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KIRGIZİSTAN’DA DEMOKRASİ NEDEN KÖKLEŞEMİYOR? UKRAYNA VE GÜRCİSTAN İLE KARŞILAŞTIRMALI BİR ANALİZ

Year 2025, Issue: 50, 413 - 447, 31.08.2025
https://doi.org/10.14520/adyusbd.1688957

Abstract

Bu makale, Kırgızistan’da demokrasinin yerleşmesini engelleyen faktörleri sosyal ve kültürel perspektiften ele almakta ve bu süreci Ukrayna ile Gürcistan’daki demokratikleşme süreçleriyle karşılaştırmaktadır. Ukrayna ve Gürcistan, “renkli devrimler” sonrası farklı derecelerde demokratikleşme başarıları elde ederken, Kırgızistan kronik bir siyasi istikrarsızlık içinde kalmıştır. Temel araştırma sorusu şudur: Kırgızistan’da demokrasinin sürekli istikrarsızlığını hangi sosyal, kültürel ve kurumsal faktörler açıklayabilir ve bu, Ukrayna ve Gürcistan’daki demokratik kurumların kısmen sağlamlaşmasıyla nasıl karşılaştırılabilir? Çalışmada özellikle klandan gelen sosyal bağların etkisi, sivil toplumun rolü, ulusal kimlik ve dış jeopolitik faktörler incelenmektedir. Bulgular, Kırgızistan’daki geleneksel toplumsal yapıların ve zayıf devlet kurumlarının demokrasinin gelişimine özgün engeller oluşturduğunu; buna karşın Ukrayna ve Gürcistan’ın tarihsel ve kültürel dinamiklerinin daha elverişli koşullar sunduğunu göstermektedir. Bu makale, Sovyet sonrası ülkelerde demokratik dönüşüm süreçlerinin nasıl yerel bağlamlar tarafından şekillendiğine dair yeni bir bakış açısı sunmayı amaçlamaktadır.

References

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  • Jones, S., F. (2013.) Georgia: A Political History Since Independence, I.B. Tauris.
  • King, Ch. (2008). The Ghost of Freedom: A History of the Caucasus, Oxford University Press.
  • Kuzio, T. (2005). “From Kuchma to Yushchenko Ukraine's 2004 Presidential Elections and the Orange Revolution”, Problems of Post-Communism, 52(2), 29–44.
  • Kuzio, T. (1998). Ukraine: State and Nation Building, London-New York: Routledge. Laumulin, Murat. (2009). Central Asia in Foreign Political Science and World Geopolitics. Volume V: Central Asia in the XXI century. Almaty: KISI under the President of the Republic of Kazakhstan, 440 p.
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  • Lipset, S. Martin. (1960). Political Man: The Social Bases of Politics. Doubleday.
  • Marat, Erica. (2005). “Civil society in Kyrgyzstan before, during and after the March 24 Revolution”, Helsinki Monitor, 16(4):267-277.
  • Marat, Erica. (2018). The Politics of Police Reform: Society against the State inPost-Soviet Countries, Oxford University Press.
  • Mitchell, L. A. (2009). "Uncertain Democracy: U.S. Foreign Policy and Georgia’s Rose Revolution." University of Pennsylvania Press.
  • Olcott, M. Brill. “Democracy in the Central Asian Republics”, https://carnegieendowment.org/posts/2000/04/democracy-in-the-central-asian- republics?lang=en, Erişim: 20.02.2025.
  • Onuch, Olga. (2014). “The Maidan and Beyond: Who Were the Protesters?”, Journal of Democracy, Volume 25, Number 3, July, pp. 44-51.
  • Oraz, Seçil. (2012). “Kırgız Siyasi Hayatında Aşiretçilik ve Klan Siyaseti”, Türk Dünyası İncelemeleri Dergisi / Journal of Turkish World Studies, XII/1 (Yaz 2012), s. 211-238.
  • Rabinovych Maryna, Anne Pintsch (2025). Ukraine’s Thorny Path to the EU, “Integration without Membership” to “Integration through War”, (ed. Rabinovych Maryna, Anne Pintsch) in Ukraine’s Thorny Path to the EU, “Integration without Membership” to “Integration through War”, Palgrave Macmillan. Pp. 3-19.
  • Radnitz, Scott. (2010). The Color of Money: Privatization, Economic Dispersion, and the Post-Soviet “Revolutions”, Comparative Politics, 42(2), pp. 127-146.
  • Rayfield, D. (2000). The Literature of Georgia: A History, Routledge.
  • Salimov, R. (2016). “Кыргызстандагы демократиянын өзгөчөлүктөрү: Философиялык талдоо” (Features of Democracy in Kyrgyzstan: Philosophical Analysis), (PhD thesis), Yayınlanmamış doktora tezi, Kırgız Türk Manas Üniversitesi, Bişkek.
  • Solonenko, I. (2015). “Ukrainian Civil Society from the Orange Revolution to Euromaidan: Striving for a New Social Contract”, In: IFSH (ed.), OSCE Yearbook 2014, Baden-Baden, pp. 219-235.
  • Subtelny, O. (2009). Ukraine: A History, University of Toronto Press.
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  • Urmanbetova, Zh. (2018). “Democracy in Kyrgyzstan: Problems and specific features”, Opcion, Cilt 34, Sayı 87-2, 2018. Ss. 291-306.
  • “U.S. Pledges $1 Billion in Assistance to Georgia”, October 22, 2008. https://2001- 2009.state.gov/f/releases/111153.htm, Erişim: 12.04.2025.
  • Way, A. L. (2005). “Authoritarian State Building and the Sources of Regime Competitiveness in the Fourth Wave: The Cases of Belarus, Moldova, Russia, and Ukraine”, World Politics , Volume 57, Issue 2, January, pp. 231-261.
  • Weber, Max. (1930). The Protestant Ethic and the Spirit of Capitalism, Routledge. Wilson, A. (2022). “Politics: Developing the Rules of the Game.” in The Ukrainians: Unexpected Nation, 480 p. Yale University Press.
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WHY DEMOCRACY FAILS TO TAKE ROOT IN KYRGYZSTAN? A COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS WITH UKRAINE AND GEORGIA

