Productivity Determinants of Potato in Nigeria: An Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model Approach
Year 2018,
, 259 - 274, 30.09.2018
Ndubuisi Chigozirim Onwusiribe
,
Nnanna Mba Agwu
Jude Anayochukwu Mbanasor
Abstract
This study examined the productivity determinants of potato in Nigeria. The data for this study were extracted from secondary sources for a period of 1961-2016. The Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model was adopted. The findings revealed that variables such as capital, land, fertilizer and prices were significant both in the long-run and short-run while rainfall and temperature were insignificant in the short-run. The study recommends among others that access to capital by the potato farmers should be increased by making more capital available for loans and grants at a reduced interest rate and that the land tenure system in operation should be made flexible to enable potato farmers access more land to enable mechanization and increased output.
References
- ADEDEJI I. A ; JAYEOLA S. A & OWOLABI, J.O (2016). Growth Trend Analysis of Rice Productivity in Nigeria. Global Advanced Research Journal of Agricultural Science Vol. 5(10):391-398
AJETOMBI, J. & ABIODUN, A. (2010). Climate Change Impacts on Cowpea Productivity in Nigeria. African Journal of Food, Agriculture, Nutrition and Development, 10(1): 2258-2271.
AKPOKODJE, G. (2000). The Effect of Export Earnings Fluctuations on Capital Formation in Nigeria. African Economic Research Consortium. Research paper, RP103 October 2000, Nairobi, Kenya.
ALI, R., ALI, A.B., FATAH, F.A., AND ARIFF, E.E.E. (2010). Linkages of Macroeconomic Indicators and Agricultural Variables in Malaysia. Economic and Technology Management Review, 5: 1-9.
AWOKUSE, T.O. (2005). Impact of Macroeconomic policies on agricultural prices. Agricultural and resource economics review, 32(2), 226-237.
AYINDE, O. E., MUCHIE, M. AND OLATUNJI, G. B. (2011) Effect of Climate Change on Agricultural Productivity in Nigeria: A Co-integration Model Approach. Journal Humanity Ecology, 35(3): 189-194
BAMIDELE, F. S; BABATUNDE, R.O. & RASHEED, A. (2008). Productivity Analysis of Cassava-Based Production Systems in the Guinea Savannah: Case Study of Kwara State, Nigeria. American-Eurasian Journal of Scientific Research 3 (1): 33-39
CAO, K.H., AND BIRCHENALL, J.A. (2013). Agricultural Productivity, structural change and economic growth in post-reform China. Journal of Development Economics, 104: 165-180.
CHUKWUNONSO, G. I (2015) Impact of Climate Change on Agricultural Production and Sustainability in Nigeria. Asian Journal of Agricultural Extension, Economics & Sociology 4(1): 29-41
CLEAVER, K. & SCHREIBER, G. (1994). Reversing the Spiral: The Population, Agriculture and Environment Nexus in sub-Saharan Africa, Washington: World Bank.
DUASA J. (2006). Determinants of Malaysian Trade Balance: An ARDL Bound Testing Approach. 6th Global Conference on Business & Economics. OCTOBER 15-17, 2006
EBOH, E; ODUH, M. & UJAH, O. (2012). Drivers and Sustainability of Agricultural Growth in Nigeria. AIAE Research Paper 8, African Institute for Applied Economics, Enugu, Nigeria.
ENETE, I.C (2014) Impacts of Climate Change on Agricultural Production in Enugu State,Nigeria Journal of Earth Science & Climatic Change. Journal of Earth Science & Climate Change 2014,5: 234
FAO (2005), Food and Agriculture Organization: Production Yearbook, Rome Italy: FAO.
FEDERAL DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE (FDA). (1995). Federal Department of Agriculture; Federal Ministry of Agriculture Reports. Abuja, Nigeria.
