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American Intelligence Community Description and Discussion of a Theory

Year 2025, Volume: 13 Issue: 3, 1396 - 1428, 30.12.2025
https://doi.org/10.18506/anemon.1613700

Abstract

This study examines the activities of the American Intelligence Community from the perspective of theory of international politics, demonstrating that the Structural Realist perspective is more explanatory than an independent theory of intelligence. The analysis framed within the Structural Realist perspective shows that intellginece activities are directly proportional to the balance of power and the maximization of power at the systemic level of international politics. In this context, Operation Ajax, the Bay of Pigs Invasion, the Iranian Revolution, and Operation Cyclone are analyzed as case studies, addressing the short-term positive and long-term negative consequences of these activities. The findings of the study reveal the challenges of establishing an independent theory of intelligence due to the chaotic and dynamic nature of intelligence activities, while also highlighting the Structural Realist perspective as a significant tool for analyzing intelligence activities within the framework of theory of international politics. Additionally, the study underscores that intelligence operations are subject to restrictive and limiting effects within the systemic structure of international politics, thereby emphasizing the critical importance of alliance relations. Ultimately, the study asserts the necessity of examining intelligence activities within the framework of Structural Realist-based theory of international politics and contributes to the Turkish literature on the subject.

References

  • Abend, G. (2008). the meaning of ‘theory’. Sociological theory, 26(2), 173–199. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9558.2008.00324.x
  • Administration, U. S. D. E. (2008). Drug Enforcement Administration: A Tradition of Excellence, 1973-2008. Drug Enforcement Administration.
  • Aid, M. M. (2001). the National Security Agency and the Cold War. Intelligence & National Security, 16(1), 27–66.
  • Aid, M. M. (2009). The secret sentry: The untold history of the National Security Agency. Bloomsbury Publishing USA.
  • Alkire, B., Tingstad, A., Benedetti, D., Cordova, A., Danescu, I., Fry, W., George, D. S., Hanser, L. M., Menthe, L., Nemeth, E., Ochmanek, D., Pollak, J., Riposo, J., Smith, T., & Stephenson, A. (2016). Leveraging the Past to Prepare for the Future of Air Force Intelligence Analysis. https://apps.dtic.mil/sti/trecms/pdf/AD1085118.pdf
  • Ateş, A. (2023). İstihbaratın Dönüşümü; Artan Tehditler Ve Enformatik Şoklar Teorisi. Yeditepe Yayınevi.
  • Behrooz, M. (2001). Tudeh factionalism and the 1953 coup in Iran. International Journal of Middle East Studies, 33(3), 363–382. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1017/S0020743801003026
  • Best Jr, R. A. (2006). The Director of National Intelligence and Intelligence Analysis. In D. D. Pegarkov (Ed.), National Security Issues. Nova Science Publishers.
  • Betts, R. K. (2007). Enemies of intelligence: Knowledge and power in American national security. Columbia University Press.
  • Bigelow, M. E. (2012). A short history of Army Intelligence. Military Intelligence, 38(3), 7–69.
  • Billard Jr, R. D. (2010). Operation Cyclone: how the United States defeated the Soviet Union. URJ-UCCS: Undergraduate Research Journal at UCCS, 3(2), 25–41.
  • Bird, J. (2004). Analysis of Intelligence Support to the 1991 Persian Gulf War: Enduring Lessons.
  • Bolton, M. K. (2018). The rise of the American security state: The National Security Act of 1947 and the militarization of US foreign policy. ABC-CLIO.
