Perceived Effects of Climate Change on Farm Income: Insights from Smallholder Arable Crops Farmers in South-west Nigeria
Year 2024,
Volume: 34 Issue: 4, 608 - 620
Rasheed Ayodele Ayinla
,
Oluwagbenga Alao
,
Solomon Adesoji
,
Rachael Ajibola Ayinla
,
Seyi Olalekan Olawuyi
Abstract
Climate change presents significant challenges for smallholder arable crop farmers whose major livelihood revolves around agriculture. This is further worsened by farmers’ poor awareness and limited knowledge of mitigating the associated risks with debilitating consequences on Farm Income. Therefore, this study investigated the perceived effects of climate change on farm income in South-west Nigeria, using cross-sectional data elicited from randomly selected 389 arable crop farmers. The data were analyzed using descriptive statistics, principal component analysis (PCA), and ordinary least square regression (OLS) technique. The results indicated that the farming population skewed towards older individuals, with an average age of approximately 55 years. Farmers were predominantly male, comprising 78.1% of the sample, who primarily derived their livelihood from agriculture, with 77.4% engaging in farming as their main occupation. Additionally, a significant portion of the farmers, accounting for 67.6%, possess secondary or higher education qualifications. Widely adopted coping practices include varying planting dates, multiple cropping, zero bush burning, crop rotation, irrigation, manure mulching, and cultivating drought/flood-tolerant varieties. Also, the estimates from the fitted OLS regression model revealed that farmers’ knowledge and perception of climate change had significant relationships with farm income. Factors such as education, years of farming experience, farm size, access to extension services, social networks, access to climate change information, challenges on climate change mitigation, and coping strategies employed by the farmers were indicated to significantly influence farm income among the smallholder farmers in the study area. Therefore, the promotion of sustainable agricultural practices and bridging the knowledge-practice gap can strengthen farmers’ adaptive capacity against climate change effects.
Ethical Statement
The dataset used in this research titled: “Perceived Effects of Climate Change on Farm Income: Insights from Smallholder Arable Crops Farmers in South-west Nigeria” were elicited from the research participants in line with standard ethical practices, and as highlighted in the Helsinki’s declaration on research guidelines, which are: “anonymity, informed consent, privacy, confidentiality, and professionalism”. The study was also approved by the Research Ethics and the Postgraduate Research Committees, Faculty of Agricultural Production and Management, College of Agriculture, Osun State University, Nigeria.
Project Number
Not Applicable
References
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- Alao, O. T., Torimiro, D. O., & Ayinde, J. O. (2014). Perception of Youth Roles in Agricultural Innovation Management System among Arable Crop Farmers in Farming Communities of Osun State, Nigeria. American Journal of Experimental Agriculture, 5(2), 124-133. https://journaljeai.com/index.php/JEAI/article/view/759
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- Deutsch, C., Tewksbury, J., Huay, R., Sheldon, K., Ghalambor, C., Haak, D., & Martin, P. (2008). Impact of climate warming on terrestrial ectotherms across latitude. Proc Natl. Acad sci., 105(18), 6668-6672. doi: https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0709472105
- Elum, Z. A., & Momodu, A. S. (2017). Climate change mitigation and renewable energy for sustainable development in Nigeria: A discourse approach. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 76, 72-87. doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2017.03.040
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- Emmanuel, S. M., Selzing, P. M., Ogbole, A. S., & Wuyep, S. Z. (2024). Indigenous Climate Change Adaptation Strategies among Farmers in Jos-South Local Government Area, Plateau State, Nigeria. Fuwukari Journal of Social Sciences (FUWJSS), 3(1), 54-70. Available at: https://www.academia.edu/114536214/INDIGENOUS_CLIMATE_CHANGE_ADAPTATION_STRATEGIES_AMONG_FARMERS_IN_JOS_SOUTH_LOCAL_GOVERNMENT_AREA_PLATEAU_STATE_NIGERIA?uc-sb-sw=75909681
- Eneji, C. V., Onnoghen, N. U., Acha, J. O., & Diwa, J. B. (2020). Climate change awareness, environmental education and gender role burdens among rural farmers of Northern Cross River State, Nigeria. International Journal of Climate Change Strategies and Management, 13(4/5), 397-415. doi: https://doi.org/10.1108/IJCCSM-06-2020-0070
- Heriansyah, P., Anwar, P., & Prima, A. (2022). Understanding Farmer Perception and Impact of Seasonal Climate Event on Rice Farming in Indonesia: Implication for Adaptation Policy in Local Level. Yuzuncu Yıl University Journal of Agricultural Sciences, 32(3), 462-476. https://doi.org/10.29133/yyutbd.1084525
- Ibrahim, S., Idris, A., & Arowolo, A. (2015). Analysis of arable crop farmers’ awareness to causes and effects of climate change in south western Nigeria. International Journal of Social Economics, 42(7): 614-628. doi: https://doi.org/10.1108/IJSE-09-2013-0201
- Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change IPCC (2014). Global climate change impacts in the United States. Fifth assessment report of the United States Global Change Research programme, Cambridge University Press, UK.
