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FİYAT/KAZANÇ ORANININ HİSSE SENEDİ GETİRİLERİNE ETKİSİ: İMKB 30 ENDEKSİ ÜZERİNE BİR UYGULAMA

Year 2009, Volume: 23 Issue: 1, 181 - 192, 27.11.2010

Abstract

F/K oranının, bir sonraki dönem hisse fiyatına ve getirisine
etkileri üzerine literatürde yapılmış birçok araştırma mevcuttur. Yapılan
araştırmalarda genellikle F/K oranının (kısa dönemde veya uzun dönemde) fiyat
ve getiriyi etkilediği ve kesin olmamakla beraber bir öngörü aracı olarak
kullanılabileceği sonucuna ulaşılmıştır. Bu amaçla yaptığımız bu çalışmada,
2000–2006 yılları ele alınmıştır ve Eview’s 5.0 programı kullanılarak analizler
yapılmıştır. Fiyat/kazanç oranının bir sonraki dönem getirisi ve kapanış fiyatları
üzerindeki etkisini incelediğimiz çalışmamızda fiyat/kazanç oranının bir sonraki
dönem kapanış fiyatlarına etkisi anlamlıdır ve bu etki pozitiftir. Fiyat/kazanç
oranının getiri üzerindeki etkisi de anlamlı çıkmıştır fakat bu etki negatif
yönlüdür.

References

  • Barbee William C., Mukherji Sandip and Raines Gary A., (1996) “ Do Sales- Price and Debt-Equity Explain Stock Returns Better Than Book- Market and Firm Size?”, Financial Analysis, Vol:52, No:2, (March/April), pp:56-60.
  • Basu, S., (1977) “Investment Performance of Common Stocks in Relation to Their Price-Earnings Ratios: A Test of The Efficient Market Hypothesis”, The Journal of Finance, c.32, pp:663–682.
  • Basu, S., (1983) “The Relationship Between Earnings’ Yield Market Value and Return for NYSE Common Stocks: Further Evidence”, Journal of Financial Economics 12, pp:129- 150.
  • Bhargava, Vivek, Malhotra, D.K., (2006) “Do Price-Earnings Ratios Drive Stock Values?”, Journal of Portfolio Management, Fall 2006, pp:86- 92.
  • Cudi Tuncer Gürsoy, (2007) Finansal Yönetim İlkeleri, Doğuş Üniversitesi Yayınları, İstanbul.
  • Gürel Konuralp, (2001) Sermaye Piyasaları, Alfa Yayınları, İstanbul.
  • Harney Matthew and Tower Edward, (2003) “Rational Pessimism: Predicting Equity Returns Using Tobin’s “Q” and Price/Earnings Ratios”, The Journal of Investing (forthcoming), January 2, pp:3–11.
  • John Y. Campbell and Robert J. Shiller, (1998) “Valuation Ratios and the Long- Run Stock Market Outlook”, Journal of Portfolio Management, vol:24, no:2, pp:11–26.
  • Johnson R. Stafford, Fiore C. Lyle ve Zuber Richard, (1989) “The Investment Performance of Common Stocks in Relation to Their Price-Earnings Ratios: An Update of the Basu Study”, The Financial Review, Vol:24, No:3, pp:499–505.
  • Jonathan Lewellan, (2004) “Predicting Returns with Financial Ratios”, Journal of Financial Economics, 74(2), pp:209–235.
  • Kane Alex, Marcus Alan J. and Noh Jeasun, (1996) “The P/E Multiple and Market Volatility”, Financial Analysts Journal, Vol:52, No:4, pp:16– 25.
  • Kürşat Aydoğan ve Alparslan Güney, (1997) “Hisse senedi Fiyatlarının Tahmininde F/K Oranı ve Temettü Verimi”, İMKB Dergisi, Yıl:1, Sayı:1, Erişim:05. 05. 2007
  • http://www.imkb.gov.tr/imkbdergisi/imkbdergisi1.htm#fkoran.
  • Lakonishok Josef, Schleifer Andrei and Vishny Robert W., (1994) “Contrarian Investment, Extrapolation and Risk”, The Journal of Finance, c:49, s:5, pp:1541–1578.
  • Levent Çıtak, (2004) “F/K Oranları ile İMKB 100 Endeksi Arasındaki İlişkiler Üzerine Bir Araştırma”, Journal of Faculty of Business, Vol:5, No:1, s:73–87.
  • Mukherji Sandip, Dhatt S. Manjeet ve Kim H. Yong, (1997) “ A Fundamental Analysis of Korean Stock Returns”, Financial Analysis Journal, May/ June, 53,3; ABI/INFORM Global, pp:75- 80.
  • Oh Keun-Yeob, Kim Bonghan and Kim Honkee, (2006) “An Empirical Study of The Relation Between Stock Price and EPS in Panel Data: Korea Case”, Applied Economics, vol: 38, pp:2361–2368.
  • Pu Shen, (2000), “The P/E Ratio and Stock Market Performance”, Economic Review-Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, Vol:85, No:4, s:23–36.
  • Ruben Trevino and Robertson Fiona, (2002) “P/E Ratios and Stock Market Returns”, Journal of Financial Planning, 15(2), s:76–84.
  • Tseng K.C., (1998) “Low Price, Price-Earnings Ratio, Market Value and Abnormal Stock Returns”, The Financial Review, vol:23, no:3, s:333- 343.
Year 2009, Volume: 23 Issue: 1, 181 - 192, 27.11.2010

