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Year 2020, Volume: 26 Issue: 2, 173 - 180, 04.06.2020
https://doi.org/10.15832/ankutbd.460705

Abstract

References

  • Akturk D, Bayramoglu Z, Savran F & Tatlidil F F (2010). The factors affecting milk production and milk production cost: Canakkale case-Biga. Kafkas Universitesi Veterinerlik Fakultesi Dergisi 16 (2): 329-335.
  • Cheng J, Greiner R, Kelly J, Bell D A & Liu W (2002). Learning Bayesian networks from data: an information-theory based approach. Artificial Intelligence 137: 43–90.
  • Chickering D M (2002). Learning equivalence classes of Bayesian-network structures. Journal of Machine Learning Research 2: 445-498.
  • Cooper G & Herskovits E (1991). A Bayesian method for constructing Bayesian belief networks from databases. In: Proceedings of the 7th Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence, 13-15 July, Los Angeles, California, USA, pp. 86-94.
  • de Campos L M & Huete J F (2000). A new approach for learning belief networks using independence criteria. International Journal of Approximate Reasoning 24: 11–37.
  • Heckerman D (1998). A Tutorial on Learning with Bayesian Networks. In: M I Jordan (Eds), Learning in Graphical Models, NATO ASI Series (Series D: Behavioural and Social Sciences), Springer, Dordrecht, pp. 301-354.
  • Inci S, Kaygisiz A, Efe E & Bas S (2007). Milk yield and reproductive traits in Brown Swiss cattle raised at Altinova State Farm. Tarim Bilimleri Dergisi 13(3) 203-212.
  • Iqbal A, Fukuda O, Hiroshi O, Endo K, Arai K & Yamashita K (2016). Japanese dairy cattle productivity analysis using Bayesian network model (BNM). International Journal of Advanced Computer Science and Applications 7(11): 31-37
  • Isci O, Takma C & Akbas Y (2015). Siyah Alaca Sığırlarda 305 günlük süt verimini etkileyen faktörlerin path (İz) analizi ile belirlenmesi. Kafkas Universitesi Veterinerlik Fakultesi Dergisi 21(2): 219-224.
  • Jensen F V (2001). Bayesian Networks and Decision Graphs. Springer –Verlag New York Inc., Secaucus, New Jersey.
  • Kaygisiz A (1997). Production traits of Holstein cows raised at Kahramanmaras State Farm, Tarim Bilimleri Dergisi 3(2): 9-22
  • Marcot B G (2012). Metrics for evaluating performance and uncertainty of Bayesian network models. Ecological Modelling 230: 50-62.
  • Natori K, Uto M, Nishiyama Y, Kawano S & Ueno M (2015). Constraint-based learning Bayesian networks using Bayes factor. In: J Suzuki & M Ueno (Eds), Advanced Methodologies for Bayesian Networks, Springer, Switzerland, pp. 15-31.
  • Pearl J (1991). Probabilistic Reasoning in Intelligent Systems: Networks of Plausible Inference. Morgan Kaufmann, San Mateo, California.
  • Perochon L, Coulon J B & Lescourret F (1996). Modelling lactation curves of dairy cows with emphasis on individual variability. Journal of Animal Science 63, 189-200.
  • Spirtes P, Glymour C & Scheines R (1993). Causation, Prediction and Search. Lecture Notes in Statistics 81, Springer - Verlag, New York.
  • Tahtali Y, Sahin A, Ulutas Z, Sirin E & Abaci S H (2011). Esmer ırkı sığırlarda süt verimi üzerine etkili faktörlerin path analizi ile belirlenmesi. Kafkas Universitesi Veterinerlik Fakultesi Dergisi 17 (5): 859-864.
  • Verma T S & Pearl J (1991). Equivalence and synthesis of causal models, Uncertain Artificial Intelligence 6: 255-268.

Bayesian Network Analysis for the Factors Affecting the 305-day Milk Productivity of Holstein Friesians

Year 2020, Volume: 26 Issue: 2, 173 - 180, 04.06.2020
https://doi.org/10.15832/ankutbd.460705

Abstract

The variables affecting the milk productivity have been discussed in various articles through different methods. A recent study using path analysis shows that three variables significantly affect the 305-day milk yield of Holstein Friesian cows. These variables are parity, first calving year and lactation length. Calving season is another variable which appears to be significant in a different study. The aim of this study is to provide a simultaneous multilateral analysis among the milk yield, these three variables and a new variable calving season. The analysis was realized through a Bayesian network built over the findings of the path analysis. 17,109 records of Holstein Friesian cows calved between 2001-2011 years were analyzed. The estimated Bayesian network showed that younger cows produced more milk. Lactation length and parity do not depend on each other. Cows reached their highest amount of milk yield on their 4thparities. Milk yield is mostly affected by lactation length. Finally, first calving year, parity, lactation length and calving season should be considered as criteria in a selection study to increase the milk yield.

