Negative Interest Rate Policy Experience of Central Banks in Advanced Country after the Global Crisis: An Evaluation
Year 2018,
, 289 - 312, 15.12.2018
Meryem Filiz Baştürk
,
Emin Ertürk
Abstract
Short-term interest rates used as conventional policy
tools were lowered to near zero by developed country’s central banks following
the financial crisis of 2008. As a result, the possibility of using short-term
interest rates as a policy tool disappeared. This situation gave central banks
of developed countries more opportunity to adopt unconventional policy tools,
and it can be observed that negative interest rate policy was finally included
into this policy set. The purpose of negative interest rate policy is to
increase the resources that will be used by the private sector by decreasing
excessive reserves kept at central banks, thereby contributing to economic
recovery. This paper deals with negative interest rate policy as a tool of
unconventional monetary policy that central banks of some developed countries
have adopted. In this way experiences of central banks which carry on negative
interest rate policy were evaluated. Although it is hard to outline a definite
judgement about this policy’s consequences considering the short period of time
in practice it is important to appreciate unconventional and partly prevalent
implementations in the sight of current monetary policy contest.
References
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Anderson, R. ve Liu, Y. (2013). How Low Can You Go? Negative Interest Rates and Investors Flight to Safety, The Regional Economist, January 2013, 12-13.
Angrick S. ve Nemoto, N. (2017). Central Banking below Zero: The Implementation of Negative Interest Rates in Europe and Japan, ADBI Working Paper Series, No. 740, Asian Development Bank Institute. 10 Ekim 2017 tarihinde, https://www.adb.org/sites/default/files/publication/317926/adbi-wp740.pdf adresinden erişildi.
Arteta, C., Kose, A., Stocker M. ve Taskin,T. (2016). Negative Interest Rate Policies Sources and Implications, Policy Research Working Paper, WPS7791, World Bank Group. 20 Eylül 2016 tarihinde http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/235551470834953672/pdf/WPS7791.pdf adresinden erişildi.
Ball, L., Gagnon, J., Honohan, P. ve Krogstrup, S. (2016). What Else can Central Banks Do?, International Cente for Monetary and Banking Studies (ICMB), Geneva Reports on World Economy, 18. 9 Şubat 2017 tarihinde https://cepr.org/sites/default/files/geneva_reports/GenevaP285.pdf adresinden erişildi.
Bech, M. ve Malkhozov, A. (2016). How have Central Banks Implemented Negative Policy Rates?, BIS Quarterly Review, March. 29 Mart 2016 tarihinde https://www.bis.org/publ/qtrpdf/r_qt1603e.pdf adresinden erişildi.
Blanke, J. ve Krogstrup, S. (2016). Negative Interest Rates: Absolutely Everything You Need to Know, World Economic Forum. 5 Ocak 2017 tarihinde https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2016/11/negative-interest-rates-absolutely-everything-you-need-to-know/ adresinden erişildi.
Blitzer, D. (2016). Weighing the Pluses and Minuses on Negative Interest Rates: The Scales aren’t Balanced, Negative Interest Rates, S&P Global. 2 Şubat 2017 tarihinde http://media.spglobal.com/documents/SPG_Article_2016-08-17_Negative+Interest+Rates.pdf adresinden erişildi.
Blomquist, N., Dam A. ve Spange M.(2011). Monetary-Policy Strategies at the Zero Lower Bound on Interest Rates, Monetary Review, 4th Quarter, 83-98.
Borio, C. ve Zabai, A. (2016). Unconventional Monetary Policies: a Re-Appraisal, BIS Working Papers, No. 570. 1 Ocak 2017 tarihinde https://www.bis.org/publ/work570.pdf adresinden erişildi.
Carney, M. (2013). Monetary Policy after the Fall, Eric J. Hanson Memorial Lecture, University of Alberta, Edmonton, Alberta. 12.05.2016 tarihinde https://www.bankofcanada.ca/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/remarks-010513.pdf adresinden erişildi.
Coeuré, B. (2016). Assessing the Implications of Negative Interest Rates, Speech at the Yale Financial Crisis Forum, Yale School of Management, New Haven. 15.01.2017 tarihinde https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/key/date/2016/html/sp160728.en.html adresinden erişildi.
Coeuré, B. (2014). Life below Zero: Learning about Negative Interest Rates, Speech at the ECB’s Money Market Contact Group. 15.03.2015 tarihinde https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/key/date/2014/html/sp140909.en.html adresinden erişildi.
