Türkiye’de Kamu İnşaat Harcamalarının Belirleyicileri İle Ekonomik Büyüme Arasındaki İlişki
Yıl 2012,
Cilt: 3 Sayı: 2, 84 - 97, 01.12.2012
Ramazan Kılıç
Erkan Demirbaş
Öz
Bu çalışmanın amacı, kamu kesimi inşaat harcamalarının belirleyicileri ile ekonomik büyüme arasındaki ilişkiyi incelemektir. Çalışmada, kamu inşaat harcamalarının belirleyicileri ile ekonomik büyüme arasındaki ilişki, 1980-2007 dönemine ilişkin Türkiye’ye ait üçer aylık veriler kullanılarak incelenmiştir. Ampirik bulgular, kamu bina dışı inşaat harcamalarının GSYH’ye oranı ile GSYH büyüme oranı arasında uzun dönemli bir ilişki olduğunu ortaya koymaktadır.
Kaynakça
- Alexiou, C. (2009). Government Spending and Economic Growth: Econometric Evidence from the South Eastern Europe, Journal of Economic and Social Research, 11(1), 1-16.
- Altay, O. & Altın,O. (2008). Türkiye’de Kamu Harcamalarının Ekonomik Büyüme ve Yatırımlar Üzerine Etkilerinin Analizi (1980–2005), Ege Akademik Bakış, 8 (1), 267-285, http://eab.ege.edu.tr/pdf/8_1/C8-S1- M15.pdf, (28.06.2011).
- Aschauer, D. A. (1989). Is Public Expenditure Productive?, Journal of Monetary Economics, Vol.23, No.2, North-Holland, 177-200, http://paper. blog.bbiq.jp/Aschauer_1989.pdf, (06.08.2011).
- Aschauer, D. A. (1997). Do States Optimize? Public Capital and Economic Growth, Working Paper, No: 189, http://129.3.20.41/eps/mac/papers/9711/ 9711007.pdf, (20.09.2010).
- Aschauer, D. A. (1998). Public Capital and Economic Growth: Issues of Quantity, Finance, and Efficiency, Working Paper, No: 233, http://129.3.20.41/eps/mac/ papers/9805/9805016.pdf, (21.09.2010).
- Barro, R. J. (1991). Economic Growth in a Cross Section of Countries, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 106 (2), 407-433, http://www.hec.unil.ch/ocadot/ECODEVdocs/barro-robert.pdf, (25.08.2011).
- Bukharı, S, Shah, A. H. A., & Ali, L., ve Saddaqat,M. (2007). Public Investment and Economic Growth in the Three Little Dragons: Evidence from Heterogeneous Dynamic Panel Data, International Journal of Business and Information, 2(1), 57-79, http://www.knowled
- getaiwan.org/ojs/index.php/ijbi/article/viewFile/86/23, (20.03.2011).
- DPT- Devlet Planlama Teşkilatı, (2010). Dokuzuncu Kalkınma Planı, İnşaat, Mühendislik - Mimarlık, Teknik Müşavirlik ve Müteahhitlik Hizmetleri: Özel İhtisas Komisyonu Raporu-2007, Yayın No: 2751, ÖİK: 698, Ankara, http://www.dpt.gov.tr/PortalDesign/PortalControls/WebIcerikGosterim.aspx?Enc=83D5A6FF03C7B4FCD72D9 46E04312EA3, (09.03.2010).
- Drıtsakıs, N. & Antonis,A. (2004). A Causal Relationship Between Government Spending And Economic Development: An Empirical Examination of The Greek Economy, Applied Economics, 36(5), 457-464.
- Düzgün, R. (2007). Kamu Harcamalarının Özel Sektör Yatırımları Üzerindeki Dinamik Etkileri, Yayınlanmamış Doktora Tezi, Erciyes Üniversitesi, Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü, İktisat Anabilim Dalı, Kayseri.
- Gujaratı, D. N. (2005). Temel Ekonometri, (Çev. Ümit Şenesen ve Gülay Günlük Şenesen). Literatür Yayıncılık, 3. Baskı, The McGraw-Hill Companies, İstanbul.