References

  • Akturk D, Bayramoglu Z, Savran F & Tatlidil F F (2010). The factors affecting milk production and milk production cost: Canakkale case-Biga. Kafkas Universitesi Veterinerlik Fakultesi Dergisi 16 (2): 329-335.
  • Cheng J, Greiner R, Kelly J, Bell D A & Liu W (2002). Learning Bayesian networks from data: an information-theory based approach. Artificial Intelligence 137: 43–90.
  • Chickering D M (2002). Learning equivalence classes of Bayesian-network structures. Journal of Machine Learning Research 2: 445-498.
  • Cooper G & Herskovits E (1991). A Bayesian method for constructing Bayesian belief networks from databases. In: Proceedings of the 7th Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence, 13-15 July, Los Angeles, California, USA, pp. 86-94.
  • de Campos L M & Huete J F (2000). A new approach for learning belief networks using independence criteria. International Journal of Approximate Reasoning 24: 11–37.
  • Heckerman D (1998). A Tutorial on Learning with Bayesian Networks. In: M I Jordan (Eds), Learning in Graphical Models, NATO ASI Series (Series D: Behavioural and Social Sciences), Springer, Dordrecht, pp. 301-354.
  • Inci S, Kaygisiz A, Efe E & Bas S (2007). Milk yield and reproductive traits in Brown Swiss cattle raised at Altinova State Farm. Tarim Bilimleri Dergisi 13(3) 203-212.
  • Iqbal A, Fukuda O, Hiroshi O, Endo K, Arai K & Yamashita K (2016). Japanese dairy cattle productivity analysis using Bayesian network model (BNM). International Journal of Advanced Computer Science and Applications 7(11): 31-37
  • Isci O, Takma C & Akbas Y (2015). Siyah Alaca Sığırlarda 305 günlük süt verimini etkileyen faktörlerin path (İz) analizi ile belirlenmesi. Kafkas Universitesi Veterinerlik Fakultesi Dergisi 21(2): 219-224.
  • Jensen F V (2001). Bayesian Networks and Decision Graphs. Springer –Verlag New York Inc., Secaucus, New Jersey.
  • Kaygisiz A (1997). Production traits of Holstein cows raised at Kahramanmaras State Farm, Tarim Bilimleri Dergisi 3(2): 9-22
  • Marcot B G (2012). Metrics for evaluating performance and uncertainty of Bayesian network models. Ecological Modelling 230: 50-62.
  • Natori K, Uto M, Nishiyama Y, Kawano S & Ueno M (2015). Constraint-based learning Bayesian networks using Bayes factor. In: J Suzuki & M Ueno (Eds), Advanced Methodologies for Bayesian Networks, Springer, Switzerland, pp. 15-31.
  • Pearl J (1991). Probabilistic Reasoning in Intelligent Systems: Networks of Plausible Inference. Morgan Kaufmann, San Mateo, California.
  • Perochon L, Coulon J B & Lescourret F (1996). Modelling lactation curves of dairy cows with emphasis on individual variability. Journal of Animal Science 63, 189-200.
  • Spirtes P, Glymour C & Scheines R (1993). Causation, Prediction and Search. Lecture Notes in Statistics 81, Springer - Verlag, New York.
  • Tahtali Y, Sahin A, Ulutas Z, Sirin E & Abaci S H (2011). Esmer ırkı sığırlarda süt verimi üzerine etkili faktörlerin path analizi ile belirlenmesi. Kafkas Universitesi Veterinerlik Fakultesi Dergisi 17 (5): 859-864.
  • Verma T S & Pearl J (1991). Equivalence and synthesis of causal models, Uncertain Artificial Intelligence 6: 255-268.
There are 18 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language English
Subjects Engineering
Journal Section Makaleler
Authors

Volkan Sevinç 0000-0003-4643-443X

Özge Akkuş 0000-0002-3077-0896

Çiğdem Takma 0000-0001-8561-8333

Öznur İşçi Güneri 0000-0003-3677-7121

Publication Date June 4, 2020
Submission Date September 17, 2018
Acceptance Date March 11, 2019
Published in Issue Year 2020 Volume: 26 Issue: 2

Cite

APA Sevinç, V., Akkuş, Ö., Takma, Ç., İşçi Güneri, Ö. (2020). Bayesian Network Analysis for the Factors Affecting the 305-day Milk Productivity of Holstein Friesians. Journal of Agricultural Sciences, 26(2), 173-180. https://doi.org/10.15832/ankutbd.460705

Journal of Agricultural Sciences is published open access journal. All articles are published under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY).