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Ideational Factors and Regime Security in Post-Arab Spring Realignments: Analyzing Türkiye-Gulf Arab States Relations (2011-2022)

Year 2025, Volume: 12 Issue: 2, 501 - 515, 30.06.2025
https://doi.org/10.30798/makuiibf.1519856

Abstract

This study examines the complex dynamics shaping relations between Türkiye and the Gulf Arab States in the aftermath of the Arab Spring. It addresses the central question: "How has the Arab Spring reconfigured alignments between Sunni, pro-Western Türkiye and the Gulf Arab States?" The research posits that Middle Eastern geopolitics can be more comprehensively understood through a framework that synthesizes material and ideational factors. It argues that the fluctuating convergence and divergence between these actors are primarily driven by ideational factors, with material considerations playing a significant secondary role. The study employs the regime security approach as its theoretical foundation, complemented by process tracing methodology to analyze the political, economic, and social dimensions of Türkiye-Gulf Arab States relations. This multifaceted approach aims to provide a nuanced understanding of regional realignments and contribute to the broader discourse on Middle Eastern security dynamics. By focusing on the interplay between ideational factors and regime security concerns, this research offers novel insights into the evolving nature of inter-state relations in the post-Arab Spring Middle East.

Ethical Statement

Ethics Committee approval was not required for this study. The authors declare that the study was conducted in accordance with research and publication ethics. The authors confirm that no part of the study was generated, either wholly or in part, using Artificial Intelligence (AI) tools. The authors declare that there are no financial conflicts of interest involving any institution, organization, or individual associated with this article. Additionally, there are no conflicts of interest among the authors. The authors declare that they have equal contributions to the study.

Thanks

Çok değerli değerlendirmeleriyle makalenin geliştirilmesine önemli katkı sunan Doç. Dr. P. Osama Amour hocaya çok teşekkür ederiz.

References

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  • Aljazeera. (2022, June 22). A new era: Saudi Arabia’s MBS in Turkey as nations mend ties. Aljazeera. https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/6/22/saudi-crown-prince-mbs-visits-turkey-as-countries-normalise-ties
  • Amour, P. O. (2020). Introduction: The regional order in the Gulf Region and the Middle East. In Philipp O. Amour (Ed.), The regional order in the Gulf Region and the Middle East: regional rivalries and security alliances (pp. 1-25). Palgrave Macmillan.
  • Anzola, A. (2019, January 2). The beginning of the end of the counter-revolutions. Middle East Monitor. https://www.middleeastmonitor.com/20190102-the-beginning-of-the-end-of-the-counter-revolutions/
  • Ataman, M. (2021, January 12). Körfez’deki normalleşme ve Türkiye. Kriter. https://kriterdergi.com/dis-politika/korfezdeki-normallesme-ve-turkiye
  • Ataman, M. (2022, March 1). Türkiye’nin körfez ülkeleriyle ilişkilerinin yeniden kalibrasyonu. Kriter. https://kriterdergi.com/yazar/muhittinataman/turkiyenin-korfez-ulkeleriyle-iliskilerinin-yeniden-kalibrasyonu
  • Aydıntaşbaş, A. & Bianco, C. (2021, March 15). Useful enemies: How the Turkey-UAE rivalry is remaking the Middle East. European Council on Foreign Relations. https://ecfr.eu/publication/useful-enemies-how-the-turkey-uae-rivalry-is-remaking-the-middle-east/
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  • Duran, B. (2022, February 18). Körfez’de yükselen Türkiye etkisi. Sabah. https://www.sabah.com.tr/yazarlar/duran/2022/02/18/korfezde-yukselen-turkiye-etkisi Foundation for Political, Economic and Social Research. (2021). Expert respond: The meaning of the UAE Crown Prince’s visit to Turkey. https://www.setav.org/en/experts-respond-the-meaning-of-the-uae-crown-princes-visit-to-turkey-what-to-expect/
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Year 2025, Volume: 12 Issue: 2, 501 - 515, 30.06.2025
https://doi.org/10.30798/makuiibf.1519856

