EŞBÜTÜNLEŞME TEKNİĞİ İLE TÜRKİYE'DE YAKIT TALEBİNİN ANALİZİ

Year 2005, Volume: 19 Issue: 2, 19 - 30, 27.11.2010

Murat Nişancı

Abstract

Bu çalışmada, Türkiye’de yakıt talebinin kısa ve uzun dönem esneklikleri eşbütünleşme ve hata düzeltme metodu ile tahmin edilmiştir. Süper ve kurşunsuz benzin gelir esneklikleri, hem kısa hem de uzun dönemde esnektir. Mazot gelir esnekliği ise her iki dönemde birden küçüktür. Benzin türlerinde, kurşunsuz benzin dışında, ve mazotta fiyat esnekliği her iki dönemde inelastiktir. Hata düzeltme terimi, her bir modelde istatistiki olarak anlamlıdır. Bu da, kısa dönemde meydana gelen dengesizliklerin, modellerdeki değişkenlerin birlikte hareket ile telafi edilerek, uzun dönem dengesinin yeniden kurulduğunu gösterir.

Keywords

Yakıt Talebi, Eşbütünleşme, Hata Düzeltme, Türkiye

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