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SEÇİLMİŞ OECD ÜLKELERİNDE ENERJİ TÜKETİMİ İLE EKONOMİK BÜYÜME ARASINDAKİ İLİŞKİNİN ANALİZİ: YAPISAL KIRILMALI EŞBÜTÜNLEŞME TEKNİĞİNDEN KANITLAR

Year 2018, Volume: 5 Issue: 2, 204 - 222, 30.06.2018
https://doi.org/10.30798/makuiibf.407977

Abstract

Bu
çalışmanın temel amacı, seçilmiş OECD ülkelerinde enerji tüketimi ile ekonomik
büyüme arasındaki uzun dönemli ilişkiyi araştırmak ve bu ilişkinin yönünü
belirlemektir. Çalışmada, değişkenler arasındaki uzun dönemli ilişkiyi ortaya
koymak için yapısal kırılmalı Gregory-Hansen eşbütünleşme yöntemi, ilişkinin
yönünü belirlemek için ise Hata Düzeltme Modeli (ECM) ve VAR-Granger
nedensellik testleri kullanılmaktadır. Elde edilen bulgular, enerji tüketimi
ile ekonomik büyüme arasındaki ilişkiyi açıklamaya yönelik olarak literatürde
geliştirilen, büyüme hipotezi, enerji tasarrufu hipotezi, geri bildirim
hipotezi ve etkisizlik hipotezi lehinde kanıtlar sunmaktadır.




References

  • Alshehry, A. S., & Belloumi, M. (2015). Energy consumption, carbon dioxide emissions and economic growth: The case of Saudi Arabia. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 41, 237–247. Apergis, N., & Payne, J. E. (2009). Energy consumption and economic growth: Evidence from the Commonwealth of Independent States. Energy Economics, 31(5), 641–647. Asafu-Adjaye, J., & Asafu-Adjaye, J. (2000). The relationship between energy consumption, energy prices and economic growth: time series evidence from Asian developing countries. Energy Economics, 22, 615–625. Azlina, A. A., & Mustapha, N. H. N. (2012). Energy, Economic Growth and Pollutant Emissions Nexus: The Case of Malaysia. Procedia - Social and Behavioral Sciences, 65(ICIBSoS), 1–7Cheng, B. S., & Lai, T. W. (1997). An investigation of co-integration and causality between energy consumption and economic activity in Taiwan. Energy Economics, 19(4), 435–444Csereklyei, Z., Mar, M. D., Varas, R., & Stern, D. I. (2016). Energy and Economic Growth: The Stylized Facts. The Energy Journal, 37(2), 223–255. Day, K. M., & Quentin Grafton, R. (2003). Growth and the environment in Canada: An empirical analysis. Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics, 51(2), 197–216. Dinda, S. (2004). Environmental Kuznets Curve hypothesis: A survey. Ecological Economics, 49(4), 431–455. Erdoğan S., & Gürbüz S. (2014). Türkiye’de Enerji Tüketimi Ve Ekonomik Büyüme İlişkisi: Yapısal Kırılmalı Zaman Serisi Analizi. Selçuk Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi, 32, 79-87Ghali, K. H., & El-Sakka M.I.T. (2004). Energy use and output growth in Canada: A multivariate cointegration analysis. Energy Economics, 26, 9883–9883. Ghosh, S. (2002). Electricity consumption and economic growth in India. Energy Policy, 30(2), 125–129. Gregory, A. W., & Hansen, B. E. (1996). Residual-based tests for cointegration with regime shifts in models. Journal of Econometrics, 70, 99–126. Hamilton, J. D. (1983). Oil and the Macroeconomy since World War II. Journal of Political Economy 91(2), 228-248 Hansen B.E. (1992). Test for Parameter Instability in Regressions with I(1) processes. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 10(3), 321-335.Hansen B.E., & Gregory A.W. (1996). Tests for Cointegration in Models with Regime and Trend Shifts. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 58(3), 555-560Kasman, A., & Duman, Y. S. (2015). CO2 emissions, economic growth, energy consumption, trade and urbanization in new EU member and candidate countries: A panel data analysis. Economic Modelling, 44, 97–103. Lise, W., & Van Montfort, K. (2007). Energy consumption and GDP in Turkey: Is there a co-integration relationship? Energy Economics, 29(6), 1166–1178. Mahadevan, R., & Asafu-Adjaye, J. (2007). Energy consumption, economic growth and prices: A reassessment using panel VECM for developed and developing countries. Energy Policy, 35(4), 2481–2490. Masih, A. M. M., & Masih, R. (1996). Energy consumption, real income and temporal causality: Results from a multi-country study based on cointegration and error-correction modelling techniques. Energy Economics, 18(3), 165–183. Mehrara, M. (2007). Energy consumption and economic growth: The case of oil exporting countries. Energy Policy, 35(5), 2939–2945. Narayan, P. K., & Smyth, R. (2008). Energy consumption and real GDP in G7 countries: New evidence from panel cointegration with structural breaks. Energy Economics, 30(5), 2331–2341. Nelson, C. R., & Plosser, C. I. (1982). Trends And Random Walks In Macroeconmic Time Series. Some evidence and imlications. Journal of Monetary Economics 10, 10(I 982), 139–162. Odhiambo, N. M. (2009). Energy consumption and economic growth nexus in Tanzania: An ARDL bounds testing approach. Energy Policy, 37(2), 617–622. Oh, W., & Lee, K. (2004). Causal relationship between energy consumption and GDP revisited: The case of Korea 1970-1999. Energy Economics, 26(1), 51–59. Ozturk, I. (2010). A literature survey on energy-growth nexus. Energy Policy, 38(1), 340–349. Perron, B. Y. P. (1989). The Great Crash , the Oil Price Shock , and the Unit Root Hypothesis The Econometric Society, 57(6), 1361–1401.Shahbaz, M., Khan, S., & Tahir, M. I. (2013). The dynamic links between energy consumption, economic growth, financial development and trade in China: Fresh evidence from multivariate framework analysis. Energy Economics, 40, 8–21. Sharif Hossain, M. (2011). Panel estimation for CO2emissions, energy consumption, economic growth, trade openness and urbanization of newly industrialized countries. Energy Policy, 39(11), 6991–6999. Shiu, A., & Lam, P.-L. (2004). Electricity consumption and economic growth in China. Energy Policy, 32(1), 47–54Granger C.W.J. (1969). Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-spectral Methods. The Econometric Society, 37(3), 424-438 Stern, D. I. (1993). Energy and economic growth in the USA. Energy Economics, 15(2), 137–150. Kraft A., & Kraft J. (1978). On the Relationship Between Energy and GNP. The Journal of Energy and Development, 3(2), 401–403.Topalli, N., & Alagöz M. (2014). Energy Consumption and Economic Growth In Turkey : An Empirical Analysis. Selçuk Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi, 32, 151–159.Yang, H. Y. (2000). A note on the causal relationship between energy and Taiwan. Energy Economics, 22(1), 309–317.Yoo, S. H. (2005). Electricity consumption and economic growth: Evidence from Korea. Energy Policy, 33(12), 1627–1632. Zivot E., & Andrews D.W.K. (2002) Further Evidence on the Great Crash, the Oil-Price Shock, and the Unit-Root Hypothesis. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 20(1), 25-44

