"Deprem 2024" UNDERSTANDING POST-EARTHQUAKE RISKS: AN ANALYSIS OF THE POSSIBLE MARMARA EARTHQUAKE

Year 2024, Volume: 15 Issue: 1 -Deprem Özel Sayısı-, 75 - 114, 22.02.2024

Muhammet Mustafa Akkan Müşerref Arık

https://doi.org/10.54688/ayd.1412374

Abstract

Earthquakes are a phenomenon that has a significant impact on Turkey from psychological, economic, demographic, social and environmental aspects at different times. The magnitude of the effects of earthquakes results from the interaction of many factors. The main purpose of this study is to determine the factors that affect the destructive effect of the earthquake and to make suggestions to reduce the risks that a possible Marmara earthquake may pose. Within the scope of the study, 272 academic studies indexed in the Web of Science database regarding the February 6, 2023 earthquake were examined and 10 criteria that were considered important specifically for the earthquake were determined. Relevant criteria were weighted using the Swara method and determinations and suggestions were made for each criterion.

Keywords

Swara analysis, Survey method, Marmara earthquake, Kahramanmaraş earthquake

DEPREM SONRASI RİSKLERİ ANLAMAK: OLASI MARMARA DEPREMİNE YÖNELİK BİR ANALİZ

Abstract

Depremler, Türkiye’yi farklı zamanlarda psikolojik, ekonomik, demografik, sosyal ve çevresel yönlerden önemli şekilde etkileyen bir olgu olarak karşımıza çıkmaktadır. Depremlerin ortaya çıkaracağı etkilerin büyüklüğü ise pek çok faktörün karşılıklı etkileşiminden meydana gelmektedir. Bu çalışmanın temel amacı, depremin yıkıcı etkisi üzerinde etkinlik gösteren unsurların belirlenmesi ve olası Marmara depreminin ortaya çıkarabileceği riskleri azaltmaya yönelik önerilerde bulunmaktır. Çalışma kapsamında 06 Şubat 2023 depremine dair Web of Science veri tabanında indekslenen 272 akademik çalışma incelenmiş ve deprem özelinde önemli görülen 10 kriter belirlenmiştir. İlgili kriterler Swara yöntemi kullanılarak ağırlıklandırılmış ve her bir kriter özelinde tespit ve önerilerde bulunulmuştur.

Keywords

Swara analizi, Anket yöntemi, Marmara depremi, Kahramanmaraş depremi

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