FEDERAL OFFICE OF STATISTICS (1989).Yearly Economic Review, December
FOOD AND AGRICULTURE ORGANIZATION (FAO) (2017) A Global Effort to Strengthen Food and Nutrition Security Evidence-based Analysis and Decision Making: Global Report 2017 On Food Crises. Food Security Information Network (FSIN)
GARBA, P. K. (2000). An Analysis of the Implementation and Stability of Nigerian Agricultural Policies. 1970- 1993 African Economic Research Consortium Research Paper, 101. Nairobi, Kenya.
HOWARD, J. C; CAKAN, E. & UPADHYAYA, K. P. (2016) Climate Change and its Impact on Wheat Production in Kansas. International Journal of Food and Agricultural Economics Vol. 4 No. 2, 2016: 1-10
LIANG, X; YOU, W; CHAMBERS, R. G; SCHMOLDT, D. L; GAO, W; LIU, C; LIU, Y; SUN, C; AND KENNEDY,J. A. (2017) Determining Climate Effects on US Total Agricultural Productivity PNAS 2017 114 (12) E2285-E2292; published ahead of print March 6, 2017, doi:10.1073/pnas.1615922114
MBANASOR, J. A ; NWACHUKWU, I. N; AGWU, N. M & ONWUSIRIBE, N. C (2015) Impact of Climate Change on the Productivity of Cassava in Nigeria. Journal of Agriculture and Environmental Sciences June 2015, Vol. 4, No. 1: 138-147
MEMON, M. H; BAIG, W. S; & ALI, M. (2008). Causal Relationship Between Exports and Agricultural GDP in Pakistan. Applied Economics Research Center, University of Karachi. Munich Personal RePEc Archive
NATIONAL BUREAU OF STATISTICS (2013) Statistical Report on Men and Women in Nigeria. https://www.nigerianstat.gov.ng/pdfuploads/2014%20Statistical%20Report%20on%20Women%20and%20Men%20in%20Nigeria_.pdf
NTERANYA, S. (2015) Root and Tuber Crops (Cassava, Yam, Potato and Sweet Potato). Background Paper: An Action Plan for African Agricultural Transformation. United Nations Commission for Africa. Feeding Africa held at Abdou Diouf International Conference Centre, Dahar Senegal.
NWACHUKWU I.N., EZEH C.I. AND EMEROLEC.O. (2012) Effect of Climate Change on Cocoa Productivity in Nigeria. African Crop Science Journal, Vol. 20, Issue Supplement s2: 487 – 491
NWAJIUBA, C. AND R. ONYENEKE (2010). Effects of Climate on the Agriculture of Sub- Saharan Africa: Lessons from Southeast Rainforest zone of Nigeria. A Paper Presented at the Oxford Business and Economics Conference Program, U.K
OLUWATOYESE, O. P; DEWI , S. A AND AZAM, M. A (2016). Macroeconomic Factors and Agricultural Sector in Nigeria. 3rd Global Conference on Business and Social Science- 2015, GCBSS-2015, 16-17 December 2015, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia. Procedia-Social and Behavioural Science 219 (2016) 562-570.
ONWUMERE, J AND ICHIE, V.A (2012) Response of Nigerian Cassava Expansion Initiatives to Climate Changes, Economic Growth and Some Policy Instrument (1970-2012). International Journal of Food and Agricultural Economics Vol. 1 No. 2: 65-72
ONYENWEAKU, C.E; NWACHUKWU, I.N. & OPARA, T.C. (2010). Productivity Growth in Food Crop Production in Imo State, Nigeria. African Crop Science Journal, Vol. 18, No. 3 :89 - 95
PESARAN, H.M. (1997), “The Role of Economic Theory in Modelling the Long-run”, Economic Journal, Vol 107, 178-191.
PESARAN, H.M. AND SHIN, Y. (1995), “Autoregressive Distributed Lag Modelling Approach to Cointegration Analysis”, DAE Working Paper Series No. 9514, Department of Applied Economics, University of Cambridge.
