Avrupa'da Yeşil Mali Kurallar ve Ekonomik Büyüme: Panel Veri Yaklaşımı

Öz

Avrupa ekonomileri 2050 yılına kadar karbon nötrlüğü hedefine ulaşmak için çaba gösterirken, yeşil mali kurallar politika tartışmalarının merkezine oturmuştur. Avrupa Birliği (AB), yeşil bütçeleme, sürdürülebilir borç kuralları ve karbon vergilendirmesi dahil olmak üzere çevresel hususları mali yönetişim çerçevesine entegre etmiştir. Bu politikalar sürdürülebilirlik ile ekonomik büyüme arasında denge sağlamayı amaçlasa da, makroekonomik etkileri tartışmalı olmaya devam etmektedir. Bu çalışma, nedensel çıkarımları iyileştirmek için panel veri modellemesi ve panel ARDL yaklaşımını kullanarak yeşil mali kuralların Avrupa ülkelerindeki ekonomik büyümeyi nasıl etkilediğini incelemektedir. Bu araştırma, yeşil mali politikaların Avrupa'daki ekonomik büyüme üzerindeki etkilerini inceleyerek politika yapıcılarına değerli bilgiler sağladığı için önemlidir. Panel veri yaklaşımı nedensel çıkarımları güçlendirirken, panel ARDL uzun vadeli etkiler hakkında değerli bilgiler sunarak bulguların güvenilirliğini artırmaktadır. Bu bağlantıyı kavramak, çevresel sürdürülebilirlik ile ekonomik istikrar arasında bir denge kurulmasını sağlar. Bu araştırma, Avrupa ülkeleri arasında karşılaştırmalar sunarak diğer bölgelerin çevre politikası stratejileri geliştirmelerine yardımcı olur. Bu girişim aynı zamanda, yeşil mali politikaların ekonomik büyümeyi teşvik edip etmediğine dair ampirik veriler sunarak araştırma alanındaki bir boşluğu da doldurmaktadır.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Ekonomik Büyüme
• Yeşil Mali Kurallar
• Çevresel Sürdürülebilirlik
• AB
• Panel ARDL.

Green Fiscal Rules and Economic Growth in Europe: A Panel Data

Abstract

As European economies strive to achieve carbon neutrality by 2050, green fiscal rules have become central to policy debates. The European Union (EU) has integrated environmental considerations into its fiscal governance framework, including green budgeting, sustainable debt rules, and carbon taxation. While these policies aim to balance sustainability with economic growth, their macroeconomic effects remain contested. This study examines how green fiscal rules influence economic growth across European countries, employing Panel data modelling and the Panel ARDL approach to improve causal inference. This research is significant as it investigates the effects of green fiscal policies on economic expansion in Europe, providing policymakers with valuable information. The Panel data approach enhances causal inference, and the Panel ARDL offers valuable information about the long-term impacts, thereby increasing the reliability of the findings. Grasping this connection enables a balance between environmental sustainability and economic stability. This research offers European comparisons, helping other areas develop environmental policy strategies. This initiative also addresses a research void, providing empirical data on whether green fiscal policies stimulate or impede economic expansion.

Keywords

• Economic Growth
• Green Fiscal Rules
• Environmental Sustainability
• EU
• Panel ARDL.

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