BAĞIMSIZ DEVLETLER TOPLULUĞU ÜLKELERİNDE EKONOMİK BÜYÜMENİN BELİRLEYİCİLERİ

Year 2009, Volume: 23 Issue: 4, 179 - 204, 12.08.2010

Seymur Ağayev Nebiye Yamak

Abstract

Sosyalist bloğunun dağılması ile birlikte ortaya çıkan geçiş
ekonomilerinin büyüme tecrübeleri iktisatçılar için yeni bir araştırma alanı
oluşturmuştur. Yapısal ve ekonomik reformları gerçekleştirmeye çalışan geçiş
ekonomileri aynı zamanda yeni ticari ilişkilerle uluslararası topluma entegre
olmaktadır. Ekonomik liberalleşmenin yanı sıra bu ülkelerde farklı düzeylerde
demokratikleşme çabaları da gözlemlenmektedir. Geçiş ekonomileri
özelliklerine göre farklı gruplara ayrılmaktalar. Bu çalışmanın amacı, 12
Bağımsız Devletler Topluluğu (BDT) üyesi geçiş ekonomisinde büyümenin
belirleyicilerini araştırmaktır. BDT geçiş ekonomilerinin 1995-2006 yıllarına ait
veri seti ve panel veri yöntemleri kullanılarak ekonomik büyümenin
belirleyicileri ortaya konmaya çalışılmıştır. Kullanılan yöntemler kapsamında
bu çalışmada elde edilen sonuçlara göre, 1995-2006 yıllarında BDT geçiş
ekonomilerinde gerçekleştirilen yapısal dönüşüm reformları ve makroekonomik
istikrarın sağlanması ekonomik büyümeyi artırıcı etki etmiştir. Bununla birlikte,
araştırmaya konu olan ülkelerin uluslararası topluma entegrasyonu da büyümeyi
olumlu yönde etkilemiştir. Demokratikleşmenin büyüme üzerindeki etkisi ise
kesin değildir.

Keywords

Geçiş Ekonomileri, Bağımsız Devletler Topluluğu, Ekonomik Büyüme, Yapısal Reformlar, Panel Veri Yöntemleri

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