrics, The Review of Economic Studies, 47(1), 239-253.
  • ÇAĞDAŞ, B. ve GÜRSOY, C. T. (2003). Şirketlerde Finansal Risk Yönetimi Amaçlı Bir Modelin Geliştirilmesi Yöntem ve Aşamaları, İtüdergisi/d mühendislik, 2(3), 55-64.
  • DAMODARAN, A. (2012). Investment Valuation: Tools and Techniques for Determining the Value of Any of Any Asset, USA: John Wiley & Sons.
  • FATHI, S., ZAREI, F. ve ESFAHANI, S. S. (2012). Studying the Role of Financial Risk Management on Return on Equity, International Journal of Business and Management, 7(9), 215-221.
  • GONZALEZ, F. P. ve YUN, H. (2013). Risk Management and Firm Value: Evidence from Weather Derivatives, The Journal of Finance, 68(5), 2143-2176.
  • GREGORY, J. (2015). The XVA Challenge: Counterparty Credit Risk, Funding, Collateral and Capital, John Wiley & Sons: United Kingdom.
  • HAIR, J., ANDERSON, R., TATHAM, R. ve BLACK, W. (1998). Multivariate Data Analysis, New Jersey: Prentice-Hall.
  • HONDA, Y. (1985). Testing The Error Components Model With Non-Normal Disturbances, Review of Economic Studies, 52, 681-690.
  • MUTETI, S. R. (2014). Relationship Between Financial Risk Management And Financial Performance of Commercial Banks In Kenya, Kenya: A Research Project, College of Humanities and Social Sciences.
  • PAGACH, D. P. ve WARR, R. S. (2010). The Effects of Enterprise Risk Management on Firm Performance, 01.04.2018 tarihinde SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1155218 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1155218 internet sitesinden alınmıştır.
  • SAYILGAN, G. (1995). Finansal Risk Yönetimi, Ankara Üniversitesi SBF Dergisi, 323-334.
  • SWEETING, P. (2017). Financial Enterprise Risk Management, United Kingdom: Cambridge University Press.
  • ŞENOL, Z. ve KARACA, S. S. (2017). Finansal Risklerin Firma Değeri Üzerine Etkisi: BİST Örneği, Gazi İktisat ve İşletme Dergisi, 3(1), 1-18.
  • ŞENOL, Z., KARACA, S. S. ve ERDOĞAN, S. (2017). The Effects of Fınancial Risk Management on Firm's Value: An Empirical Evidence From Borsa Istanbul Stock Exchange, Financial Studies, 21(4), 27-45.
  • TABACHNICK, B. ve FIDELL, L. (2001), Using Multivariate Statistics. Boston: Allyn and Bacon.
  • TAMIMI, H. A., MINIAOUI, H. ve ELKELISH, W. W. (2015). Financial Risk and Islamic Banks’ Performance in The Gulf Cooperation Council Countries, International Journal of Business and Finance Research, 9(5), 103-112.
  • YÜCEL, T., MANDACI, P. E. ve KURT, G. (2007). İşletmelerin Finansal Risk Yönetimi ve Türev Ürün Kullanımı: İMKB 100 Endeksinde Yer Alan İşletmelerde Bir Uygulama, Muhasebe ve Finansman Dergisi, 36, 106-114.
  • ZULFIQAR, S. ve ANEES, A. N. (2012). Liquidity Risk And Performance of Banking System, Journal of Financial Regulation and Compliance, 20(2), 182-195.
Toplam 27 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil Türkçe
Konular İşletme
Bölüm Araştırma Makaleleri
Yazarlar

Emre Esat Topaloğlu 0000-0001-8771-779X

Yayımlanma Tarihi 30 Haziran 2018
Gönderilme Tarihi 4 Nisan 2018
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2018 Cilt: 5 Sayı: 2

Kaynak Göster

APA Topaloğlu, E. E. (2018). FİNANSAL RİSKLER İLE FİRMA DEĞERİ ARASINDAKİ İLİŞKİNİN BELİRLENMESİ: BORSA İSTANBUL FİRMALARI ÜZERİNE BİR UYGULAMA. Journal of Mehmet Akif Ersoy University Economics and Administrative Sciences Faculty, 5(2), 287-301. https://doi.org/10.30798/makuiibf.412559