The Potential of Bilateral Trade Between Egypt And Nile Basin Countries: A Gravity Model Approach

Year 2018, Volume: 2 Issue: 2, 135 - 145, 31.05.2018

Ayman Shelaby , Mohamed Mohamed , Sayed Salah

https://doi.org/10.29023/alanyaakademik.338645

Abstract

This research aims at determining the factors affecting the agricultural bilateral trade flows of Egypt with the Nile Basin countries using the gravity model. Basic and Augmented models have been estimated for both Egyptian agricultural exports and imports. The growth of Egyptian exports to the Nile Basin countries is affected by GDP of both sides. There's a great chance for Egypt to increase the exports to Nile Basin countries by increasing GDP. Distance has a negative impact due to the poor and insufficient transportation infrastructure of Nile Basin countries. Which give more attention to the development of roads and Nile shipping to increase bilateral trade between Egypt and Nile basin countries.

Keywords

Egypt agricultural exports, bilateral trade, gravity model, Nile Basin

The Potential of Bilateral Trade Between Egypt And Nile Basin Countries: A Gravity Model Approach

Abstract

TThis research aims at determining the factors affecting the agricultural bilateral trade flows of Egypt with the Nile Basin countries using the gravity model. Basic and Augmented models have been estimated for both Egyptian agricultural exports and imports. The growth of Egyptian exports to the Nile Basin countries is affected by GDP of both sides. There's a great chance for Egypt to increase the exports to Nile Basin countries by increasing GDP. Distance has a negative impact due to the poor and insufficient transportation infrastructure of Nile Basin countries. Which give more attention to the development of roads and Nile shipping to increase bilateral trade between Egypt and Nile basin countries.

Keywords

Egypt agricultural exports, bilateral trade, gravity model, Nile Basin

References

• Dr. Mohamed Omran Director, BLUE Consulting Limited [e-mail] [phone]
• Prof. Dr. Mona Elkhashab Dean, Faculty of Agriculture – Fayoum University [e-mail] [phone]
• Dr. Walid Sallam Chief of Party, AERI Value Chain Training Project [e-mail] [phone]