PESARAN, H.M. AND SHIN, Y. (1999), Autoregressive Distributed Lag Modelling Approach to Cointegration Analysis, Chapter 11, in Storm, S., (ed.), Econometrics and Economic Theory in the 20th. Century: The Ragnar Frisch Centennial Symposium, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
PESARAN, H.M., & PESARAN, B. (1997), Microfit 4.0, Oxford University Press, England.
PESARAN, H.M., SHIN, Y. & SMITH, R.J. (2001), “Bounds Testing Approaches to the Analysis of Level Relationships”, Journal of Applied Econometrics, Vol. 16, 289-326.
PESARAN, H.M., SHIN, Y. AND SMITH, R. (1996), “Testing the Existence of A Long-run Relationship”, DAE Working Paper Series No. 9622, Department of Applied Economics, University of Cambridge.
PHILLIPS, P.C.B., & P.; PERSO, (1988) “Testing for a unit root in Time-series regression,” Bimetrika, 75: 332-348.
SHAHABINEJAD, V. & Akbari, A. (2010) Measuring agricultural productivity growth in Developing Eight. Journal of Development and Agricultural Economics Vol. 2(9), 326-332
SHARIFF, U. S. A. K. (2015). The Impact of Macroeconomic Variables Toward Agricultural Productivity in Malaysia. South East Asia Journal of Contemporary Business, Economics and Law, Vol. 8, Issue 3 (Dec.) ISSN 2289-1560.
UDOH, E. J., AND FALAKE, O. (2006). Resource-Use Efficiency and Productivity among Farmers in Nigeria. Journal of Agriculture and Social Sciences 1813–2235/2006/02–4–264–268 http://www.fspublishers.org
UMOH, G. S. AND YUSUF, S. A. (1999). An Empirical Analysis of the Poverty Status and productivity of Rural Farmers in Obubra Cross River State, Nigeria. Nigerian Journal of Economic and Social Studies Vol A, No.2: 259 – 271
Productivity Determinants of Potato in Nigeria: An Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model Approach
Year 2018,
, 259 - 274, 30.09.2018
Ndubuisi Chigozirim Onwusiribe
,
Nnanna Mba Agwu
Jude Anayochukwu Mbanasor
Abstract
This study examined the productivity determinants of potato in Nigeria. The data for this study were extracted from secondary sources for a period of 1961-2016. The Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model was adopted. The findings revealed that variables such as capital, land, fertilizer and prices were significant both in the long-run and short-run while rainfall and temperature were insignificant in the short-run. The study recommends among others that access to capital by the potato farmers should be increased by making more capital available for loans and grants at a reduced interest rate and that the land tenure system in operation should be made flexible to enable potato farmers access more land to enable mechanization and increased output.
References
- ADEDEJI I. A ; JAYEOLA S. A & OWOLABI, J.O (2016). Growth Trend Analysis of Rice Productivity in Nigeria. Global Advanced Research Journal of Agricultural Science Vol. 5(10):391-398
AJETOMBI, J. & ABIODUN, A. (2010). Climate Change Impacts on Cowpea Productivity in Nigeria. African Journal of Food, Agriculture, Nutrition and Development, 10(1): 2258-2271.
AKPOKODJE, G. (2000). The Effect of Export Earnings Fluctuations on Capital Formation in Nigeria. African Economic Research Consortium. Research paper, RP103 October 2000, Nairobi, Kenya.
ALI, R., ALI, A.B., FATAH, F.A., AND ARIFF, E.E.E. (2010). Linkages of Macroeconomic Indicators and Agricultural Variables in Malaysia. Economic and Technology Management Review, 5: 1-9.
AWOKUSE, T.O. (2005). Impact of Macroeconomic policies on agricultural prices. Agricultural and resource economics review, 32(2), 226-237.