  • Brauner, M. K., Massey, H. G., Moore, S., & Medlin, D. D. (2009). Improving development and utilization of US Air Force intelligence officers. R. Corporation. https://apps.dtic.mil/sti/tr/pdf/ADA503766.pdf
  • Brown, J. D. (2013). oil fueled? the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan. Post-Soviet Affairs, 29(1), 56–94. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1080/1060586X.2013.778543
  • Charles, D. M., & Stockham, A. J. (2022). The Federal Bureau of Investigation: History, Powers, and Controversies of the FBI. Bloomsbury Publishing USA.
  • Christian, M. C., & Dillard, J. E. (2000). why we need a national joint targeting center. Air & Space Power Journal– Chronicles Online Journal, 3.
  • Connelly, M., Hicks, R., Jervis, R., & Spirling, A. (2021). new evidence and new methods for analyzing the Iranian revolution as an intelligence failure. Intelligence and National Security, 36(6), 781–806. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1080/02684527.2021.1946959
  • Ferris, J. (1995). coming in from the Cold War: the historiography of American intelligence, 1945–1990. Diplomatic History, 19(1), 87–115. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-7709.1995.tb00578.x
  • Fingar, T. (2011). Analysis in the US intelligence community: Missions, masters, and methods. In B. Fischhoff & C. Chauvin (Eds.), Intelligence analysis: Behavioral and social scientific foundations (pp. 3–27). The National Academies Press.
  • Finnegan, J. P. (1998). Military intelligence (Vol. 60). Government Printing Office.
  • Ford, C. A., & Rosenberg, D. A. (2005). the naval intelligence underpinnings of Reagan's maritime strategy. Journal of Strategic Studies, 28(2), 379–409. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1080/01402390500088627
  • Fujimato, H. (2014). the legacy of the Gulf of Tonkin Incident:“real American war” in Vietnam. Nanzan review of American studies, 36, 113–121. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.15119/00000670
  • Gill, P. (2010). Theories of intelligence. In L. K. Johnson (Ed.), The Oxford Handbook of National Security Intelligence (pp. 43–58). Oxford University Press.
  • Imran, A., Hashmi, S. R., & Anwar, M. F. (2022). US-Pakistan alliances in Afghanistan: policies, costs and implications. Pakistan Journal of Humanities and Social Sciences, 10(1), 180–190.
  • Investigation, T. F. B. o. (2012). Domestic investigations and operations guide. Skyhorse Publishing Inc.
  • Isenberg, D. (1989). Cato Institute Policy Analysis No. 118: The Pitfalls of US Covert Operations. JSTOR.
  • Jervis, R. (1986). the nuclear revolution and the common defense. Political Science Quarterly, 101(5), 689–703.
  • Kahn, D. (1984). The United States Views Germany and Japan in 1941. In E. R. May (Ed.), Knowing One’s Enemies: Intelligence Assessment Before the Two World Wars (pp. 476–501). Princeton University Press.
  • Kim, J. (2006). the first American secret war: assessing the origins and consequences of operation AJAX in Iran. International Area Review, 9(1), 195–216.
  • Ransom, H. H. (1984). Secret Intelligence in the United States, 1947–1982: the CIA’s Search for Legitimacy. In The Missing Dimension: Governments and Intelligence Communities in the Twentieth Century (pp. 199–226). Springer.
  • Ruehsen, M. d. M. (1993). Operation ‘Ajax’ revisited: Iran, 1953. Middle Eastern Studies, 29(3), 467–486. Setzekorn, E. (2017). The Office of Naval Intelligence in World War I: diverse threats, divergent responses. Studies in Intelligence Vol, 61(2).
  • Shulman, M. R. (1993). The rise and fall of American naval intelligence, 1882–1917. Intelligence and National Security, 8(2), 214–226.
  • Takeyh, R. (2022). The Coup that Wasn't: Jimmy Carter and Iran. In D. Allin (Ed.), Survival: August-September 2022 (pp. 137–149). Routledge.
  • Waltz, K. (2010). Theory of international politics. Waveland Press.

