Research Article
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Fig (Ficus carica L.) phenology: BBCH Scale modeling and climatic effects

Year 2025, Volume: 38 Issue: 3 , 117 - 125 , 16.12.2025
https://doi.org/10.29136/mediterranean.1791812
https://izlik.org/JA36LX68NR

Abstract

Fig is a traditional fruit grown in the Mediterranean climate and has high economic value. In recent years, greater temperature variability, irregular precipitation patterns, and rising drought risk have negatively affected fig cultivation and the need for studies to understand the relationship between fig phenological development stages and climatic factors is increasing. In this research, the general phenological conditions of figs were evaluated based on observations and micro-climatic data between 2018-2023. Also shoot development stages were evaluated between 2015-2023 in three Sarılop fig orchards located at different altitudes in Aydın and İzmir provinces, two important fig production centers of the Aegean Region. Phenological stages were adapted using the BBCH (Biologische Bundesanstalt, Bundessortenamt und CHemische Industrie) scale developed by the International Phenology Monitoring Program, which systematically classifies the growth stages of plants. All developmental stages from bud swelling to dormancy period were coded and the start and end dates for each phenophase were determined. In addition, the effects of temperature accumulation (degree/day) and altitude on phenophases with high climatic sensitivity, such as shoot development, were investigated. The findings revealed that the effective total temperature required for the fig plant to sustain its annual vegetative and generative development generally ranges between 20640C and 21970C, and that locations within this range are more suitable for economically viable cultivation. As a result, it was revealed that the BBCH scale can be used in phenological modeling and agro-climatic risk analyses in addition to its applicability for figs. This research offers significant contributions to early warning systems and agricultural planning.

Ethical Statement

An Ethics Committee Document is not required.

Supporting Institution

This project is part of the project titled "Investigation of the Effects of Climatic Factors on Fig Phenology and Fruit Quality" (TAGEM/TSKAD/14/A13/P01/1). It was supported by TAGEM (General Directorate of Agricultural Research and Policies).

Project Number

TAGEM/TSKAD/14/A13/P01/1

Thanks

We would like to thank the General Directorate of Agricultural Research and Policies and the Fig Research Institute of the Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry for supporting the project.