Abstract

References

  • Barbee William C., Mukherji Sandip and Raines Gary A., (1996) “ Do Sales- Price and Debt-Equity Explain Stock Returns Better Than Book- Market and Firm Size?”, Financial Analysis, Vol:52, No:2, (March/April), pp:56-60.
  • Basu, S., (1977) “Investment Performance of Common Stocks in Relation to Their Price-Earnings Ratios: A Test of The Efficient Market Hypothesis”, The Journal of Finance, c.32, pp:663–682.
  • Basu, S., (1983) “The Relationship Between Earnings’ Yield Market Value and Return for NYSE Common Stocks: Further Evidence”, Journal of Financial Economics 12, pp:129- 150.
  • Bhargava, Vivek, Malhotra, D.K., (2006) “Do Price-Earnings Ratios Drive Stock Values?”, Journal of Portfolio Management, Fall 2006, pp:86- 92.
  • Cudi Tuncer Gürsoy, (2007) Finansal Yönetim İlkeleri, Doğuş Üniversitesi Yayınları, İstanbul.
  • Gürel Konuralp, (2001) Sermaye Piyasaları, Alfa Yayınları, İstanbul.
  • Harney Matthew and Tower Edward, (2003) “Rational Pessimism: Predicting Equity Returns Using Tobin’s “Q” and Price/Earnings Ratios”, The Journal of Investing (forthcoming), January 2, pp:3–11.
  • John Y. Campbell and Robert J. Shiller, (1998) “Valuation Ratios and the Long- Run Stock Market Outlook”, Journal of Portfolio Management, vol:24, no:2, pp:11–26.
  • Johnson R. Stafford, Fiore C. Lyle ve Zuber Richard, (1989) “The Investment Performance of Common Stocks in Relation to Their Price-Earnings Ratios: An Update of the Basu Study”, The Financial Review, Vol:24, No:3, pp:499–505.
  • Jonathan Lewellan, (2004) “Predicting Returns with Financial Ratios”, Journal of Financial Economics, 74(2), pp:209–235.
  • Kane Alex, Marcus Alan J. and Noh Jeasun, (1996) “The P/E Multiple and Market Volatility”, Financial Analysts Journal, Vol:52, No:4, pp:16– 25.
  • Kürşat Aydoğan ve Alparslan Güney, (1997) “Hisse senedi Fiyatlarının Tahmininde F/K Oranı ve Temettü Verimi”, İMKB Dergisi, Yıl:1, Sayı:1, Erişim:05. 05. 2007
  • http://www.imkb.gov.tr/imkbdergisi/imkbdergisi1.htm#fkoran.
  • Lakonishok Josef, Schleifer Andrei and Vishny Robert W., (1994) “Contrarian Investment, Extrapolation and Risk”, The Journal of Finance, c:49, s:5, pp:1541–1578.
  • Levent Çıtak, (2004) “F/K Oranları ile İMKB 100 Endeksi Arasındaki İlişkiler Üzerine Bir Araştırma”, Journal of Faculty of Business, Vol:5, No:1, s:73–87.
  • Mukherji Sandip, Dhatt S. Manjeet ve Kim H. Yong, (1997) “ A Fundamental Analysis of Korean Stock Returns”, Financial Analysis Journal, May/ June, 53,3; ABI/INFORM Global, pp:75- 80.
  • Oh Keun-Yeob, Kim Bonghan and Kim Honkee, (2006) “An Empirical Study of The Relation Between Stock Price and EPS in Panel Data: Korea Case”, Applied Economics, vol: 38, pp:2361–2368.
  • Pu Shen, (2000), “The P/E Ratio and Stock Market Performance”, Economic Review-Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, Vol:85, No:4, s:23–36.
  • Ruben Trevino and Robertson Fiona, (2002) “P/E Ratios and Stock Market Returns”, Journal of Financial Planning, 15(2), s:76–84.
  • Tseng K.C., (1998) “Low Price, Price-Earnings Ratio, Market Value and Abnormal Stock Returns”, The Financial Review, vol:23, no:3, s:333- 343.
There are 20 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language tr;en
Journal Section Makaleler
Authors

Mukadder Horasan This is me

Publication Date November 27, 2010
Published in Issue Year 2009 Volume: 23 Issue: 1

Cite

APA Horasan, M. (2010). FİYAT/KAZANÇ ORANININ HİSSE SENEDİ GETİRİLERİNE ETKİSİ: İMKB 30 ENDEKSİ ÜZERİNE BİR UYGULAMA. Atatürk Üniversitesi İktisadi Ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi, 23(1), 181-192.

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