DOES TURKEY'S MEMBERSHIP IN THE ORGANIZATION OF TURKIC STATES IMPACT ITS ECONOMIC GROWTH?

Year 2025, Volume: 26 Issue: 1, 379 - 407, 27.03.2025

Yahya Kemal Teber , Huriye Gonca Diler

https://doi.org/10.53443/anadoluibfd.1544763

Abstract

The main objective is to investigate whether the foreign trade conducted among the member countries of the Turkic States Organization, of which Turkey became a founding member in 2009, has contributed to Turkey's economic growth. Granger and Toda-Yamamoto causality tests were employed to examine the relationship between the foreign trade intensity index representing the trade among the member states and Turkey's economic growth rate. The findings reveal a positive relationship from the foreign trade intensity indices of Azerbaijan and Uzbekistan toward Turkey's economic growth rate, while relationship wasn’t found between the foreign trade intensity indices of Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan and Turkey's economic growth rate. This indicates that Turkey's trade with Azerbaijan and Uzbekistan positively affects its economic growth, whereas its trade with Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan doesn’t have such an impact. It can be concluded that the intensification of trade between Turkey and the member states of the organization has a positive effect on Turkey's economy.

Keywords

Turkic States Organization, Trade Intensity Index, Economic Growth

TÜRKİYE’NİN TÜRK DEVLETLERİ TEŞKİLATINA ÜYELİĞİ EKONOMİK BÜYÜMESİNE ETKİ EDER Mİ?

Abstract

2009 yılında Türkiye’nin de kurucu üye olduğu Türk Devletleri Teşkilatı ülkelerinin aralarında yaptıkları dış ticaretin Türkiye’nin ekonomik büyümesine katkı sağlayıp sağlamadığını araştırmak temel amaçtır. Teşkilata üye ülkelerin aralarında yaptığı ticareti temsil eden dış ticaret yoğunluk endeksi ile Türkiye ekonomisine ait büyüme oranı arasındaki ilişkinin araştırılmasında Granger ve Toda-Yamamato nedensellik testleri kullanılmıştır. Analizlerden elde edilen bulgular, Azerbaycan ve Özbekistan dış ticaret yoğunluk endekslerinden Türkiye’nin ekonomik büyüme oranına doğru bir ilişki olduğu, Kazakistan ve Kırgızistan dış ticaret yoğunluk endeksleri ile Türkiye’nin ekonomik büyüme oranı arasında bir ilişkinin olmadığını göstermektedir. Bu sonuç, Türkiye’nin Azerbaycan ve Özbekistan ile dış ticaretinin ekonomik büyümesini etkilediği, Kazakistan ve Kırgızistan ile yaptığı ticaretin ekonomik büyümesine etki etmediği yönündedir. Türkiye ile teşkilat ülkeleri arasındaki ticaretin karşılıklı olarak yoğunlaşmasının, Türkiye ekonomisi üzerine olumlu etki yaptığı söylenebilir.

Keywords

Türk Devletleri Teşkilatı, Dış Ticaret Yoğunluk Endeksi, Ekonomik Büyüme

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