References

  • Agegnehu G, Tesfaye K, Gebrekidan H (2020) Phenological responses of subtropical fruit crops under climate variability. Journal of Horticultural Science 95(3): 230-240.
  • Alonso Báez M, Pérez Barraza MH, Sandoval Esquivez A (2016) Ajuste de las escalas alfa numerica y bbch a la fenología floral del mango ataulfo (mangifera indica l.). AgEcon Search, Research in Agricultural and Applied Economics 9(4): 78-85.
  • Ayar A, Belge A, Gülce M, Ertan B, Birol D, Kargıcak MA (2018) Tescile esas Sarılop (Ficus carica L.) klonlarının meyve kalite parametreleri yönünden incelenmesi (Proje No: TAGEM/BBAD/16/AOB/P07/02). Aydın. T.C. Gıda Tarım ve Hayvancılık Bakanlığı.
  • BBCH Monograph (2001) Growth Stages of mono and dicotyledonous plants. Federal Biological Research Centre for Agriculture and Forestry. 2. Edition. https://www.masaf.gov.it/flex/AppData/WebLive/Agrometeo/MIEPFY800/BBCHengl2001.pdf. Accesed 20 October, 2025.
  • Elnesr NM, Alazba AA (2016) An integral model to calculate the growing degree days and heat units: A spreadsheet application. Computers and Electronics in Agriculture. 124: 37-45. doi:10.1016/j.compag.2016.03.015.
  • Gökkür S, Şahin M (2024) İklim Değişikliğinin Şeftali Nektarin Yetiştiriciliğine Etkileri (Effects of Climate Change on Peach and Nectarine Cultivation). In book: Şeftali Nektarin Yetiştiriciliği Chapter: XVI Ed. Şeker, M., Gür, M., P. Akyürek, M. Iksad.
  • Hodges T, Botner D, Sakamoto L, Hays-Haung J (1987) Using the CERES-Maize model to estimate production for the U.S. Corn Belt. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 40(4): 293-303. doi:10.1016/0168-1923(87)90040-6.
  • IPCC (2019) Climate change and land: An IPCC special report on climate change, desertification, land degradation, sustainable land management, food security, and greenhouse gas fluxes in terrestrial ecosystems (P. R. Shukla et al., Eds.). Cambridge University Press. https://www.ipcc.ch/srccl/.
  • IPCC (2022) Climate change 2022: Impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (H.-O. Pörtner et al., Eds.). Cambridge University Press. https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg2/.
  • Jamea YW, Cutforth HW, Ritchie JT (1998) Interaction of temperature and day length on leaf appearance rate in wheat and barley. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology. 92(4): 241-249. doi:10.1016/S0168-1923(98)00101-4.
  • Kocataş H (2014) Bazı incir çeşitlerinin soğuklanma sürelerinin ve hidrojen siyanamid (H2Cn2) uygulamasının erkencilik üzerine etkilerinin belirlenmesi. Yüksek lisans tezi. Aydın Adnan Menderes Üniversitesi Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü, Aydın.
  • Kösoğlu İ, Bucak C (2009) İncirin klimatolojik, coğrafik ve jeolojik istekleri: Aydın modeli. Aydın: T.C. Gıda Tarım ve Hayvancılık Bakanlığı, Erbeyli İncir Araştırma Enstitüsü Yayını.
  • Meier U (2001) BBCH Monograph: Growth stages of mono- and dicotyledonous plants (2nd ed.). Federal Biological Research Centre for Agriculture and Forestry.
  • Meier U, Bleiholder H, Buhr L, Feller C, Hack H, Hess M, Weber E (2018) BBCH monograph: Growth stages of mono- and dicotyledonous plants. Julius Kühn-Institut. doi:10.5073/20180906-074619.
  • Özbek S (1978) Özel meyvecilik (Yayın No. 128). Adana: Çukurova Üniversitesi Ziraat Fakültesi.
  • Parker VT, Callaway J, Schile LM, Vasey, MC, Herbert ER (2011) Climate change and San Francisco Bay–Delta tidal wetlands. San Francisco Estuary and Watershed Science 9(3). doi:10.15447/sfews.2011v9iss3art3.
  • Singh VK, Ravishankar H, Singh A, Soni, MK (2015) Pruning in guava (Psidium guajava) and appraisal of consequent flowering phenology using modified BBCH scale. The Indian Journal of Agricultural Sciences 85(11): 1472-1476. doi: 10.56093/ijas.v85i11.53752.
  • Snyder RL (1985) Hand calculating degree days. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 35(1): 353-358.
  • Şahin M (2024) Determination of effective heat requirements between full bloom to harvest dates of important Prunus salicina L. cultivars. Journal for the Agriculture, Biotechnology and Education 4(3): 67-73.
  • Tan N, Kösoğlu İ, Konak R, Görücüoğlu (Doğan) P, Altunkaya O, Arpacı S, Aşçı (Kuruoğlu) G, Akdemir HA, Mutlu D, Baydar A (2017) İncirin Fenolojisi ve Meyve Kalitesi Üzerine İklimsel Faktörlerin Etkilerinin Araştırılması. Gıda Tarım ve Hayvancılık Bakanlığı -TAGEM, Erbeyli İncir Araştırma Enstitüsü Yayını, Aydın.
  • Türkoğlu N, Çiçek İ, Şensoy S (2014) Türkiye’de iklim değişikliğinin meyve ağaçları ve tarla bitkilerinin fenolojik dönemlerine etkileri. TÜCAUM - VIII. Coğrafya Sempozyumu, Ankara.

Fig (Ficus carica L.) phenology: BBCH Scale modeling and climatic effects

Year 2025, Volume: 38 Issue: 3 , 117 - 125 , 16.12.2025
https://doi.org/10.29136/mediterranean.1791812
https://izlik.org/JA36LX68NR

Abstract

Fig is a traditional fruit grown in the Mediterranean climate and has high economic value. In recent years, greater temperature variability, irregular precipitation patterns, and rising drought risk have negatively affected fig cultivation and the need for studies to understand the relationship between fig phenological development stages and climatic factors is increasing. In this research, the general phenological conditions of figs were evaluated based on observations and micro-climatic data between 2018-2023. Also shoot development stages were evaluated between 2015-2023 in three Sarılop fig orchards located at different altitudes in Aydın and İzmir provinces, two important fig production centers of the Aegean Region. Phenological stages were adapted using the BBCH (Biologische Bundesanstalt, Bundessortenamt und CHemische Industrie) scale developed by the International Phenology Monitoring Program, which systematically classifies the growth stages of plants. All developmental stages from bud swelling to dormancy period were coded and the start and end dates for each phenophase were determined. In addition, the effects of temperature accumulation (degree/day) and altitude on phenophases with high climatic sensitivity, such as shoot development, were investigated. The findings revealed that the effective total temperature required for the fig plant to sustain its annual vegetative and generative development generally ranges between 20640C and 21970C, and that locations within this range are more suitable for economically viable cultivation. As a result, it was revealed that the BBCH scale can be used in phenological modeling and agro-climatic risk analyses in addition to its applicability for figs. This research offers significant contributions to early warning systems and agricultural planning.

Ethical Statement

Etik Kurul Belgesine gerek yoktur.