Danske Bank (2014). Implications of Negative Rates: The Danish Experiences. 25 Şubat 2016 tarihinde http://danskeresearch.danskebank.com/link/ResearchECB4230514/$file/Research_ECB_4_230514.pdf erişildi.
ECB (2016). What is the Deposit Facility Rate?. 10 Şubat 2017 tarihinde https://www.ecb.europa.eu/explainers/tell-me/html/what-is-the-deposit-facility-rate.en.html adresinden erişildi.
Egert, B. ve MacDonald, R. (2009). Monetary Transmission Mechanism in Central and Eastern Europe: Surveying the Surveyable, Journal of Economic Surveys, 23 (2), 277-327.
Fischer, S. (2016). Monetary Policy, Financial Stability and the Zero Lower Bound, American Economic Review, 106 (5), 39-42.
Global Economic Prospects (2015). Negative Interest Rates in Europe: A Galance at their Causes and Implications, June. 26 Nisan 2016 tarihinde http://www.worldbank.org/content/dam/Worldbank/GEP/GEP2015b/Global-Economic-Prospects-June-2015-Negative-interest-rates.pdf adresinden erişildi.
Hannoun, H. (2015). Ultra-low or Negative Interest Rates: What they Mean for Financial Stability and Growth, Speech at the Eurofi High-Level Seminar, Riga. 14 Şubat 2016 tarihinde https://www.bis.org/speeches/sp150424.pdf adresinden erişildi.
Hüttl, P. (2014). Negative Deposit Rates: The Danish Experience. 12 Temmuz 2016 tarihinde http://bruegel.org/2014/06/negative-deposit-rates-the-danish-experience/ adresinden erişildi.
Ilgmann, C. ve Menner, M. (2011). Negative Nominal Interest Rates: History and Current Proposals, CAWM Discussion Paper, No. 43, 1-43.
IMF (2017). Negative Interest Rate Policies – Initial Experiences and Assessments IMF Policy Papers, 1 Kasım 2018 tarihinde http://www.imf.org/external/pp/ppindex.aspx adresinden erişildi.
Jackson, H. (2015). The International Experience with Negative Policy Rates, Staff Discussion Paper, Bank of Canada 2015-13. 13 Nisan 2016 tarihinde https://www.banqueducanada.ca/wp-content/uploads/2015/11/dp2015-13.pdf adresinden erişildi.
Jensen, C. M. ve Spange, M. (2015). Interest Rate pass-through and the Demand for Cash at Negative Interest Rates, Monetary Review, 2nd Quarter, Danmarks Nationalbank.
Jobst, A. ve Lin, H. (2016). Negative Interest Rate Policy (NIRP): Implications for Monetary Transmission and Bank Profitability in the Euro Area, IMF Working Paper, WP/16/172. 10 Ocak 2017 tarihinde https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/wp/2016/wp16172.pdf adresinden erişildi.
Kashama, K. M. (2014). The How and Why of a Negative Interest Rate for the Deposit Facility, NBB Economic Review, September, 99-107.
Köhler-Ulbrich, P., Hempell, H.S., ve Scopel, S. (2016). The Euro Area Bank Lending Survey, Occasional Paper Series, No. 179, ECB.
Loayza, N. ve Hebbel, K.S. (2002). Monetary Policy Functions and Transmission Mechanisms: An Overview, Monetary Policy: Rules and Transmission Mechanisms, içinde edition 1, 4, chapter 1, pages 001-020 Central Bank of Chile.
Madaschi, C. ve Irene, P.N. (2017). The Profitability of Banks in a Context of Negative Monetary Policy Rates: The Cases of Sweden and Denmark, ECB Occasional Paper, No. 195, European Central Bank (ECB), 8 Kasım 2018 tarihinde https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/scpops/ecb.op195.en.pdf?804a60196e55da951eb82a662ac0642c adresinden erişildi.
Mankiw, G. N. (2009). It may be Time for the Fed to go Negative, New York Times, April 19, 2009.
McAndrews, J. (2015). Negative Nominal Central Bank Policy Rates: Where is the Lower Bound?, BIS central bankers’ speeches. 30 Mart 2016 tarihinde https://www.bis.org/review/r150512a.htm adresinden erişildi.