Year 2025, Issue: 50, 413 - 447, 31.08.2025
https://doi.org/10.14520/adyusbd.1688957

Abstract

This article examines the factors hindering the establishment of democracy in Kyrgyzstan from a social and cultural perspective and compares this process with the democratization processes in Ukraine and Georgia. While Ukraine and Georgia achieved different degrees of democratization successes after the “color revolutions”, Kyrgyzstan remained in a state of chronic political instability. The main research question is: What social, cultural and institutional factors can explain the persistent instability of democracy in Kyrgyzstan and how does this compare with the partial consolidation of democratic institutions in Ukraine and Georgia? In particular, the study examines the influence of clan social ties, the role of civil society, national identity and external geopolitical factors. The findings suggest that traditional social structures and weak state institutions in Kyrgyzstan pose specific obstacles to the development of democracy, whereas the historical and cultural dynamics of Ukraine and Georgia offer more favorable conditions. This article aims to offer a new perspective on how processes of democratic transformation in post-Soviet countries are shaped by local contexts.

References

  • Abdyldaev A., Biybosunov, A. (2021). “The lesson of the October events is the parliamentary elections”, Azattyk, 4 Ekim 2021, https://www.azattyk.org/a/oktyabr-okuyalarynyn-sabagy-parlamenttik-shayloo/31492277.html. Erişim: 12.01.2025.
  • Almond, Gabriel Abraham and Sidney, Verba. (1963).The Civic Culture: Political Attitudes and Democracy in Five Nations, Princeton University Press.
  • Arel, Dominique and Jesse Driscoll, (2023). Ukraine’s Unnamed War: Before the Russian Invasion of 2022, Cambridge University Press.
  • Åslund, Anders. (2015). Ukraine: What Went Wrong and How to Fix It. Washington, DC: Peterson Institute for International Economics.
  • Beşirli, H. (2017). “Kırgızistan’ın Sosyal ve Kültürel Yapısı”, (ed. Cengiz Buyar) içinde Kırgızistan: Tarih-Toplum-Ekonomi-Siyaset, Bişkek s. 91-113.
  • Baktygulov, Sh. (2012). “Opportunities for Kyrgyzstan in the Modern World”, In Cholpon Nogoibaeva (ed.), 20 Years of Democratic Development in Kyrgyzstan: Internal and External Perspectives, Bishkek.
  • Bawa, J., Sandeep S. and Utkarshani T. (2024). “Political Clans In Central Asia: Drivers Of Governance And Conflict – Analysis”, Eurasia Review, 5 December, https://www.eurasiareview.com/05122024-political-clans-in-central-asia-drivers-of-governance-and-conflict-analysis/?utm_source, Erişim: 12.03.2025.
  • Bolponova, A. (2015). “Political Clans of Kyrgyzstan: History and Modernity”, Central Asia and Caucasus, Vol. 18, No. 3-4, 57-72. BTI 2020 Country Report, Georiga. chrome-extension://efaidnbmnnnibpcajpcglclefindmkaj/https://bti-project.org/fileadmin/api/content/en/downloads/reports/country_report_2020_GEO.pdf, Erişim: 12.03.2025.
  • Collins, K. (2006). “Clans, Pacts, and Politics in Central Asia,” Journal of Democracy Volume: 13, No. 3, pp. 137-152.
  • Cornell, S., E. (2001). Small Nations and Great Powers: A Study of Ethnopolitical Conflict in the Caucasus, London: Routledge.
  • CSIS. (2019). “Not Contributing Enough? A Summary of European Military and Development Assistance to Ukraine Since 2014”, September 26, 2019, https://www.csis.org/analysis/not-contributing-enough-summary-european-military-and-development-assistance-ukraine-2014, Erişim: 12.02.2025.
  • Diamond, L. (1999). Developing Democracy: Toward Consolidation, Johns Hopkins University Press, 1999.
