Analysis of the risks in simulator-based maritime accident examination processes under Fuzzy extended AHP technique

Abstract

Simulator-based maritime accident investigations make a significant contribution to enhancing maritime safety. However, performing such studies is quite difficult and require the successful management of comprehensive preparation, scenario implementation, and analysis processes. In this context, many different risk factors must be overcome throughout the process. This study investigates the risk factors that hinder the effective and successful implementation of full mission bridge simulator based-maritime accident investigation studies. Potential risks were weighted using the Fuzzy Extended AHP technique backed by Quadratic Mean Method, and the most critical risk factors were identified. Furthermore, regulatory and preventive activities aimed at overcoming these risk factors are discussed. The outputs of the research will contribute to the more effective and realistic implementations of simulator-based accident analysis studies and other shipboard operations related training programs. Thus, seafarers and other maritime professionals will have their awareness of the ways in which maritime accidents happen and potential causes of accidents increased through a technology-driven application.

Keywords

• Risk factor analysis
• Fuzzy-AHP
• Quadratic Mean Method
• Full mission bridge simulator
• Accident analysis

Bulanık genişletilmiş AHP tekniği altında simülatör tabanlı deniz kazası inceleme süreçlerindeki risklerin analizi

Abstract

Simülatör tabanlı deniz kazası araştırmaları, deniz emniyetinin artırılmasına önemli katkı sağlamaktadır. Bununla birlikte, bu tür çalışmaların yürütülmesi oldukça zordur ve kapsamlı hazırlık, senaryo uygulama ve analiz süreçlerinin başarılı bir şekilde yönetilmesini gerektirir. Bu bağlamda, süreç boyunca birçok farklı risk faktörünün üstesinden gelinmesi gerekmektedir. Bu çalışma, tam donanımlı köprü üstü simülatörü destekli deniz kazası araştırma çalışmalarının etkili ve başarılı bir şekilde uygulanmasını engelleyen risk faktörlerini araştırmaktadır. Potansiyel riskler, Kareli Ortalama Yöntemi ile desteklenen Bulanık Genişletilmiş AHP tekniği kullanılarak ağırlıklandırılmış ve en kritik risk faktörleri belirlenmiştir. Ayrıca, bu risk faktörlerinin üstesinden gelmeyi amaçlayan düzenleyici ve önleyici faaliyetler ele alınmıştır. Araştırmanın sonuçları, simülatör tabanlı kaza analizi çalışmalarının ve diğer gemi operasyonlarıyla ilgili eğitim programlarının daha etkili ve gerçekçi bir şekilde uygulanmasına katkıda bulunacaktır. Böylece, denizciler ve diğer denizcilik profesyonelleri, teknoloji odaklı bir uygulama aracılığıyla deniz kazalarının nasıl meydana geldiği ve kazaların potansiyel nedenleri konusunda farkındalıklarını artıracaklardır.

Keywords

• Risk faktör analizi
• Bulanık AHP
• Kareli Ortalama Yöntemi
• Tam donanımlı köprü üstü simülatörü
• Kaza analizi

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