- Jatto, K. A., Adeoye, S. A., & Oke, O. O. (2022). Economic Analysis of Cassava (Manihot esculenta Crantz) Production in Akinyele Local Government Area of Oyo State, Nigeria. Journal of Sustainable Agriculture and the Environment, 18(1), 87-100. Available at: https://ojs.mouau.edu.ng/index.php/jsae/article/view/209
- Kabir, M. I., Rahman, M. B., Smith, W. et al. (2016). Knowledge and perception about climate change and human health findings from a baseline survey among vulnerable communities in Bangladesh. BMC Public Health, 16, 266. doi: https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-016-2930-3
- Khatibi, F. S., Dedekorkut-Howes, A., Howes, M., et al. (2021). Can public awareness, knowledge and engagement improve climate change adaptation policies?. Discover Sustainability 2(18), 1-24. doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s43621-021-00024-z
- Kibue, G. W., Liu, X., & Zheng, J. (2016). Farmers’ perceptions of climate variability and factors influencing adaptation: evidence from Anhui and Jiangsu, China. Environmental Management, 57(5), 976–986. doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00267-016-0661-y
- Lesley, C., & Lalevie, L. (2019). Knowledge, Attitudes, Practices and Action on Climate and Environmental Awareness of the twenty–two villages along the River Bank in Cagayan de-oro city, Philippines: PART 2. Acta Scientific Agriculture, 3, 114-125. Available at: https://actascientific.com/ASAG/pdf/ASAG-03-0342.pdf
- Marquardt, D. W. (1970). Generalized inverses, ridge regression, biased linear estimation and nonlinear estimation. Technometrics, 12, 591-612. doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/00401706.1970.10488699
- Mba, C., Ezeh, C., Madu, I.A., & Emeribe, C. (2022). Assessment of climate variability and the determinants of rice productivity in Southeastern Nigeria. Yuzuncu Yıl University Journal of Agricultural Sciences, 32(4), 805-824. https://doi.org/10.29133/yyutbd.1132709
- Midi, H., & Bagheri, A. (2010). Robust multicollinearity diagnostic measure in collinear data set. Paper presented at the 4th international conference on applied mathematics, simulation, modeling: World Scientific and Engineering Academy and Society (WSEAS), July 22-25, Iwate, Prefecture, Japan. URL: http://www.wseas.us/e-library/conferences/2010/Corfu/ASM/ASM-21.pdf.
- Nyong, A., Adesina, F., & Osman-Elasha, B. (2007). The Value of Indigenous Knowledge in Climate Change Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies in the African Sahel. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, 12(5), 787-797. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11027-007-9099-0
- Ojo, T. O., & Baiyegunhi, L. J. S. (2020). Determinants of climate change adaptation strategies and its impact on the net farm income of rice farmers in South-west Nigeria. Land Use Policy, 95, 103946, doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2019.04.007
- Oke, O., Adeniji, O. B., Bamigboye, O. T., Olawale, O. O., Adeoye, A. S., & Adewumi, O. T. (2023). Involvement of selected arable crop farmers in agro-forestry practices in Ekiti state, Nigeria. UNIZIK Journal of Engineering and Applied Sciences, 2(1), 207-216. Available at: https://journals.unizik.edu.ng/ujeas/article/view/2205
- Olajide, O. A. (2014). Climate Change Awareness and Its Effects on Crop Output in Oyo State. IOSR Journal of Agriculture and Veterinary Science, 7(1), 21-26. doi: https://doi.org/10.9790/2380-07152126
- Oyelere, G. K. (2016). Farmers’ perceived Effect of Climate Change on Selected Arable Crop in Southwestern Nigeria. (PhD), Ladoke Akintola University of Technology. Ogbomoso, Nigeria. Faculty of Agricultural Sciences, Ogbomoso, Oyo State, Nigeria.