Year 2025, Volume: 13 Issue: 3, 1396 - 1428, 30.12.2025
https://doi.org/10.18506/anemon.1613700

Abstract

References

  • Abend, G. (2008). the meaning of ‘theory’. Sociological theory, 26(2), 173–199. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9558.2008.00324.x
  • Administration, U. S. D. E. (2008). Drug Enforcement Administration: A Tradition of Excellence, 1973-2008. Drug Enforcement Administration.
  • Aid, M. M. (2001). the National Security Agency and the Cold War. Intelligence & National Security, 16(1), 27–66.
  • Aid, M. M. (2009). The secret sentry: The untold history of the National Security Agency. Bloomsbury Publishing USA.
  • Alkire, B., Tingstad, A., Benedetti, D., Cordova, A., Danescu, I., Fry, W., George, D. S., Hanser, L. M., Menthe, L., Nemeth, E., Ochmanek, D., Pollak, J., Riposo, J., Smith, T., & Stephenson, A. (2016). Leveraging the Past to Prepare for the Future of Air Force Intelligence Analysis. https://apps.dtic.mil/sti/trecms/pdf/AD1085118.pdf
  • Ateş, A. (2023). İstihbaratın Dönüşümü; Artan Tehditler Ve Enformatik Şoklar Teorisi. Yeditepe Yayınevi.
  • Behrooz, M. (2001). Tudeh factionalism and the 1953 coup in Iran. International Journal of Middle East Studies, 33(3), 363–382. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1017/S0020743801003026
  • Best Jr, R. A. (2006). The Director of National Intelligence and Intelligence Analysis. In D. D. Pegarkov (Ed.), National Security Issues. Nova Science Publishers.
  • Betts, R. K. (2007). Enemies of intelligence: Knowledge and power in American national security. Columbia University Press.
  • Bigelow, M. E. (2012). A short history of Army Intelligence. Military Intelligence, 38(3), 7–69.
  • Billard Jr, R. D. (2010). Operation Cyclone: how the United States defeated the Soviet Union. URJ-UCCS: Undergraduate Research Journal at UCCS, 3(2), 25–41.
  • Bird, J. (2004). Analysis of Intelligence Support to the 1991 Persian Gulf War: Enduring Lessons.
  • Bolton, M. K. (2018). The rise of the American security state: The National Security Act of 1947 and the militarization of US foreign policy. ABC-CLIO.
  • Brauner, M. K., Massey, H. G., Moore, S., & Medlin, D. D. (2009). Improving development and utilization of US Air Force intelligence officers. R. Corporation. https://apps.dtic.mil/sti/tr/pdf/ADA503766.pdf
  • Brown, J. D. (2013). oil fueled? the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan. Post-Soviet Affairs, 29(1), 56–94. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1080/1060586X.2013.778543
  • Charles, D. M., & Stockham, A. J. (2022). The Federal Bureau of Investigation: History, Powers, and Controversies of the FBI. Bloomsbury Publishing USA.
  • Christian, M. C., & Dillard, J. E. (2000). why we need a national joint targeting center. Air & Space Power Journal– Chronicles Online Journal, 3.
  • Connelly, M., Hicks, R., Jervis, R., & Spirling, A. (2021). new evidence and new methods for analyzing the Iranian revolution as an intelligence failure. Intelligence and National Security, 36(6), 781–806. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1080/02684527.2021.1946959
  • Ferris, J. (1995). coming in from the Cold War: the historiography of American intelligence, 1945–1990. Diplomatic History, 19(1), 87–115. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-7709.1995.tb00578.x
  • Fingar, T. (2011). Analysis in the US intelligence community: Missions, masters, and methods. In B. Fischhoff & C. Chauvin (Eds.), Intelligence analysis: Behavioral and social scientific foundations (pp. 3–27). The National Academies Press.
  • Finnegan, J. P. (1998). Military intelligence (Vol. 60). Government Printing Office.
  • Ford, C. A., & Rosenberg, D. A. (2005). the naval intelligence underpinnings of Reagan's maritime strategy. Journal of Strategic Studies, 28(2), 379–409. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1080/01402390500088627
  • Fujimato, H. (2014). the legacy of the Gulf of Tonkin Incident:“real American war” in Vietnam. Nanzan review of American studies, 36, 113–121. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.15119/00000670
  • Gill, P. (2010). Theories of intelligence. In L. K. Johnson (Ed.), The Oxford Handbook of National Security Intelligence (pp. 43–58). Oxford University Press.
  • Imran, A., Hashmi, S. R., & Anwar, M. F. (2022). US-Pakistan alliances in Afghanistan: policies, costs and implications. Pakistan Journal of Humanities and Social Sciences, 10(1), 180–190.
  • Investigation, T. F. B. o. (2012). Domestic investigations and operations guide. Skyhorse Publishing Inc.
  • Isenberg, D. (1989). Cato Institute Policy Analysis No. 118: The Pitfalls of US Covert Operations. JSTOR.
  • Jervis, R. (1986). the nuclear revolution and the common defense. Political Science Quarterly, 101(5), 689–703.
  • Kahn, D. (1984). The United States Views Germany and Japan in 1941. In E. R. May (Ed.), Knowing One’s Enemies: Intelligence Assessment Before the Two World Wars (pp. 476–501). Princeton University Press.
  • Kim, J. (2006). the first American secret war: assessing the origins and consequences of operation AJAX in Iran. International Area Review, 9(1), 195–216.
  • Ransom, H. H. (1984). Secret Intelligence in the United States, 1947–1982: the CIA’s Search for Legitimacy. In The Missing Dimension: Governments and Intelligence Communities in the Twentieth Century (pp. 199–226). Springer.
  • Ruehsen, M. d. M. (1993). Operation ‘Ajax’ revisited: Iran, 1953. Middle Eastern Studies, 29(3), 467–486. Setzekorn, E. (2017). The Office of Naval Intelligence in World War I: diverse threats, divergent responses. Studies in Intelligence Vol, 61(2).
  • Shulman, M. R. (1993). The rise and fall of American naval intelligence, 1882–1917. Intelligence and National Security, 8(2), 214–226.
  • Takeyh, R. (2022). The Coup that Wasn't: Jimmy Carter and Iran. In D. Allin (Ed.), Survival: August-September 2022 (pp. 137–149). Routledge.
  • Waltz, K. (2010). Theory of international politics. Waveland Press.