  • Eisenstadt, S., N. (1973). Traditional Patrimonialism and Modern Neopatrimonialism, London: Sage Publications.
  • Engvall, J. (2016). The State as Investment Market: Kyrgyzstan in Comparative Perspective, Pittsburgh: University of Pittsburgh Press.
  • European Parliamentary Research Service, (2021). “Georgia's bumpy road todemocracy On track for a European future?”, ss. 1-12.
  • Freedom House, Kyrgyzstan: Freedom in the World, Country Report 2024. https://freedomhouse.org/country/kyrgyzstan/freedom-world/2024?utm_source, Erişim: 15.04.2025.
  • Freedom House, Ukraine: Nations in Transit 2023 Country Report, https://freedomhouse.org/country/ukraine/nations-transit/2023?utm_source, Erişim: 15.04.2025.
  • Freedom House, Georgia: Freedom in the World Country Report, https://freedomhouse.org/country/georgia/freedom-world/2024?utm_source, Erişim: 15.04.2025.
  • Geiss, P., G. (2003). Pre-tsarist and Tsarist Central Asia Communal Commitment and Political Order in Change, Routledge, London.
  • Ghia, N. (2021). “The Uncertain State of Georgia’s Democracy” in The Struggle for Good Governance in Eastern Europe Second Edition, (Ed. by) Michael Emerson Denis Cenușă Tamara Kovziridze Veronika Movchan. CEPS, Brussels Rowman & Littlefield International, London. ss. 21-50.
  • Ghia, N. (2024). “Georgia’s Battle for Freedom”, Journal of Democracy, https://www.journalofdemocracy.org/online-exclusive/georgias-battle-for-freedom/?utm_source, Erişim: 19.04.2025.
  • CNN Türk. “Gürcistan'da AB ile entegrasyon sürecine destek yürüyüşü.” https://www.cnnturk.com/dunya/gurcistanda-ab-ile-entegrasyon- surecine-destek-yuruyusu-2170307. Erişim: 10.02.2025.
  • Handrahan, L., M. (2001). “Gender and Ethnicity in Transnational Democracy of Kyrgyzstan”, Central Asian Survey, 20/4, pp. 467-496 . Huntington, S., P. (1991). The Third Wave: Democratization in the Late Twentieth Century, University of Oklahoma Press.
  • Jones, S., F. (2013.) Georgia: A Political History Since Independence, I.B. Tauris.
  • King, Ch. (2008). The Ghost of Freedom: A History of the Caucasus, Oxford University Press.
  • Kuzio, T. (2005). “From Kuchma to Yushchenko Ukraine's 2004 Presidential Elections and the Orange Revolution”, Problems of Post-Communism, 52(2), 29–44.
  • Kuzio, T. (1998). Ukraine: State and Nation Building, London-New York: Routledge. Laumulin, Murat. (2009). Central Asia in Foreign Political Science and World Geopolitics. Volume V: Central Asia in the XXI century. Almaty: KISI under the President of the Republic of Kazakhstan, 440 p.
  • Levitsky, S., & Lucan. A. Way. (2010). Competitive Authoritarianism: Hybrid Regimes After the Cold War, Cambridge University Press.
  • Lipset, S. Martin. (1960). Political Man: The Social Bases of Politics. Doubleday.
  • Marat, Erica. (2005). “Civil society in Kyrgyzstan before, during and after the March 24 Revolution”, Helsinki Monitor, 16(4):267-277.
  • Marat, Erica. (2018). The Politics of Police Reform: Society against the State inPost-Soviet Countries, Oxford University Press.
  • Mitchell, L. A. (2009). "Uncertain Democracy: U.S. Foreign Policy and Georgia’s Rose Revolution." University of Pennsylvania Press.
  • Olcott, M. Brill. “Democracy in the Central Asian Republics”, https://carnegieendowment.org/posts/2000/04/democracy-in-the-central-asian- republics?lang=en, Erişim: 20.02.2025.
  • Onuch, Olga. (2014). “The Maidan and Beyond: Who Were the Protesters?”, Journal of Democracy, Volume 25, Number 3, July, pp. 44-51.
  • Oraz, Seçil. (2012). “Kırgız Siyasi Hayatında Aşiretçilik ve Klan Siyaseti”, Türk Dünyası İncelemeleri Dergisi / Journal of Turkish World Studies, XII/1 (Yaz 2012), s. 211-238.