AYINDE, O. E., MUCHIE, M. AND OLATUNJI, G. B. (2011) Effect of Climate Change on Agricultural Productivity in Nigeria: A Co-integration Model Approach. Journal Humanity Ecology, 35(3): 189-194
BAMIDELE, F. S; BABATUNDE, R.O. & RASHEED, A. (2008). Productivity Analysis of Cassava-Based Production Systems in the Guinea Savannah: Case Study of Kwara State, Nigeria. American-Eurasian Journal of Scientific Research 3 (1): 33-39
CAO, K.H., AND BIRCHENALL, J.A. (2013). Agricultural Productivity, structural change and economic growth in post-reform China. Journal of Development Economics, 104: 165-180.
CHUKWUNONSO, G. I (2015) Impact of Climate Change on Agricultural Production and Sustainability in Nigeria. Asian Journal of Agricultural Extension, Economics & Sociology 4(1): 29-41
CLEAVER, K. & SCHREIBER, G. (1994). Reversing the Spiral: The Population, Agriculture and Environment Nexus in sub-Saharan Africa, Washington: World Bank.
DUASA J. (2006). Determinants of Malaysian Trade Balance: An ARDL Bound Testing Approach. 6th Global Conference on Business & Economics. OCTOBER 15-17, 2006
EBOH, E; ODUH, M. & UJAH, O. (2012). Drivers and Sustainability of Agricultural Growth in Nigeria. AIAE Research Paper 8, African Institute for Applied Economics, Enugu, Nigeria.
ENETE, I.C (2014) Impacts of Climate Change on Agricultural Production in Enugu State,Nigeria Journal of Earth Science & Climatic Change. Journal of Earth Science & Climate Change 2014,5: 234
FAO (2005), Food and Agriculture Organization: Production Yearbook, Rome Italy: FAO.
FEDERAL DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE (FDA). (1995). Federal Department of Agriculture; Federal Ministry of Agriculture Reports. Abuja, Nigeria.
FEDERAL OFFICE OF STATISTICS (1989).Yearly Economic Review, December
FOOD AND AGRICULTURE ORGANIZATION (FAO) (2017) A Global Effort to Strengthen Food and Nutrition Security Evidence-based Analysis and Decision Making: Global Report 2017 On Food Crises. Food Security Information Network (FSIN)
GARBA, P. K. (2000). An Analysis of the Implementation and Stability of Nigerian Agricultural Policies. 1970- 1993 African Economic Research Consortium Research Paper, 101. Nairobi, Kenya.
HOWARD, J. C; CAKAN, E. & UPADHYAYA, K. P. (2016) Climate Change and its Impact on Wheat Production in Kansas. International Journal of Food and Agricultural Economics Vol. 4 No. 2, 2016: 1-10
LIANG, X; YOU, W; CHAMBERS, R. G; SCHMOLDT, D. L; GAO, W; LIU, C; LIU, Y; SUN, C; AND KENNEDY,J. A. (2017) Determining Climate Effects on US Total Agricultural Productivity PNAS 2017 114 (12) E2285-E2292; published ahead of print March 6, 2017, doi:10.1073/pnas.1615922114
MBANASOR, J. A ; NWACHUKWU, I. N; AGWU, N. M & ONWUSIRIBE, N. C (2015) Impact of Climate Change on the Productivity of Cassava in Nigeria. Journal of Agriculture and Environmental Sciences June 2015, Vol. 4, No. 1: 138-147
MEMON, M. H; BAIG, W. S; & ALI, M. (2008). Causal Relationship Between Exports and Agricultural GDP in Pakistan. Applied Economics Research Center, University of Karachi. Munich Personal RePEc Archive
NATIONAL BUREAU OF STATISTICS (2013) Statistical Report on Men and Women in Nigeria. https://www.nigerianstat.gov.ng/pdfuploads/2014%20Statistical%20Report%20on%20Women%20and%20Men%20in%20Nigeria_.pdf
NTERANYA, S. (2015) Root and Tuber Crops (Cassava, Yam, Potato and Sweet Potato). Background Paper: An Action Plan for African Agricultural Transformation. United Nations Commission for Africa. Feeding Africa held at Abdou Diouf International Conference Centre, Dahar Senegal.