- Hızarcı, B. (2007). Kamu Harcamaları ve Ekonomik Büyüme İlişkisinin Wagner Kanunu İle Analizi: Türkiye Örneği, Yayınlanmamış Yüksek Lisans Tezi, Zonguldak Karaelmas Üniversitesi, Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü, İktisat Anabilim Dalı, Zonguldak.
- Khan, R. A. (2008). Role of Construction Sector in Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence from Pakistan Economy, First International Conference on Construction In Developing Countries (ICCIDC–I), Advancing and Integrating Construction Education, Research & Practice, Karachi, Pakistan, 279-290, http://www.neduet.edu.pk/ICCIDC-I/Conference%20P roceedings/ Papers/030.pdf, (10.10.2010).
- Lachler U. & Aschauer,D.A. (1998). Public Investment and Economic Growth in Mexico, Policy Research Working Paper 1964, The World Bank Mexico Country Department, http://www-wds.worldbank.org /servlet/WDSContentServer/WDSP/IB/1998/11/17/000009265_3981005112610/Rendered/PDF/multi0page.pdf, (15.06.2011).
- Lopes, Jorge, Ruddock L. & Ribeiro F. L. (2002). Investment İn Construction and Economic Growth in Developing Countries, Building Research & Information, 30(3), 152–159.
- Mallick, H. ve Mahalık M. K. (2010). Constructing the Economy: The Role of Construction Sector in India’s Growth, Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, 40(3), 368–384.
- Milbourne, R., Otto, G. D. & Voss,G. (2003). Public Investment and Economic Growth, Applied Economics, 35, 527-540.
- Ramirez, M. D. (2004). Is Public İnfrastructure Spending Productive in The Mexican Case? A Vector Error Correction Analysis, The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, 13(2), 159-178.
- Ramirez, M. D. & Nazmi,N. (2003). Public Investment and Economic Growth in Latin America: an Empirical Test, Review of Development Economics, Oxford, 7(1), 115-126.
- Valadkhani, A.(1998). Effect of Government Capital Expenditure on GDP in The Iranian Economy Using Superexogeneity Testing, Applied Economics Letters, 5(6), 361- 364, http://www.uow.edu.au/~abbas/p5.pdf, (08.06.2011).
- Wibowo, Ir. .M. A. (2009). The Contribution of the Construction Industry To The Economy Of Indonesia: A Systemic Approach, http://eprints. undip.ac.id/387/1/Agung_Wibowo.pdf, (10.10.2010).
Yıl 2012,
Cilt: 3 Sayı: 2, 84 - 97, 01.12.2012
Ramazan Kılıç
Erkan Demirbaş
Kaynakça
- Alexiou, C. (2009). Government Spending and Economic Growth: Econometric Evidence from the South Eastern Europe, Journal of Economic and Social Research, 11(1), 1-16.
- Altay, O. & Altın,O. (2008). Türkiye’de Kamu Harcamalarının Ekonomik Büyüme ve Yatırımlar Üzerine Etkilerinin Analizi (1980–2005), Ege Akademik Bakış, 8 (1), 267-285, http://eab.ege.edu.tr/pdf/8_1/C8-S1- M15.pdf, (28.06.2011).
- Aschauer, D. A. (1989). Is Public Expenditure Productive?, Journal of Monetary Economics, Vol.23, No.2, North-Holland, 177-200, http://paper. blog.bbiq.jp/Aschauer_1989.pdf, (06.08.2011).
- Aschauer, D. A. (1997). Do States Optimize? Public Capital and Economic Growth, Working Paper, No: 189, http://129.3.20.41/eps/mac/papers/9711/ 9711007.pdf, (20.09.2010).
- Aschauer, D. A. (1998). Public Capital and Economic Growth: Issues of Quantity, Finance, and Efficiency, Working Paper, No: 233, http://129.3.20.41/eps/mac/ papers/9805/9805016.pdf, (21.09.2010).
- Barro, R. J. (1991). Economic Growth in a Cross Section of Countries, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 106 (2), 407-433, http://www.hec.unil.ch/ocadot/ECODEVdocs/barro-robert.pdf, (25.08.2011).