Mishkin, F. S. (2014). Central Banking after the Crisis, Macroeconomic and Financial Stability: challenges for Monetary Policy, 19:23-59. 12 Ocak 2015 tarihinde http://www.bcentral.cl/-/volumen-19-macroeconomic-and-financial-stability-challenges-for-monetary-poli-3 adresinden erişildi.
Mishkin F. S. (2004). The Economics of Money Banking and Financial Markets, Seventh Edition, Addison Wesley.
Palombi, R. (2016). Negative Interest Rates: The List Grows, the Effectiveness Questioned but Part of the Landscape for Now, Negative Interest Rates, S&P Global. 11 Şubat 2017 tarihinde http://media.spglobal.com/documents/SPG_Article_2016-08-17_Negative+Interest+Rates.pdf adresinden erişildi.
Palmqvist, S. (2007). Flexible Inflation Targeting– How should Central Banks Take the Real Economy into Consideration?, Economic Review, 2, 61-74.
Reichlin, L. ve Baldwin, R. (2013). "Introduction", Is Inflation Targeting Dead? Central Banking after the Crisis, (eds.Reichlin, Lucrezia ve Baldwin, Richard), London: Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR), 10-30.
Rose, A.K. (2007). A Stable International Monetary System Emerges: Inflation Targeting is Bretton Woods, Reversed, Journal of International Money and Finance, 26, 663-681.
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Schweizerische Nationalbank (2015). Swiss national bank discontinues minimum exchange rate and lowers interest rate to -0.75%. Schweizerische Nationalbank Press Release. 24 Ocak 2017 tarihinde https://www.snb.ch/en/mmr/reference/pre_20150115/source/pre_20150115.en.pdf adresinden erişildi.
Schweizerische Nationalbank (2014). Swiss national bank introduces negative interest rates. Schweizerische Nationalbank Press Release, 18.12.2014. 24 Ocak 2017 tarihinde https://www.snb.ch/en/mmr/reference/pre_20141218/source/pre_20141218.en.pdf adresinden erişildi.
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KÜRESEL KRİZ SONRASI GELİŞMİŞ ÜLKE MERKEZ BANKALARININ NEGATİF FAİZ ORANI POLİTİKASI UYGULAMALARI: BİR DEĞERLENDİRME
Year 2018,
, 289 - 312, 15.12.2018
Meryem Filiz Baştürk
,
Emin Ertürk
Abstract
2008
Finansal krizinin ardından geleneksel politika aracı olarak kullanılan kısa
vadeli faiz oranları gelişmiş ülke merkez bankaları tarafından sıfıra yakın
düzeye indirilmiştir. Böylece kısa vadeli faiz oranının bir politika aracı
olarak uygulanma imkânı ortadan kalkmıştır. Bu durum, gelişmiş ülke merkez
bankaları arasında geleneksel olmayan para politikalarının uygulama alanını
genişletmiştir ve bu politika setine son olarak negatif faiz politikasının da
eklendiği gözlemlenmektedir. Negatif faiz politikasının amacı, merkez
bankalarında tutulan aşırı rezervleri azaltarak özel sektöre kullandırılacak
olan kaynakları arttırmak ve böylece ekonomik canlanmaya katkı sağlamaktır. Çalışmada
sıra dışı bir para politikası aracı olan negatif faiz oranı politikası
incelenmiştir. Bu doğrultuda negatif faiz oranı politikasını uygulayan merkez
bankalarının deneyimlerine yer verilmiştir. Politikanın uygulanma süresi
dikkate alındığında sonuçlarına dair kesin bir değerlendirme yapmak mümkün
değildir. Ancak geleneksel olmayan ve kısmen yaygınlaşan uygulamaların etkileri
para politikasına ilişkin güncel tartışmaları kavrayabilme açısından önem
taşımaktadır.
References
- Agarwal, R. ve Kimball M. (2016). Enabling Deeper Negative Rates by Managing the Side Effects of a Zero Paper Currency Interest Rate, Negative Interest Rate Conference, Hutchins Center at Brookings.
Amano, R. ve Shukayev, M. (2010). Monetary Policy and the Zero Bound on Nominal Interest Rates, Bank of Canada Review, Summer, 3-10.
Anderson, R. ve Liu, Y. (2013). How Low Can You Go? Negative Interest Rates and Investors Flight to Safety, The Regional Economist, January 2013, 12-13.