Supporting Institution

Bu proje TAGEM/TSKAD/14/A13/P01/1 No’lu “İncirin Fenolojisi ve Meyve Kalitesi Üzerine İklimsel Faktörlerin Etkilerinin Araştırılması” konulu projesinin bir parçasıdır. TAGEM (Tarımsal Araştırmalar ve Politikalar Genel Müdürlüğü) tarafından destekleniştir.

Project Number

TAGEM/TSKAD/14/A13/P01/1

Thanks

Yazarlar herhangi bir çıkar çatışması olmadığını beyan etmektedirler. Teşekkür Projeyi destekleyen Tarım ve Orman Bakanlığı Tarımsal Araştırmalar ve Politikalar Genel Müdürlüğü ve İncir Araştırma Enstitüsü Müdürlüğü’ne teşekkür ederiz.

References

  • Agegnehu G, Tesfaye K, Gebrekidan H (2020) Phenological responses of subtropical fruit crops under climate variability. Journal of Horticultural Science 95(3): 230-240.
  • Alonso Báez M, Pérez Barraza MH, Sandoval Esquivez A (2016) Ajuste de las escalas alfa numerica y bbch a la fenología floral del mango ataulfo (mangifera indica l.). AgEcon Search, Research in Agricultural and Applied Economics 9(4): 78-85.
  • Ayar A, Belge A, Gülce M, Ertan B, Birol D, Kargıcak MA (2018) Tescile esas Sarılop (Ficus carica L.) klonlarının meyve kalite parametreleri yönünden incelenmesi (Proje No: TAGEM/BBAD/16/AOB/P07/02). Aydın. T.C. Gıda Tarım ve Hayvancılık Bakanlığı.
  • BBCH Monograph (2001) Growth Stages of mono and dicotyledonous plants. Federal Biological Research Centre for Agriculture and Forestry. 2. Edition. https://www.masaf.gov.it/flex/AppData/WebLive/Agrometeo/MIEPFY800/BBCHengl2001.pdf. Accesed 20 October, 2025.
  • Elnesr NM, Alazba AA (2016) An integral model to calculate the growing degree days and heat units: A spreadsheet application. Computers and Electronics in Agriculture. 124: 37-45. doi:10.1016/j.compag.2016.03.015.
  • Gökkür S, Şahin M (2024) İklim Değişikliğinin Şeftali Nektarin Yetiştiriciliğine Etkileri (Effects of Climate Change on Peach and Nectarine Cultivation). In book: Şeftali Nektarin Yetiştiriciliği Chapter: XVI Ed. Şeker, M., Gür, M., P. Akyürek, M. Iksad.
  • Hodges T, Botner D, Sakamoto L, Hays-Haung J (1987) Using the CERES-Maize model to estimate production for the U.S. Corn Belt. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 40(4): 293-303. doi:10.1016/0168-1923(87)90040-6.
  • IPCC (2019) Climate change and land: An IPCC special report on climate change, desertification, land degradation, sustainable land management, food security, and greenhouse gas fluxes in terrestrial ecosystems (P. R. Shukla et al., Eds.). Cambridge University Press. https://www.ipcc.ch/srccl/.
  • IPCC (2022) Climate change 2022: Impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (H.-O. Pörtner et al., Eds.). Cambridge University Press. https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg2/.
  • Jamea YW, Cutforth HW, Ritchie JT (1998) Interaction of temperature and day length on leaf appearance rate in wheat and barley. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology. 92(4): 241-249. doi:10.1016/S0168-1923(98)00101-4.
  • Kocataş H (2014) Bazı incir çeşitlerinin soğuklanma sürelerinin ve hidrojen siyanamid (H2Cn2) uygulamasının erkencilik üzerine etkilerinin belirlenmesi. Yüksek lisans tezi. Aydın Adnan Menderes Üniversitesi Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü, Aydın.
  • Kösoğlu İ, Bucak C (2009) İncirin klimatolojik, coğrafik ve jeolojik istekleri: Aydın modeli. Aydın: T.C. Gıda Tarım ve Hayvancılık Bakanlığı, Erbeyli İncir Araştırma Enstitüsü Yayını.
  • Meier U (2001) BBCH Monograph: Growth stages of mono- and dicotyledonous plants (2nd ed.). Federal Biological Research Centre for Agriculture and Forestry.
  • Meier U, Bleiholder H, Buhr L, Feller C, Hack H, Hess M, Weber E (2018) BBCH monograph: Growth stages of mono- and dicotyledonous plants. Julius Kühn-Institut. doi:10.5073/20180906-074619.
  • Özbek S (1978) Özel meyvecilik (Yayın No. 128). Adana: Çukurova Üniversitesi Ziraat Fakültesi.
  • Parker VT, Callaway J, Schile LM, Vasey, MC, Herbert ER (2011) Climate change and San Francisco Bay–Delta tidal wetlands. San Francisco Estuary and Watershed Science 9(3). doi:10.15447/sfews.2011v9iss3art3.
  • Singh VK, Ravishankar H, Singh A, Soni, MK (2015) Pruning in guava (Psidium guajava) and appraisal of consequent flowering phenology using modified BBCH scale. The Indian Journal of Agricultural Sciences 85(11): 1472-1476. doi: 10.56093/ijas.v85i11.53752.
  • Snyder RL (1985) Hand calculating degree days. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 35(1): 353-358.
  • Şahin M (2024) Determination of effective heat requirements between full bloom to harvest dates of important Prunus salicina L. cultivars. Journal for the Agriculture, Biotechnology and Education 4(3): 67-73.
  • Tan N, Kösoğlu İ, Konak R, Görücüoğlu (Doğan) P, Altunkaya O, Arpacı S, Aşçı (Kuruoğlu) G, Akdemir HA, Mutlu D, Baydar A (2017) İncirin Fenolojisi ve Meyve Kalitesi Üzerine İklimsel Faktörlerin Etkilerinin Araştırılması. Gıda Tarım ve Hayvancılık Bakanlığı -TAGEM, Erbeyli İncir Araştırma Enstitüsü Yayını, Aydın.
  • Türkoğlu N, Çiçek İ, Şensoy S (2014) Türkiye’de iklim değişikliğinin meyve ağaçları ve tarla bitkilerinin fenolojik dönemlerine etkileri. TÜCAUM - VIII. Coğrafya Sempozyumu, Ankara.
There are 21 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language English
Subjects Agronomy
Journal Section Research Article
Authors