- Peng, Y., Peng, X., Yin, M., He, J., & Ma, L. (2023). The Welfare effects of impoverished rural area. Review and Research Prospects. Heliyon, 9(9), e19513. doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e19513
- Shaffril, H. A., & Sanah, B. A, (2017). Adapting towards climate change impact; Strategies for small-scale fishermen in Malaysia. Mar policy, 81, 196-201. doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.marpol.2017.03.032
- Shikuku, K. M., Winowiecki, L., Twyman, J., Eitzinger, A., Perez, J. G., Mwongera, C., & Läderach, P. (2017). Smallholder farmers' attitudes and determinants of adaptation to climate risks in East Africa. Climate Risk Management, 16, 234-245. doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crm.2017.03.001
- Waha, K., Dietrich, J. P., Portmann, F. T., Siebert, S., Thornton, P.K., Bondeau A., & Herrero, M. (2020). Multiple cropping systems of the world and the potential for increasing cropping intensity. Global Environmental Change, 64, 102131, 1-13. doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2020.102131
- Wan, J., Li, R., Wang, W., Li, Z., & Chen, B. (2016). Income Diversification: A Strategy for Rural Region Risk Management. Sustainability, 8, 1-12. doi: https://doi.org/103390/su8101064
- Yaqoob, A. M., Muhammad, A. R., Kabir, K. S., & Adeola, O. O. (2022). Rural Livelihoods and Food Insecurity among Farming Households in Southwestern Nigeria. African Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development, 5(2), 72-104. doi: https://doi.org/10.52589/AJESD-NZ7KCMYY
Year 2024,
Volume: 34 Issue: 4, 608 - 620
Rasheed Ayodele Ayinla
,
Oluwagbenga Alao
,
Solomon Adesoji
,
Rachael Ajibola Ayinla
,
Seyi Olalekan Olawuyi
Project Number
Not Applicable
References
- Abid, M., Schilling, J., Scheffran, J., & Zulfiqar, F. (2019). Climate change vulnerability, adaptation and risk perception at farm level in Punjab, Pakistan. Science of the Total Environment, 670, 62-72. doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2015.11.125
- Adeagbo, O. A., Ojo, T. O., & Adetoro, A. A. (2021). Understanding the determinants of climate change adaptation strategies among smallholder maize farmers in South-west, Nigeria. Heliyon, 7, 1-10. doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2021.e06231
- Adel, A., Ziad, A., & Atef, H. (2015). Soil Management Practices under Organic Farming. Geophysical Research, 17, EGU2015-1163. Available from: https://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2015/EGU2015-11638.pdf
- Adzawla, W., Azumah, S. B., Anani, P. Y., & Donkoh, S. A. (2019). Gender perspectives of climate change adaptation in two selected districts of Ghana. Heliyon, 5(11), e02854. doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2019.e02854
- Ajala, S. B., & Chagwiza, C. (2024). Unpacking the Nexus between Climate Change and Maize Production in Nigeria: A Bound Test Approach to Integration. Research Square, 1-15. doi: 10.21203/rs.3.rs-3949602/v1
- Ajzen, I. (1991). The theory of planned behaviour. Organizational Behaviour and Human Decision Processes, 50(2), 179-211. doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/0749-5978(91)90020-T
- Akinnagbe, O. M., & Anugwa, I. Q. (2015). Agricultural adaptation strategies to climate change impacts in Africa: a review. Bangladesh J. Agril. Res., 39(3), 407-418. Available at: https://www.banglajol.info/index.php/BJAR/article/view/21984
- Alao, O. T., Torimiro, D. O., & Ayinde, J. O. (2014). Perception of Youth Roles in Agricultural Innovation Management System among Arable Crop Farmers in Farming Communities of Osun State, Nigeria. American Journal of Experimental Agriculture, 5(2), 124-133. https://journaljeai.com/index.php/JEAI/article/view/759
- Alo, A., Baines, R. N., Conway, J., & Cannon, N. (2017). The Impacts of Climate Change on Agriculture in Developing Countries: A Case Study of Oyo State, Nigeria. International Journal of Climate Change Impacts and Responses, 9(2), 1-21. doi: https://doi.org/10.18848/1835-7156/CGP/v09i02/1-21
- Bamigboye, E. O. (2016). Analysis of indigenous Climate Change Adaptation Strategies Among Arable Crop Farmers, in Southwestern Nigeria. (PhD), Ladoke Akintola University of Technology, Faculty of Agricultural Sciences, Ogbomoso, Oyo State, Nigeria.