- Bukharı, S, Shah, A. H. A., & Ali, L., ve Saddaqat,M. (2007). Public Investment and Economic Growth in the Three Little Dragons: Evidence from Heterogeneous Dynamic Panel Data, International Journal of Business and Information, 2(1), 57-79, http://www.knowled
- getaiwan.org/ojs/index.php/ijbi/article/viewFile/86/23, (20.03.2011).
- DPT- Devlet Planlama Teşkilatı, (2010). Dokuzuncu Kalkınma Planı, İnşaat, Mühendislik - Mimarlık, Teknik Müşavirlik ve Müteahhitlik Hizmetleri: Özel İhtisas Komisyonu Raporu-2007, Yayın No: 2751, ÖİK: 698, Ankara, http://www.dpt.gov.tr/PortalDesign/PortalControls/WebIcerikGosterim.aspx?Enc=83D5A6FF03C7B4FCD72D9 46E04312EA3, (09.03.2010).
- Drıtsakıs, N. & Antonis,A. (2004). A Causal Relationship Between Government Spending And Economic Development: An Empirical Examination of The Greek Economy, Applied Economics, 36(5), 457-464.
- Düzgün, R. (2007). Kamu Harcamalarının Özel Sektör Yatırımları Üzerindeki Dinamik Etkileri, Yayınlanmamış Doktora Tezi, Erciyes Üniversitesi, Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü, İktisat Anabilim Dalı, Kayseri.
- Gujaratı, D. N. (2005). Temel Ekonometri, (Çev. Ümit Şenesen ve Gülay Günlük Şenesen). Literatür Yayıncılık, 3. Baskı, The McGraw-Hill Companies, İstanbul.
- Hızarcı, B. (2007). Kamu Harcamaları ve Ekonomik Büyüme İlişkisinin Wagner Kanunu İle Analizi: Türkiye Örneği, Yayınlanmamış Yüksek Lisans Tezi, Zonguldak Karaelmas Üniversitesi, Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü, İktisat Anabilim Dalı, Zonguldak.
- Khan, R. A. (2008). Role of Construction Sector in Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence from Pakistan Economy, First International Conference on Construction In Developing Countries (ICCIDC–I), Advancing and Integrating Construction Education, Research & Practice, Karachi, Pakistan, 279-290, http://www.neduet.edu.pk/ICCIDC-I/Conference%20P roceedings/ Papers/030.pdf, (10.10.2010).
- Lachler U. & Aschauer,D.A. (1998). Public Investment and Economic Growth in Mexico, Policy Research Working Paper 1964, The World Bank Mexico Country Department, http://www-wds.worldbank.org /servlet/WDSContentServer/WDSP/IB/1998/11/17/000009265_3981005112610/Rendered/PDF/multi0page.pdf, (15.06.2011).
- Lopes, Jorge, Ruddock L. & Ribeiro F. L. (2002). Investment İn Construction and Economic Growth in Developing Countries, Building Research & Information, 30(3), 152–159.
- Mallick, H. ve Mahalık M. K. (2010). Constructing the Economy: The Role of Construction Sector in India’s Growth, Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, 40(3), 368–384.
- Milbourne, R., Otto, G. D. & Voss,G. (2003). Public Investment and Economic Growth, Applied Economics, 35, 527-540.
- Ramirez, M. D. (2004). Is Public İnfrastructure Spending Productive in The Mexican Case? A Vector Error Correction Analysis, The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, 13(2), 159-178.
- Ramirez, M. D. & Nazmi,N. (2003). Public Investment and Economic Growth in Latin America: an Empirical Test, Review of Development Economics, Oxford, 7(1), 115-126.
- Valadkhani, A.(1998). Effect of Government Capital Expenditure on GDP in The Iranian Economy Using Superexogeneity Testing, Applied Economics Letters, 5(6), 361- 364, http://www.uow.edu.au/~abbas/p5.pdf, (08.06.2011).
- Wibowo, Ir. .M. A. (2009). The Contribution of the Construction Industry To The Economy Of Indonesia: A Systemic Approach, http://eprints. undip.ac.id/387/1/Agung_Wibowo.pdf, (10.10.2010).