NWACHUKWU I.N., EZEH C.I. AND EMEROLEC.O. (2012) Effect of Climate Change on Cocoa Productivity in Nigeria. African Crop Science Journal, Vol. 20, Issue Supplement s2: 487 – 491
NWAJIUBA, C. AND R. ONYENEKE (2010). Effects of Climate on the Agriculture of Sub- Saharan Africa: Lessons from Southeast Rainforest zone of Nigeria. A Paper Presented at the Oxford Business and Economics Conference Program, U.K
OLUWATOYESE, O. P; DEWI , S. A AND AZAM, M. A (2016). Macroeconomic Factors and Agricultural Sector in Nigeria. 3rd Global Conference on Business and Social Science- 2015, GCBSS-2015, 16-17 December 2015, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia. Procedia-Social and Behavioural Science 219 (2016) 562-570.
ONWUMERE, J AND ICHIE, V.A (2012) Response of Nigerian Cassava Expansion Initiatives to Climate Changes, Economic Growth and Some Policy Instrument (1970-2012). International Journal of Food and Agricultural Economics Vol. 1 No. 2: 65-72
ONYENWEAKU, C.E; NWACHUKWU, I.N. & OPARA, T.C. (2010). Productivity Growth in Food Crop Production in Imo State, Nigeria. African Crop Science Journal, Vol. 18, No. 3 :89 - 95
PESARAN, H.M. (1997), “The Role of Economic Theory in Modelling the Long-run”, Economic Journal, Vol 107, 178-191.
PESARAN, H.M. AND SHIN, Y. (1995), “Autoregressive Distributed Lag Modelling Approach to Cointegration Analysis”, DAE Working Paper Series No. 9514, Department of Applied Economics, University of Cambridge.
PESARAN, H.M. AND SHIN, Y. (1999), Autoregressive Distributed Lag Modelling Approach to Cointegration Analysis, Chapter 11, in Storm, S., (ed.), Econometrics and Economic Theory in the 20th. Century: The Ragnar Frisch Centennial Symposium, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
PESARAN, H.M., & PESARAN, B. (1997), Microfit 4.0, Oxford University Press, England.
PESARAN, H.M., SHIN, Y. & SMITH, R.J. (2001), “Bounds Testing Approaches to the Analysis of Level Relationships”, Journal of Applied Econometrics, Vol. 16, 289-326.
PESARAN, H.M., SHIN, Y. AND SMITH, R. (1996), “Testing the Existence of A Long-run Relationship”, DAE Working Paper Series No. 9622, Department of Applied Economics, University of Cambridge.
PHILLIPS, P.C.B., & P.; PERSO, (1988) “Testing for a unit root in Time-series regression,” Bimetrika, 75: 332-348.
SHAHABINEJAD, V. & Akbari, A. (2010) Measuring agricultural productivity growth in Developing Eight. Journal of Development and Agricultural Economics Vol. 2(9), 326-332
SHARIFF, U. S. A. K. (2015). The Impact of Macroeconomic Variables Toward Agricultural Productivity in Malaysia. South East Asia Journal of Contemporary Business, Economics and Law, Vol. 8, Issue 3 (Dec.) ISSN 2289-1560.
UDOH, E. J., AND FALAKE, O. (2006). Resource-Use Efficiency and Productivity among Farmers in Nigeria. Journal of Agriculture and Social Sciences 1813–2235/2006/02–4–264–268 http://www.fspublishers.org
UMOH, G. S. AND YUSUF, S. A. (1999). An Empirical Analysis of the Poverty Status and productivity of Rural Farmers in Obubra Cross River State, Nigeria. Nigerian Journal of Economic and Social Studies Vol A, No.2: 259 – 271