Türkiye'de Finansal Gelişmenin Ekolojik Ayak İzi Üzerindeki Etkisi: Yeni Dinamik ARDL Simülasyon Yaklaşımından Ampirik Kanıtlar

Öz

Bu çalışmada finansal gelişmenin ekolojik ayak izi üzerindeki etkisi Türkiye için araştırılmıştır. Çalışmada, Türkiye’nin 1980 ile 2018 yılları arasındaki verileri kullanılarak güncel bir ekonometrik yöntem olan dinamik ARDL simülasyon modeli ile analizler gerçekleştirilmiştir. Çalışmada ayrıca ARDL sınır testi de kullanılmıştır. ARDL sınır testi sonuçlarına göre finansal gelişme ile ekolojik ayak izi arasında uzun dönemli ilişki belirlenmiştir. Dinamik ARDL simülasyon modeli sonuçları ise finansal gelişmede meydana gelen artışların (azalışların) ekolojik izini hem kısa dönemde hem de uzun dönemde artırdığını (azalttığını) ortaya koymuştur. Bu bulgular, politika yapıcıların finansal gelişmeyi sağlarken daha çevreci politikalar izlemesi gerektiğini belirtmektedir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• finansal gelişme
• ekolojik ayak izi
• ARDL sınır testi
• dinamik ARDL simülasyon modeli

The Impact of Financial Development on Ecological Footprint in Turkey: Empirical Evidence from the Novel Dynamic ARDL Simulations Approach

Abstract

In this study, the impact of the financial development on ecological footprint is investigated for Turkey. In the study, analyses are carried out with the novel dynamic ARDL simulations model using the data of Turkey between 1980 and 2018. Also, the ARDL bounds test is used in the study. According to the ARDL bounds test results, a long-run relationship is determined between financial development and ecological footprint. On the other hand, the dynamic ARDL simulations model results reveal that increases (decreases) in financial development increase (decrease) the ecological footprint both in the short-run and in the long-run. The implication of these findings is that policymakers should follow more environmentally-friendly policies while providing financial development.

Keywords

• financial development
• ecological footprint
• ARDL bounds test
• dynamic ARDL simulation model

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