  • Rabinovych Maryna, Anne Pintsch (2025). Ukraine’s Thorny Path to the EU, “Integration without Membership” to “Integration through War”, (ed. Rabinovych Maryna, Anne Pintsch) in Ukraine’s Thorny Path to the EU, “Integration without Membership” to “Integration through War”, Palgrave Macmillan. Pp. 3-19.
  • Radnitz, Scott. (2010). The Color of Money: Privatization, Economic Dispersion, and the Post-Soviet “Revolutions”, Comparative Politics, 42(2), pp. 127-146.
  • Rayfield, D. (2000). The Literature of Georgia: A History, Routledge.
  • Salimov, R. (2016). “Кыргызстандагы демократиянын өзгөчөлүктөрү: Философиялык талдоо” (Features of Democracy in Kyrgyzstan: Philosophical Analysis), (PhD thesis), Yayınlanmamış doktora tezi, Kırgız Türk Manas Üniversitesi, Bişkek.
  • Solonenko, I. (2015). “Ukrainian Civil Society from the Orange Revolution to Euromaidan: Striving for a New Social Contract”, In: IFSH (ed.), OSCE Yearbook 2014, Baden-Baden, pp. 219-235.
  • Subtelny, O. (2009). Ukraine: A History, University of Toronto Press.
  • Opinions and views of Ukrainians regarding Ukraine's relations with the West: results of telephone surveys conducted on February 14-22, 2023 and February 22-March 6, 2023 // https://kiis.com.ua/?lang=ukr&cat=reports&id=1203&page=8 Erişim: 13.02.2025.
  • Transparency International. (2023). Corruption Perceptions Index: Kyrgyzstan, Ukraine, Georgia. https://www.transparency.org/en/cpi/2023, Erişim: 10.02.2025.
  • Urmanbetova, Zh. (2018). “Democracy in Kyrgyzstan: Problems and specific features”, Opcion, Cilt 34, Sayı 87-2, 2018. Ss. 291-306.
  • “U.S. Pledges $1 Billion in Assistance to Georgia”, October 22, 2008. https://2001- 2009.state.gov/f/releases/111153.htm, Erişim: 12.04.2025.
  • Way, A. L. (2005). “Authoritarian State Building and the Sources of Regime Competitiveness in the Fourth Wave: The Cases of Belarus, Moldova, Russia, and Ukraine”, World Politics , Volume 57, Issue 2, January, pp. 231-261.
  • Weber, Max. (1930). The Protestant Ethic and the Spirit of Capitalism, Routledge. Wilson, A. (2022). “Politics: Developing the Rules of the Game.” in The Ukrainians: Unexpected Nation, 480 p. Yale University Press.
  • World Bank. World Development Indicators: GDP per Capita, Poverty Rates, 2023. https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/gdp-per-capita- worldbank?tab=line&country=~KGZ, Erişim: 10.02.2025.
  • World Bank, “Georgia Urbanization Report 2023, https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SP.URB.TOTL.IN.ZS?locations=GE, Erişim: 02.02.2025.
  • World Bank, “Doing Business 2012,” https://www.doingbusiness.org/rankings. Erişim: 29.01.25.
  • Kyiv International Insitute of Sociology, https://kiis.com.ua/?lang=ukr&cat=reports&id=1203&page=8 “Почему Грузия потеряла Абхазию и Южную Осетию?”, 23 декабря 2020, https://dzen.ru/a/X-Mv6xhGHz-EMUc5, Erişim: 05.12.2024.https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/CR/Issues/2024/03/04/Kyrgyz-Republic-Selected-Issues-545535, Erişim: 12.02.2025
There are 51 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language Turkish
Subjects Regional Studies
Journal Section Articles
Authors

Burulkan Pala 0000-0003-4836-5837

Publication Date August 31, 2025
Submission Date May 1, 2025
Acceptance Date August 28, 2025
Published in Issue Year 2025 Issue: 50

Cite

APA Pala, B. (2025). KIRGIZİSTAN’DA DEMOKRASİ NEDEN KÖKLEŞEMİYOR? UKRAYNA VE GÜRCİSTAN İLE KARŞILAŞTIRMALI BİR ANALİZ. Adıyaman Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi(50), 413-447. https://doi.org/10.14520/adyusbd.1688957