Amerikan İstihbarat Topluluğu Tanımlaması Ve Bir Teori Tartışması

Year 2025, Volume: 13 Issue: 3, 1396 - 1428, 30.12.2025
https://doi.org/10.18506/anemon.1613700

Abstract

Bu çalışma, Amerikan İstihbarat Topluluğu faaliyetlerini uluslararası politika teorisi bakımından inceleyerek, bağımsız bir istihbarat teorisinden ziyade Yapısal Realist perspektifin açıklayıcı olduğunu ortaya koymaktadır. Yapısal Realist perspektif çerçevesinde ortaya konan analiz, istihbarat faaliyetlerinin uluslararası politikanın sistemik seviyesindeki güç dengesi ve gücün maksimizasyonu ile doğru orantılı olduğunu göstermektedir. Bu kapsamda Ajax Operasyonu, Domuzlar Körfezi, Humeyni İhtilali ve Fırtına Operasyonu örnek olaylar olarak incelenmiş ve bu faaliyetlerin kısa vadeli olumlu uzun vadeli olumsuz sonuçları ele alınmıştır. Çalışmanın bulguları, istihbarat faaliyetlerinin kaotik ve değişken yapısı dolayısıyla bağımsız bir istihbarat teorisinin ortaya konmasındaki zorlukları ortaya koyarken, Yapısal Realist perspektifin uluslararası politika teorisinin istihbarat faaliyetlerinin analizinde önemli bir araç olduğunu göstermektedir. Buna ek olarak, çalışmada istihbarat operasyonlarının uluslararası politikanın sistemik yapısı içinde kısıtlayıcı ve sınırlayıcı etkiye maruz kaldığı dolayısıyla ittifak ilişkilerinin kritik önemi haiz olduğu ortaya konmuştur. Netice itibarıyla Yapısal Realist perspektife dayalı uluslararası politika teorisi çerçevesinde ele alınması gerekliliği ve Türkçe literatüre katkı sunduğu belirtilmektedir.