Abstract

References

  • Abdulla, A. (2012). The Arab Gulf moment. In David Held & Kristian Ulrichsen (Eds.), The Transformation of the Gulf, Politics, Economics and the Global Order (pp. 106-124). Routledge.
  • Ahronheim, A. (2017, March 28). Israel pilots flying alongside pilots from the UAE in week-long Greek drill. The Jerusalem Post. https://www.jpost.com/israel-news/israel-air-force-launches-joint-drill-exercises-with-arab-greek-forces-485391
  • Al-Raşid, A. (2021, December 7). Al Ula Declaration has turned the page on Gulf Tensions. Arab News. https://www.arabnews.com/node/1982621
  • Aljazeera. (2021, December 8). Saudi Arabia’s MBS on first visit to Qatar since end of blockade. Aljazeera. https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2021/12/8/saudis-mbs-on-first-visit-to-qatar-since-blockade-lifting#:~:text=Saudi%20Arabia's%20Crown%20Prince%20Mohammed,Qatar%20was%20withdrawn%20in%20January
  • Aljazeera. (2022, June 22). A new era: Saudi Arabia’s MBS in Turkey as nations mend ties. Aljazeera. https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/6/22/saudi-crown-prince-mbs-visits-turkey-as-countries-normalise-ties
  • Amour, P. O. (2020). Introduction: The regional order in the Gulf Region and the Middle East. In Philipp O. Amour (Ed.), The regional order in the Gulf Region and the Middle East: regional rivalries and security alliances (pp. 1-25). Palgrave Macmillan.
  • Anzola, A. (2019, January 2). The beginning of the end of the counter-revolutions. Middle East Monitor. https://www.middleeastmonitor.com/20190102-the-beginning-of-the-end-of-the-counter-revolutions/
  • Ataman, M. (2021, January 12). Körfez’deki normalleşme ve Türkiye. Kriter. https://kriterdergi.com/dis-politika/korfezdeki-normallesme-ve-turkiye
  • Ataman, M. (2022, March 1). Türkiye’nin körfez ülkeleriyle ilişkilerinin yeniden kalibrasyonu. Kriter. https://kriterdergi.com/yazar/muhittinataman/turkiyenin-korfez-ulkeleriyle-iliskilerinin-yeniden-kalibrasyonu
  • Aydıntaşbaş, A. & Bianco, C. (2021, March 15). Useful enemies: How the Turkey-UAE rivalry is remaking the Middle East. European Council on Foreign Relations. https://ecfr.eu/publication/useful-enemies-how-the-turkey-uae-rivalry-is-remaking-the-middle-east/
  • Ayoob, M. (1983). Security in the third world: The worm about to turn? International Affairs, 60(1), 41-51. https://doi.org/10.2307/2618929
  • Ayoob, M. (1995). The third world security predicament: State making, regional conflict, and the international system. Lynne Rienner Publishers. https://doi.org/10.1515/9781685853778
  • Battaloğlu, N. H. (2021, January 27). Katar krizinin çözümü sonrası bölgesel güvenlik ve kimlikler. Perspektif. https://www.perspektif.online/katar-krizinin-cozumu-sonrasi-bolgesel-guvenlik-ve-kimlikler/
  • Baycar, H. (2022, June 24). Saudi-Turkish normalization: More complicated than meets the eye. Gulf International Forum. https://gulfif.org/saudi-turkish-normalization-more-complicated-than-meets-the-eye/
  • BBC News. (2021, May 5). Qatar Crisis: Saudi Arabia and allies restore diplomatic ties with emirate. BBC News. https://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-55538792
  • Bennett, A. (2010). From analytic eclecticism to structure pluralism. Newsletter of APSA Organized Section for Qualitative and Multi-Method Research, 8(2), 8-17.
  • Bianco, C. (2020). Gulf monarchies and the eastern Mediterranean: Growing ambitions. ECFR. https://ecfr.eu/special/eastern_med/gcc
  • Buzan, B. (1991). People, states and fear (2nd edition). Lynne Reinner Publisher.
  • Çakmaklı, C., Demiralp, S., Yeşiltaş, S., & Yıldırım, M. A. (2021). An evaluation of the turkish economy during COVID-19. Center for Applied Turkey Studies (CATS). https://www.swp-berlin.org/publications/products/arbeitspapiere/CATS__Working_Paper_Nr_1_2021_Cakmakli_Demiralp_Yesiltas_Yildirim.pdf
  • Çelik, K. E. (2021). Katar krizi’nde yumuşama evresi: Türkiye ve bölge perspektifinden bir bakış. ANKASAM & AHKACAM. https://www.ankasam.org/anka-analizler/katar-krizinde-yumusama-evresi-turkiye-ve-bolge-perspektifinden-bir-bakis/
  • Checkel, J. T. (2008). Process Tracing. In Klotz, A. & Prakash, D. (Eds.), Qualitative methods in International Relations: A Pluralist Guide (pp. 114-130). Palgrave McMillan
  • Cook, S. A. & Ibish, H. (2019). Turkey’s resurgence as a regional power confronts a fractured GCC. AGSIW. https://agsiw.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/12/Steve-Cook_Ibish_Turkey_ONLINE.pdf
  • Cordesman, A. H. (2015, January 23). Saudi Arabia’s smooth succession: The King is dead, long live the king. Center for Strategic and International Studies. https://www.csis.org/analysis/saudi-arabias-smooth-succession-king-dead-long-live-king
