TARIMSAL DESTEK, İKTİSADİ KALKINMA VE ENFLASYON ARASINDAKİ İLİŞKİLERİN BOOTSTRAP PANEL NEDENSELLİK TESTİ İLE ANALİZİ

Year 2022, Volume: 9 Issue: 19, 347 - 364, 30.08.2022

Şerif Canbay , Veysel İnal , Mustafa Kırca

Abstract

Tarım sektörü gelişmiş ülke ve gelişmekte olan ülke ekonomileri açısından büyük önem taşımaktadır. Tarım iktisadi kalkınma ve yoksulluğu azaltmak için önem arz eden bir sektördür. Özellikle az gelişmiş ve gelişmekte olan ülkelerin en temel sorunlarından birinin sermaye birikiminin yetersizliği olduğu göz önüne alındığında, tarım sektörü bu grup ülkelerin kalkınmalarını destekleyebilecek sermaye birikimini sağlamaya imkân sunabilecek sektörlerden biridir. Fakat tarım sektörünün kendine has kırılgan yapısı birçok problemi de beraberinde getirebilmektedir. Bu sorunların başında tarımsal çıktılara özgü fiyat istikrarsızlığı yer almaktadır. Dolayısıyla tarım sektörünün ülke ekonomileri açısından önemi hükümetlerin bu sektörü koruyucu ve destekleyici politikalar üretmesine neden olmaktadır. Bu çalışmada BRICS+T ülkelerin 2000-2020 dönemlerini kapsayan verileri doğrultusunda, Kónya (2006) tarafından geliştirilen Bootstrap Panel Nedensellik testi kullanılarak tarımsal destekler, iktisadi kalkınma ve enflasyon arasındaki nedensellik ilişkisini incelemek amaçlanmıştır. Çalışmanın bulguları ülkeler arasında farklılık arz etmektedir. Çin ve Hindistan haricinde diğer ülkelerde tarımsal destekler, iktisadi kalkınma ve enflasyon değişkenleri arasında nedensellik ilişkileri tespit edilmiştir.

Keywords

Tarımsal Destekleme Politikası, Tarımsal Teşvikler, Ekonomik Kalkınma, Enflasyon, Bootstrap Panel Granger Nedensellik

Supporting Institution

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Project Number

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Thanks

Editorial süreçlerde emeği geçenlere teşekkür ederiz.

ANALYSIS OF THE RELATIONS BETWEEN AGRICULTURAL SUPPORT, ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT AND INFLATION BY BOOTSTRAP PANEL CAUSALITY TEST

Abstract

The agricultural sector is of great importance for the economies of developed and developing countries. Agriculture is a sector that is important both for economic development and for reducing poverty. Considering that the most fundamental problem of underdeveloped and developing countries is the lack of capital accumulation, the agricultural sector is one of the sectors that can provide capital accumulation that can support the development of these group countries. However, the uniquely fragile structure of the agricultural sector can bring along many problems. At the beginning of these problems is price instability specific to agricultural outputs. Therefore, the importance of the agricultural sector in terms of national economies causes governments to produce protective and supportive policies for this sector. In this study, it is aimed to examine the causal relationship between agricultural supports, economic development and inflation using the Bootstrap Panel Causality test developed by Kónya (2006) in line with the data of BRICS+T countries covering the period of 2000-2020. The findings of the study differ between countries. In countries other than China and India, causality relationships were determined between the variables of agricultural support, economic development and inflation.

Keywords

Agricultural Support Policy, Agricultural Subsidies, Economic Development, Inflation, Bootstrap Panel Granger Causality

Project Number

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