Araştırma Makalesi

Foreign Exchange Intervention and Exchange Rate Volatility: Evidence from Turkey

Cilt: 19 Sayı: 2 17 Haziran 2019
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Foreign Exchange Intervention and Exchange Rate Volatility: Evidence from Turkey

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This paper investigates the effects of foreign exchange intervention by the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey on the behavior of exchange rates during the float period starting with 2001 crisis. Even though the bank is apparently quite willing to intervene the foreign exchange market during the float period, the results suggest that intervention policies are completely ineffective. More specifically, the purchases operations do not have any statistically significant impact on the exchange rate returns and volatility while the central bank intervention sales exert an incorrectly signed effect on the levels of exchange rates and tend to raise volatility of exchange rates returns. Hence, the bank should avoid intervening foreign currency markets. Additionally, the tightening monetary policy in the form of rising the short run interest rates is effective for positive exchange rates returns; but not for dampening the volatility.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Kaynakça

  1. Akinci, Ö., Çulha, O. Y., Özlale, Ü., & Şahinbeyoğlu, G. (2006). The effectiveness of foreign exchange interventions under a floating exchange rate regime for the Turkish economy: A post-crisis period analysis. Applied Economics, 38(12), 1371-1388.
  2. Baillie, R.T. & Bollerslev, T. (1989). The message in daily exchange rates: A conditional-variance tale. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 7(3), 297-305.
  3. Baillie, R. T. & Osterberg, W. (1997). Why do central banks intervene? Journal of International Money and Finance, 16(6), 909-19.
  4. Beine, M., Bénassy-Quéré, A., & Lecourt, C. (2002). Central bank intervention and foreign exchange rates: New evidence from FIGARCH estimations. Journal of International Money and Finance, 21(1), 115-144.
  5. Beine, M. & Lecourt C. (2004). Reported and secret interventions in the foreign exchange markets. Finance Research Letters, 1(4), 215-225.
  6. Beine, M. (2014). Conditional covariances and direct central bank interventions in the foreign exchange markets. Journal of Banking & Finance, 28, 1385-1411.
  7. Black, F. (1976). Studies of Stock Price Volatility Changes. Proceedings of the American Statistical Association. Business and Economics Statistics, 177-181.
  8. Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31, 307-32.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil

İngilizce

Konular

-

Bölüm

Araştırma Makalesi

Yayımlanma Tarihi

17 Haziran 2019

Gönderilme Tarihi

19 Mart 2018

Kabul Tarihi

13 Mart 2019

Yayımlandığı Sayı

Yıl 2019 Cilt: 19 Sayı: 2

Kaynak Göster

APA
Tümtürk, O. (2019). Foreign Exchange Intervention and Exchange Rate Volatility: Evidence from Turkey. Anadolu Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 19(2), 49-64. https://doi.org/10.18037/ausbd.566685
AMA
1.Tümtürk O. Foreign Exchange Intervention and Exchange Rate Volatility: Evidence from Turkey. AÜSBD. 2019;19(2):49-64. doi:10.18037/ausbd.566685
Chicago
Tümtürk, Oğuz. 2019. “Foreign Exchange Intervention and Exchange Rate Volatility: Evidence from Turkey”. Anadolu Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi 19 (2): 49-64. https://doi.org/10.18037/ausbd.566685.
EndNote
Tümtürk O (01 Haziran 2019) Foreign Exchange Intervention and Exchange Rate Volatility: Evidence from Turkey. Anadolu Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi 19 2 49–64.
IEEE
[1]O. Tümtürk, “Foreign Exchange Intervention and Exchange Rate Volatility: Evidence from Turkey”, AÜSBD, c. 19, sy 2, ss. 49–64, Haz. 2019, doi: 10.18037/ausbd.566685.
ISNAD
Tümtürk, Oğuz. “Foreign Exchange Intervention and Exchange Rate Volatility: Evidence from Turkey”. Anadolu Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi 19/2 (01 Haziran 2019): 49-64. https://doi.org/10.18037/ausbd.566685.
JAMA
1.Tümtürk O. Foreign Exchange Intervention and Exchange Rate Volatility: Evidence from Turkey. AÜSBD. 2019;19:49–64.
MLA
Tümtürk, Oğuz. “Foreign Exchange Intervention and Exchange Rate Volatility: Evidence from Turkey”. Anadolu Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, c. 19, sy 2, Haziran 2019, ss. 49-64, doi:10.18037/ausbd.566685.
Vancouver
1.Oğuz Tümtürk. Foreign Exchange Intervention and Exchange Rate Volatility: Evidence from Turkey. AÜSBD. 01 Haziran 2019;19(2):49-64. doi:10.18037/ausbd.566685

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