References

  • Abend, G. (2008). the meaning of ‘theory’. Sociological theory, 26(2), 173–199. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9558.2008.00324.x
  • Administration, U. S. D. E. (2008). Drug Enforcement Administration: A Tradition of Excellence, 1973-2008. Drug Enforcement Administration.
  • Aid, M. M. (2001). the National Security Agency and the Cold War. Intelligence & National Security, 16(1), 27–66.
  • Aid, M. M. (2009). The secret sentry: The untold history of the National Security Agency. Bloomsbury Publishing USA.
  • Alkire, B., Tingstad, A., Benedetti, D., Cordova, A., Danescu, I., Fry, W., George, D. S., Hanser, L. M., Menthe, L., Nemeth, E., Ochmanek, D., Pollak, J., Riposo, J., Smith, T., & Stephenson, A. (2016). Leveraging the Past to Prepare for the Future of Air Force Intelligence Analysis. https://apps.dtic.mil/sti/trecms/pdf/AD1085118.pdf
  • Ateş, A. (2023). İstihbaratın Dönüşümü; Artan Tehditler Ve Enformatik Şoklar Teorisi. Yeditepe Yayınevi.
  • Behrooz, M. (2001). Tudeh factionalism and the 1953 coup in Iran. International Journal of Middle East Studies, 33(3), 363–382. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1017/S0020743801003026
  • Best Jr, R. A. (2006). The Director of National Intelligence and Intelligence Analysis. In D. D. Pegarkov (Ed.), National Security Issues. Nova Science Publishers.
  • Betts, R. K. (2007). Enemies of intelligence: Knowledge and power in American national security. Columbia University Press.
  • Bigelow, M. E. (2012). A short history of Army Intelligence. Military Intelligence, 38(3), 7–69.
  • Billard Jr, R. D. (2010). Operation Cyclone: how the United States defeated the Soviet Union. URJ-UCCS: Undergraduate Research Journal at UCCS, 3(2), 25–41.
  • Bird, J. (2004). Analysis of Intelligence Support to the 1991 Persian Gulf War: Enduring Lessons.
  • Bolton, M. K. (2018). The rise of the American security state: The National Security Act of 1947 and the militarization of US foreign policy. ABC-CLIO.
  • Brauner, M. K., Massey, H. G., Moore, S., & Medlin, D. D. (2009). Improving development and utilization of US Air Force intelligence officers. R. Corporation. https://apps.dtic.mil/sti/tr/pdf/ADA503766.pdf
  • Brown, J. D. (2013). oil fueled? the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan. Post-Soviet Affairs, 29(1), 56–94. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1080/1060586X.2013.778543
  • Charles, D. M., & Stockham, A. J. (2022). The Federal Bureau of Investigation: History, Powers, and Controversies of the FBI. Bloomsbury Publishing USA.
  • Christian, M. C., & Dillard, J. E. (2000). why we need a national joint targeting center. Air & Space Power Journal– Chronicles Online Journal, 3.
  • Connelly, M., Hicks, R., Jervis, R., & Spirling, A. (2021). new evidence and new methods for analyzing the Iranian revolution as an intelligence failure. Intelligence and National Security, 36(6), 781–806. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1080/02684527.2021.1946959
  • Ferris, J. (1995). coming in from the Cold War: the historiography of American intelligence, 1945–1990. Diplomatic History, 19(1), 87–115. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-7709.1995.tb00578.x
  • Fingar, T. (2011). Analysis in the US intelligence community: Missions, masters, and methods. In B. Fischhoff & C. Chauvin (Eds.), Intelligence analysis: Behavioral and social scientific foundations (pp. 3–27). The National Academies Press.
  • Finnegan, J. P. (1998). Military intelligence (Vol. 60). Government Printing Office.
  • Ford, C. A., & Rosenberg, D. A. (2005). the naval intelligence underpinnings of Reagan's maritime strategy. Journal of Strategic Studies, 28(2), 379–409. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1080/01402390500088627
  • Fujimato, H. (2014). the legacy of the Gulf of Tonkin Incident:“real American war” in Vietnam. Nanzan review of American studies, 36, 113–121. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.15119/00000670
  • Gill, P. (2010). Theories of intelligence. In L. K. Johnson (Ed.), The Oxford Handbook of National Security Intelligence (pp. 43–58). Oxford University Press.
  • Imran, A., Hashmi, S. R., & Anwar, M. F. (2022). US-Pakistan alliances in Afghanistan: policies, costs and implications. Pakistan Journal of Humanities and Social Sciences, 10(1), 180–190.
  • Investigation, T. F. B. o. (2012). Domestic investigations and operations guide. Skyhorse Publishing Inc.
  • Isenberg, D. (1989). Cato Institute Policy Analysis No. 118: The Pitfalls of US Covert Operations. JSTOR.
  • Jervis, R. (1986). the nuclear revolution and the common defense. Political Science Quarterly, 101(5), 689–703.
  • Kahn, D. (1984). The United States Views Germany and Japan in 1941. In E. R. May (Ed.), Knowing One’s Enemies: Intelligence Assessment Before the Two World Wars (pp. 476–501). Princeton University Press.
  • Kim, J. (2006). the first American secret war: assessing the origins and consequences of operation AJAX in Iran. International Area Review, 9(1), 195–216.
  • Ransom, H. H. (1984). Secret Intelligence in the United States, 1947–1982: the CIA’s Search for Legitimacy. In The Missing Dimension: Governments and Intelligence Communities in the Twentieth Century (pp. 199–226). Springer.
  • Ruehsen, M. d. M. (1993). Operation ‘Ajax’ revisited: Iran, 1953. Middle Eastern Studies, 29(3), 467–486. Setzekorn, E. (2017). The Office of Naval Intelligence in World War I: diverse threats, divergent responses. Studies in Intelligence Vol, 61(2).
  • Shulman, M. R. (1993). The rise and fall of American naval intelligence, 1882–1917. Intelligence and National Security, 8(2), 214–226.
  • Takeyh, R. (2022). The Coup that Wasn't: Jimmy Carter and Iran. In D. Allin (Ed.), Survival: August-September 2022 (pp. 137–149). Routledge.
  • Waltz, K. (2010). Theory of international politics. Waveland Press.
There are 35 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language English
Subjects International Relations (Other)
Journal Section Research Article
Authors

Ozdemir Akbal 0000-0001-7030-7946

Submission Date January 5, 2025
Acceptance Date September 8, 2025
Publication Date December 30, 2025
Published in Issue Year 2025 Volume: 13 Issue: 3

Cite

APA Akbal, O. (2025). American Intelligence Community Description and Discussion of a Theory. Anemon Muş Alparslan Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 13(3), 1396-1428. https://doi.org/10.18506/anemon.1613700