ANALYSIS OF THE CAUSALITY RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN ECONOMIC GROWTH AND ECOLOGICAL FOOTPRINT IN TURKEY: THE WAVELET METHOD APPROACH

Yıl 2023, Cilt: 10 Sayı: 2, 1608 - 1626, 02.08.2023

Veysel Erat Dilek Alma Savaş Yunus Savaş

https://doi.org/10.30798/makuiibf.1282249

Öz

The relationship between ecological footprint and economic growth has recently become a subject of intense interest in the literature in addition to the relationship between environmental pollution and economic growth, The aim of this study is to examine the relationship between economic growth and ecological footprint in Turkey between the years 1961-2018 using Granger causality analysis. In addition to the original data for economic growth and ecological footprint, the Maximum Overlapping Discrete Wavelet Transform (MODWT) method was used to decompose the data into frequencies and was then restructured into short, medium, and long-term components to apply the Granger causality analysis. The results of the analysis indicate that there is no causality between the series based on the raw data. Short-term Granger causality results, on the other hand, show that there is mutual causality between the series, which is contrary to the results obtained from the original series. The causality relationship disappears in the medium term, while in the long term, a one-way causality from economic growth to ecological footprint has been identified.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Ecological Footprint, Economic Growth, Granger Causality, Wavelet Transform.

TÜRKİYE’DE EKONOMİK BÜYÜME VE EKOLOJİK AYAK İZİ ARASINDA NEDENSELLİK İLİŞKİSİNİN ANALİZİ: DALGACIK YÖNTEMİ YAKLAŞIMI

Öz

Çevre kirliliği ve ekonomik büyüme arasındaki ilişkinin yanı sıra literatürde ekolojik ayak izi ile ekonomik büyüme arasındaki ilişki de son zamanlarda yoğun ilgi gören bir konu haline gelmiştir. Bu çalışmanın amacı Türkiye’de 1961-2018 yılları arasında ekonomik büyüme ile ekolojik ayak izi arasındaki ilişkiyi, Granger nedensellik analizi kullanarak incelemektir. Bu analiz için, ekonomik büyüme ve ekolojik ayak izinin orijinal verilerinin yanı sıra, Azami Çakışan Kesikli Dalgacık Dönüşümü (MODWT) yöntemi ile frekanslara ayrıştırılan verilerin kısa, orta ve uzun dönem bileşenleri yeniden yapılandırılmıştır. Analiz sonuçları, orijinal verilere dayanarak iki serinin arasında nedensellik olmadığını göstermektedir. Ancak, kısa dönem Granger nedensellik sonuçları, orijinal serilerden elde edilen sonuçlarla çelişmekte ve karşılıklı nedensellik ilişkisi olduğunu göstermektedir. Nedensellik ilişkisi; orta dönemde kaybolurken, uzun dönemde ekonomik büyümeden ekolojik ayak izine doğru tek yönlüdür.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Ekolojik Ayak İzi, Ekonomik Büyüme, Granger Nedensellik, Dalgacık Dönüşümü.

Kaynakça

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