THE ANALYSIS OF THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN ENERGY CONSUMPTION AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN SELECTED OECD COUNTRIES: EVIDENCES FROM COINTEGRATION TECHNIQUE WITH STRUCTURAL BREAK

Year 2018, Volume: 5 Issue: 2, 204 - 222, 30.06.2018
https://doi.org/10.30798/makuiibf.407977

Abstract

The
main purpose of the study is to examine the direction and the long run
relationship between energy consumption and economic growth in selected OECD
countries. In this study, Gregory Hansen cointegration method with structural
break is used to estimate the long run relationship and to determine the
direction of this relationship. The study also uses Error Correction Model
(ECM) and VAR-Granger causality tests. Our findings provide some evidences
related to the growth hypothesis, energy conservation hypothesis, feedback
hypothesis and neutrality hypothesis, which are developed to explain energy
consumption-economic growth nexus in the literature.

References

  • Alshehry, A. S., & Belloumi, M. (2015). Energy consumption, carbon dioxide emissions and economic growth: The case of Saudi Arabia. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 41, 237–247. Apergis, N., & Payne, J. E. (2009). Energy consumption and economic growth: Evidence from the Commonwealth of Independent States. Energy Economics, 31(5), 641–647. Asafu-Adjaye, J., & Asafu-Adjaye, J. (2000). The relationship between energy consumption, energy prices and economic growth: time series evidence from Asian developing countries. Energy Economics, 22, 615–625. Azlina, A. A., & Mustapha, N. H. N. (2012). Energy, Economic Growth and Pollutant Emissions Nexus: The Case of Malaysia. Procedia - Social and Behavioral Sciences, 65(ICIBSoS), 1–7Cheng, B. S., & Lai, T. W. (1997). An investigation of co-integration and causality between energy consumption and economic activity in Taiwan. Energy Economics, 19(4), 435–444Csereklyei, Z., Mar, M. D., Varas, R., & Stern, D. I. (2016). Energy and Economic Growth: The Stylized Facts. The Energy Journal, 37(2), 223–255. Day, K. M., & Quentin Grafton, R. (2003). Growth and the environment in Canada: An empirical analysis. Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics, 51(2), 197–216. Dinda, S. (2004). Environmental Kuznets Curve hypothesis: A survey. Ecological Economics, 49(4), 431–455. Erdoğan S., & Gürbüz S. (2014). Türkiye’de Enerji Tüketimi Ve Ekonomik Büyüme İlişkisi: Yapısal Kırılmalı Zaman Serisi Analizi. Selçuk Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi, 32, 79-87Ghali, K. H., & El-Sakka M.I.T. (2004). Energy use and output growth in Canada: A multivariate cointegration analysis. Energy Economics, 26, 9883–9883. Ghosh, S. (2002). Electricity consumption and economic growth in India. Energy Policy, 30(2), 125–129. Gregory, A. W., & Hansen, B. E. (1996). Residual-based tests for cointegration with regime shifts in models. Journal of Econometrics, 70, 99–126. Hamilton, J. D. (1983). Oil and the Macroeconomy since World War II. Journal of Political Economy 91(2), 228-248 Hansen B.E. (1992). Test for Parameter Instability in Regressions with I(1) processes. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 10(3), 321-335.Hansen B.E., & Gregory A.W. (1996). Tests for Cointegration in Models with Regime and Trend Shifts. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 58(3), 555-560Kasman, A., & Duman, Y. S. (2015). CO2 emissions, economic growth, energy consumption, trade and urbanization in new EU member and candidate countries: A panel data analysis. Economic Modelling, 44, 97–103. Lise, W., & Van Montfort, K. (2007). Energy consumption and GDP in Turkey: Is there a co-integration relationship? Energy Economics, 29(6), 1166–1178. Mahadevan, R., & Asafu-Adjaye, J. (2007). Energy consumption, economic growth and prices: A reassessment using panel VECM for developed and developing countries. Energy Policy, 35(4), 2481–2490. Masih, A. M. M., & Masih, R. (1996). Energy consumption, real income and temporal causality: Results from a multi-country study based on cointegration and error-correction modelling techniques. Energy Economics, 18(3), 165–183. Mehrara, M. (2007). Energy consumption and economic growth: The case of oil exporting countries. Energy Policy, 35(5), 2939–2945. Narayan, P. K., & Smyth, R. (2008). Energy consumption and real GDP in G7 countries: New evidence from panel cointegration with structural breaks. Energy Economics, 30(5), 2331–2341. Nelson, C. R., & Plosser, C. I. (1982). Trends And Random Walks In Macroeconmic Time Series. Some evidence and imlications. Journal of Monetary Economics 10, 10(I 982), 139–162. Odhiambo, N. M. (2009). Energy consumption and economic growth nexus in Tanzania: An ARDL bounds testing approach. Energy Policy, 37(2), 617–622. Oh, W., & Lee, K. (2004). Causal relationship between energy consumption and GDP revisited: The case of Korea 1970-1999. Energy Economics, 26(1), 51–59. Ozturk, I. (2010). A literature survey on energy-growth nexus. Energy Policy, 38(1), 340–349. Perron, B. Y. P. (1989). The Great Crash , the Oil Price Shock , and the Unit Root Hypothesis The Econometric Society, 57(6), 1361–1401.Shahbaz, M., Khan, S., & Tahir, M. I. (2013). The dynamic links between energy consumption, economic growth, financial development and trade in China: Fresh evidence from multivariate framework analysis. Energy Economics, 40, 8–21. Sharif Hossain, M. (2011). Panel estimation for CO2emissions, energy consumption, economic growth, trade openness and urbanization of newly industrialized countries. Energy Policy, 39(11), 6991–6999. Shiu, A., & Lam, P.-L. (2004). Electricity consumption and economic growth in China. Energy Policy, 32(1), 47–54Granger C.W.J. (1969). Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-spectral Methods. The Econometric Society, 37(3), 424-438 Stern, D. I. (1993). Energy and economic growth in the USA. Energy Economics, 15(2), 137–150. Kraft A., & Kraft J. (1978). On the Relationship Between Energy and GNP. The Journal of Energy and Development, 3(2), 401–403.Topalli, N., & Alagöz M. (2014). Energy Consumption and Economic Growth In Turkey : An Empirical Analysis. Selçuk Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi, 32, 151–159.Yang, H. Y. (2000). A note on the causal relationship between energy and Taiwan. Energy Economics, 22(1), 309–317.Yoo, S. H. (2005). Electricity consumption and economic growth: Evidence from Korea. Energy Policy, 33(12), 1627–1632. Zivot E., & Andrews D.W.K. (2002) Further Evidence on the Great Crash, the Oil-Price Shock, and the Unit-Root Hypothesis. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 20(1), 25-44
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Details

Primary Language Turkish
Subjects Business Administration
Journal Section Research Articles
Authors

Güray Enes Karaağaç 0000-0001-6229-8533

Reşat Ceylan 0000-0003-3727-6644

Publication Date June 30, 2018
Submission Date March 20, 2018
Published in Issue Year 2018 Volume: 5 Issue: 2

Cite

APA Karaağaç, G. E., & Ceylan, R. (2018). SEÇİLMİŞ OECD ÜLKELERİNDE ENERJİ TÜKETİMİ İLE EKONOMİK BÜYÜME ARASINDAKİ İLİŞKİNİN ANALİZİ: YAPISAL KIRILMALI EŞBÜTÜNLEŞME TEKNİĞİNDEN KANITLAR. Journal of Mehmet Akif Ersoy University Economics and Administrative Sciences Faculty, 5(2), 204-222. https://doi.org/10.30798/makuiibf.407977