- Burnham, M., & Ma, Z. (2018). Climate change adaptation: Factors influencing Chinese smallholder farmers’ perceived self-efficacy and adaptation intent. Regional Environmental Change, 18(2), 623-635. doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-016-0975-6
- Danso-Abbeam, G., Dagunga, G., & Ehiakpor, D. S. (2019). Adoption of Zai technology for soil fertility management: evidence from Upper East region, Ghana. Journal of Economic Structure, 8, 1-14. doi: https://doi.org/10.1186/s40008-019-0163-1
- Deutsch, C., Tewksbury, J., Huay, R., Sheldon, K., Ghalambor, C., Haak, D., & Martin, P. (2008). Impact of climate warming on terrestrial ectotherms across latitude. Proc Natl. Acad sci., 105(18), 6668-6672. doi: https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0709472105
- Elum, Z. A., & Momodu, A. S. (2017). Climate change mitigation and renewable energy for sustainable development in Nigeria: A discourse approach. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 76, 72-87. doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2017.03.040
- Elum, Z. A., Modise, D. M., & Marr, A. (2017). Farmer’s perception of climate change and responsive strategies in three selected provinces of South Africa. Climate Risk Management, 16, 246-257. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crm.2016.11.001
- Emmanuel, S. M., Selzing, P. M., Ogbole, A. S., & Wuyep, S. Z. (2024). Indigenous Climate Change Adaptation Strategies among Farmers in Jos-South Local Government Area, Plateau State, Nigeria. Fuwukari Journal of Social Sciences (FUWJSS), 3(1), 54-70. Available at: https://www.academia.edu/114536214/INDIGENOUS_CLIMATE_CHANGE_ADAPTATION_STRATEGIES_AMONG_FARMERS_IN_JOS_SOUTH_LOCAL_GOVERNMENT_AREA_PLATEAU_STATE_NIGERIA?uc-sb-sw=75909681
- Eneji, C. V., Onnoghen, N. U., Acha, J. O., & Diwa, J. B. (2020). Climate change awareness, environmental education and gender role burdens among rural farmers of Northern Cross River State, Nigeria. International Journal of Climate Change Strategies and Management, 13(4/5), 397-415. doi: https://doi.org/10.1108/IJCCSM-06-2020-0070
- Heriansyah, P., Anwar, P., & Prima, A. (2022). Understanding Farmer Perception and Impact of Seasonal Climate Event on Rice Farming in Indonesia: Implication for Adaptation Policy in Local Level. Yuzuncu Yıl University Journal of Agricultural Sciences, 32(3), 462-476. https://doi.org/10.29133/yyutbd.1084525
- Ibrahim, S., Idris, A., & Arowolo, A. (2015). Analysis of arable crop farmers’ awareness to causes and effects of climate change in south western Nigeria. International Journal of Social Economics, 42(7): 614-628. doi: https://doi.org/10.1108/IJSE-09-2013-0201
- Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change IPCC (2014). Global climate change impacts in the United States. Fifth assessment report of the United States Global Change Research programme, Cambridge University Press, UK.