  • Coşkun, O. (2022, April 29). Erdogan visits Saudi Arabia hoping for new era in ties. Reuters. https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/turkeys-erdogan-travel-saudi-arabia-thursday-2022-04-28/
  • Daily Sabah. (2022, April 8). Saudi Arabia visit heralds new era in bilateral ties, Erdogan says. https://www.dailysabah.com/politics/diplomacy/saudi-arabia-visit-heralds-new-era-in-bilateral-ties-erdogan-says
  • Dalay, G. (2021, December 6). Ortadoğu’nun ‘yeni dönemi’. Perspektif. https://www.perspektif.online/ortadogunun-yeni-donemi/
  • Daragahi, B. & Heba, S. (2013, October 31). Army ousts Egypt’s first Islamist president. Financial Times. https://www.ft.com/content/2727bb22-e3ca-11e2-b35b-00144feabdc0
  • Duran, B. (2021, December 7). Katar ziyareti ve Körfez’de yeni dengeler. Sabah. https://www.sabah.com.tr/yazarlar/duran/2021/12/07/katar-ziyareti-ve-korfezde-yeni-dengeler
  • Duran, B. (2022, February 18). Körfez’de yükselen Türkiye etkisi. Sabah. https://www.sabah.com.tr/yazarlar/duran/2022/02/18/korfezde-yukselen-turkiye-etkisi Foundation for Political, Economic and Social Research. (2021). Expert respond: The meaning of the UAE Crown Prince’s visit to Turkey. https://www.setav.org/en/experts-respond-the-meaning-of-the-uae-crown-princes-visit-to-turkey-what-to-expect/
  • Gardner, D. (2019, July 31). The long march of autocracy across the Middle East. Financial Times. https://www.ft.com/content/70540b82-b2dd-11e9-8cb2-799a3a8cf37b
  • Gill, J. (2019, December 31). 2010-2019: The Middle East’s decade of revolution. Middle East Eye. https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/middle-east-and-revolution-who-fell-and-who-survived-decade
  • Haaretz. (2018, March 22). Israel and UAE Fly Together in Annual Joint Exercise in Greece. HAARETZ. https://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/2018-03-22/ty-article/in-photos-israel-uae-fly-together-in-annual-joint-exercise-in-greece/0000017f-dba5-df62-a9ff-dff710a50000
  • Hamzaoğlu, H. & Merdan, A. S. (2024). The Arab spring and Russia’s Middle East policy. Journal of Mehmet Akif Ersoy University Economics and Administrative Sciences Faculty, 11(3), 1095-1112. https://doi.org/10.30798/makuiibf.1451500
  • Hinnebusch, R. (2014). The Arab uprisings and the MENA regional states system. International Relations, 11(42), 7-27. https://doi.org/10.33458/uidergisi.553294
  • Hinnebusch, R. (2019). The Arab uprising and regional power struggle. In Shahram Akbarzadeh (Ed.), Routledge Handbook of International Relations in the Middle East (1st ed., pp. 110-124). Routledge.
  • Jackson, R. (2007). Regime security. In Alan Collins (Ed.), Contemporary Security Studies (pp.146-164). Oxford University Press.
  • Job, B. (1992). The insecurity dilemma: National, regime, and state securities in the Third World. In Brian L. Job (Ed.), The Insecurity Dilemma: National Security of Third World States (pp. 11-37). Lynne Rienner Publishers. https://doi.org/10.1515/9781685858346
  • Kabalan, M. (2018). The gulf crisis: The U.S. factor. Insight Turkey, 20(2), 33-50.
  • Kaddorah, E. Y. (2021). The rise of the GCC states and Turkey: Convergent and divergent regional agendas. Cambridge Scholar Publishing.
  • Khalid, T. (2021, January 6). Full transcript of AlUla GCC Summit Declaration: Bolstering Gulf unity. Al Arabiya News. https://english.alarabiya.net/News/gulf/2021/01/06/Full-transcript-of-AlUla-GCC-Summit-Declaration-Bolstering-Gulf-unity
  • Lynch, M. (2016, August 11). The new Arab wars: Uprisings and anarchy in the Middle East. Public Affairs. https://www.foreignaffairs.com/reviews/capsule-review/2016-08-11/new-arab-wars-uprisings-and-anarchy-middle-east?utm_source=google&utm_medium=cpc&utm_campaign=dsa_middle_east_tfd&gad_source=1&gad_campaignid=21047307262&gbraid=0AAAAAD7NbWmt896EfNNepRHbptwY-uRPT&gclid=CjwKCAjwx8nCBhAwEiwA_z__0--xCLhkaNwiRHRXOoqzr-4lopVh8YfD-rjTTDG8NAFC2ee82h5h6RoC7YoQAvD_BwE
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Details

Primary Language English
Subjects Middle East Studies, Politics in International Relations, Security Studies
Journal Section Research Articles
Authors

Ahmet Üçağaç 0000-0002-1731-2946

Duygu Kalkan 0000-0002-6650-5357

Early Pub Date June 28, 2025
Publication Date June 30, 2025
Submission Date July 21, 2024
Acceptance Date April 22, 2025
Published in Issue Year 2025 Volume: 12 Issue: 2

Cite

APA Üçağaç, A., & Kalkan, D. (2025). Ideational Factors and Regime Security in Post-Arab Spring Realignments: Analyzing Türkiye-Gulf Arab States Relations (2011-2022). Journal of Mehmet Akif Ersoy University Economics and Administrative Sciences Faculty, 12(2), 501-515. https://doi.org/10.30798/makuiibf.1519856

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