Arzu Ayar 0000-0002-2080-209X

Mehmet Ali Kargıcak 0000-0002-5112-6872

Demet Mutlu 0000-0002-3113-8681

Project Number TAGEM/TSKAD/14/A13/P01/1
Submission Date September 26, 2025
Acceptance Date October 31, 2025
Publication Date December 16, 2025
DOI https://doi.org/10.29136/mediterranean.1791812
IZ https://izlik.org/JA36LX68NR
Published in Issue Year 2025 Volume: 38 Issue: 3

Cite

APA Ayar, A., Kargıcak, M. A., & Mutlu, D. (2025). Fig (Ficus carica L.) phenology: BBCH Scale modeling and climatic effects. Mediterranean Agricultural Sciences, 38(3), 117-125. https://doi.org/10.29136/mediterranean.1791812
AMA 1.Ayar A, Kargıcak MA, Mutlu D. Fig (Ficus carica L.) phenology: BBCH Scale modeling and climatic effects. Mediterranean Agricultural Sciences. 2025;38(3):117-125. doi:10.29136/mediterranean.1791812
Chicago Ayar, Arzu, Mehmet Ali Kargıcak, and Demet Mutlu. 2025. “Fig (Ficus Carica L.) Phenology: BBCH Scale Modeling and Climatic Effects”. Mediterranean Agricultural Sciences 38 (3): 117-25. https://doi.org/10.29136/mediterranean.1791812.
EndNote Ayar A, Kargıcak MA, Mutlu D (December 1, 2025) Fig (Ficus carica L.) phenology: BBCH Scale modeling and climatic effects. Mediterranean Agricultural Sciences 38 3 117–125.
IEEE [1]A. Ayar, M. A. Kargıcak, and D. Mutlu, “Fig (Ficus carica L.) phenology: BBCH Scale modeling and climatic effects”, Mediterranean Agricultural Sciences, vol. 38, no. 3, pp. 117–125, Dec. 2025, doi: 10.29136/mediterranean.1791812.
ISNAD Ayar, Arzu - Kargıcak, Mehmet Ali - Mutlu, Demet. “Fig (Ficus Carica L.) Phenology: BBCH Scale Modeling and Climatic Effects”. Mediterranean Agricultural Sciences 38/3 (December 1, 2025): 117-125. https://doi.org/10.29136/mediterranean.1791812.
JAMA 1.Ayar A, Kargıcak MA, Mutlu D. Fig (Ficus carica L.) phenology: BBCH Scale modeling and climatic effects. Mediterranean Agricultural Sciences. 2025;38:117–125.
MLA Ayar, Arzu, et al. “Fig (Ficus Carica L.) Phenology: BBCH Scale Modeling and Climatic Effects”. Mediterranean Agricultural Sciences, vol. 38, no. 3, Dec. 2025, pp. 117-25, doi:10.29136/mediterranean.1791812.
Vancouver 1.Arzu Ayar, Mehmet Ali Kargıcak, Demet Mutlu. Fig (Ficus carica L.) phenology: BBCH Scale modeling and climatic effects. Mediterranean Agricultural Sciences. 2025 Dec. 1;38(3):117-25. doi:10.29136/mediterranean.1791812

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