- Jatto, K. A., Adeoye, S. A., & Oke, O. O. (2022). Economic Analysis of Cassava (Manihot esculenta Crantz) Production in Akinyele Local Government Area of Oyo State, Nigeria. Journal of Sustainable Agriculture and the Environment, 18(1), 87-100. Available at: https://ojs.mouau.edu.ng/index.php/jsae/article/view/209
- Kabir, M. I., Rahman, M. B., Smith, W. et al. (2016). Knowledge and perception about climate change and human health findings from a baseline survey among vulnerable communities in Bangladesh. BMC Public Health, 16, 266. doi: https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-016-2930-3
- Khatibi, F. S., Dedekorkut-Howes, A., Howes, M., et al. (2021). Can public awareness, knowledge and engagement improve climate change adaptation policies?. Discover Sustainability 2(18), 1-24. doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s43621-021-00024-z
- Kibue, G. W., Liu, X., & Zheng, J. (2016). Farmers’ perceptions of climate variability and factors influencing adaptation: evidence from Anhui and Jiangsu, China. Environmental Management, 57(5), 976–986. doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00267-016-0661-y
- Lesley, C., & Lalevie, L. (2019). Knowledge, Attitudes, Practices and Action on Climate and Environmental Awareness of the twenty–two villages along the River Bank in Cagayan de-oro city, Philippines: PART 2. Acta Scientific Agriculture, 3, 114-125. Available at: https://actascientific.com/ASAG/pdf/ASAG-03-0342.pdf
- Marquardt, D. W. (1970). Generalized inverses, ridge regression, biased linear estimation and nonlinear estimation. Technometrics, 12, 591-612. doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/00401706.1970.10488699
- Mba, C., Ezeh, C., Madu, I.A., & Emeribe, C. (2022). Assessment of climate variability and the determinants of rice productivity in Southeastern Nigeria. Yuzuncu Yıl University Journal of Agricultural Sciences, 32(4), 805-824. https://doi.org/10.29133/yyutbd.1132709
- Midi, H., & Bagheri, A. (2010). Robust multicollinearity diagnostic measure in collinear data set. Paper presented at the 4th international conference on applied mathematics, simulation, modeling: World Scientific and Engineering Academy and Society (WSEAS), July 22-25, Iwate, Prefecture, Japan. URL: http://www.wseas.us/e-library/conferences/2010/Corfu/ASM/ASM-21.pdf.
- Nyong, A., Adesina, F., & Osman-Elasha, B. (2007). The Value of Indigenous Knowledge in Climate Change Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies in the African Sahel. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, 12(5), 787-797. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11027-007-9099-0
- Ojo, T. O., & Baiyegunhi, L. J. S. (2020). Determinants of climate change adaptation strategies and its impact on the net farm income of rice farmers in South-west Nigeria. Land Use Policy, 95, 103946, doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2019.04.007
- Oke, O., Adeniji, O. B., Bamigboye, O. T., Olawale, O. O., Adeoye, A. S., & Adewumi, O. T. (2023). Involvement of selected arable crop farmers in agro-forestry practices in Ekiti state, Nigeria. UNIZIK Journal of Engineering and Applied Sciences, 2(1), 207-216. Available at: https://journals.unizik.edu.ng/ujeas/article/view/2205
- Olajide, O. A. (2014). Climate Change Awareness and Its Effects on Crop Output in Oyo State. IOSR Journal of Agriculture and Veterinary Science, 7(1), 21-26. doi: https://doi.org/10.9790/2380-07152126
- Oyelere, G. K. (2016). Farmers’ perceived Effect of Climate Change on Selected Arable Crop in Southwestern Nigeria. (PhD), Ladoke Akintola University of Technology. Ogbomoso, Nigeria. Faculty of Agricultural Sciences, Ogbomoso, Oyo State, Nigeria.
- Peng, Y., Peng, X., Yin, M., He, J., & Ma, L. (2023). The Welfare effects of impoverished rural area. Review and Research Prospects. Heliyon, 9(9), e19513. doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e19513
- Shaffril, H. A., & Sanah, B. A, (2017). Adapting towards climate change impact; Strategies for small-scale fishermen in Malaysia. Mar policy, 81, 196-201. doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.marpol.2017.03.032
- Shikuku, K. M., Winowiecki, L., Twyman, J., Eitzinger, A., Perez, J. G., Mwongera, C., & Läderach, P. (2017). Smallholder farmers' attitudes and determinants of adaptation to climate risks in East Africa. Climate Risk Management, 16, 234-245. doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crm.2017.03.001
- Waha, K., Dietrich, J. P., Portmann, F. T., Siebert, S., Thornton, P.K., Bondeau A., & Herrero, M. (2020). Multiple cropping systems of the world and the potential for increasing cropping intensity. Global Environmental Change, 64, 102131, 1-13. doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2020.102131
- Wan, J., Li, R., Wang, W., Li, Z., & Chen, B. (2016). Income Diversification: A Strategy for Rural Region Risk Management. Sustainability, 8, 1-12. doi: https://doi.org/103390/su8101064
- Yaqoob, A. M., Muhammad, A. R., Kabir, K. S., & Adeola, O. O. (2022). Rural Livelihoods and Food Insecurity among Farming Households in Southwestern Nigeria. African Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development, 5(2), 72-104. doi: https://doi.org/10.52589/AJESD-NZ7KCMYY