Angrick S. ve Nemoto, N. (2017). Central Banking below Zero: The Implementation of Negative Interest Rates in Europe and Japan, ADBI Working Paper Series, No. 740, Asian Development Bank Institute. 10 Ekim 2017 tarihinde, https://www.adb.org/sites/default/files/publication/317926/adbi-wp740.pdf adresinden erişildi.
Arteta, C., Kose, A., Stocker M. ve Taskin,T. (2016). Negative Interest Rate Policies Sources and Implications, Policy Research Working Paper, WPS7791, World Bank Group. 20 Eylül 2016 tarihinde http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/235551470834953672/pdf/WPS7791.pdf adresinden erişildi.
Ball, L., Gagnon, J., Honohan, P. ve Krogstrup, S. (2016). What Else can Central Banks Do?, International Cente for Monetary and Banking Studies (ICMB), Geneva Reports on World Economy, 18. 9 Şubat 2017 tarihinde https://cepr.org/sites/default/files/geneva_reports/GenevaP285.pdf adresinden erişildi.
Bech, M. ve Malkhozov, A. (2016). How have Central Banks Implemented Negative Policy Rates?, BIS Quarterly Review, March. 29 Mart 2016 tarihinde https://www.bis.org/publ/qtrpdf/r_qt1603e.pdf adresinden erişildi.
Blanke, J. ve Krogstrup, S. (2016). Negative Interest Rates: Absolutely Everything You Need to Know, World Economic Forum. 5 Ocak 2017 tarihinde https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2016/11/negative-interest-rates-absolutely-everything-you-need-to-know/ adresinden erişildi.
Blitzer, D. (2016). Weighing the Pluses and Minuses on Negative Interest Rates: The Scales aren’t Balanced, Negative Interest Rates, S&P Global. 2 Şubat 2017 tarihinde http://media.spglobal.com/documents/SPG_Article_2016-08-17_Negative+Interest+Rates.pdf adresinden erişildi.
Blomquist, N., Dam A. ve Spange M.(2011). Monetary-Policy Strategies at the Zero Lower Bound on Interest Rates, Monetary Review, 4th Quarter, 83-98.
Borio, C. ve Zabai, A. (2016). Unconventional Monetary Policies: a Re-Appraisal, BIS Working Papers, No. 570. 1 Ocak 2017 tarihinde https://www.bis.org/publ/work570.pdf adresinden erişildi.
Carney, M. (2013). Monetary Policy after the Fall, Eric J. Hanson Memorial Lecture, University of Alberta, Edmonton, Alberta. 12.05.2016 tarihinde https://www.bankofcanada.ca/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/remarks-010513.pdf adresinden erişildi.
Coeuré, B. (2016). Assessing the Implications of Negative Interest Rates, Speech at the Yale Financial Crisis Forum, Yale School of Management, New Haven. 15.01.2017 tarihinde https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/key/date/2016/html/sp160728.en.html adresinden erişildi.
Coeuré, B. (2014). Life below Zero: Learning about Negative Interest Rates, Speech at the ECB’s Money Market Contact Group. 15.03.2015 tarihinde https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/key/date/2014/html/sp140909.en.html adresinden erişildi.
Danske Bank (2014). Implications of Negative Rates: The Danish Experiences. 25 Şubat 2016 tarihinde http://danskeresearch.danskebank.com/link/ResearchECB4230514/$file/Research_ECB_4_230514.pdf erişildi.
ECB (2016). What is the Deposit Facility Rate?. 10 Şubat 2017 tarihinde https://www.ecb.europa.eu/explainers/tell-me/html/what-is-the-deposit-facility-rate.en.html adresinden erişildi.
Egert, B. ve MacDonald, R. (2009). Monetary Transmission Mechanism in Central and Eastern Europe: Surveying the Surveyable, Journal of Economic Surveys, 23 (2), 277-327.
Fischer, S. (2016). Monetary Policy, Financial Stability and the Zero Lower Bound, American Economic Review, 106 (5), 39-42.
Global Economic Prospects (2015). Negative Interest Rates in Europe: A Galance at their Causes and Implications, June. 26 Nisan 2016 tarihinde http://www.worldbank.org/content/dam/Worldbank/GEP/GEP2015b/Global-Economic-Prospects-June-2015-Negative-interest-rates.pdf adresinden erişildi.
Hannoun, H. (2015). Ultra-low or Negative Interest Rates: What they Mean for Financial Stability and Growth, Speech at the Eurofi High-Level Seminar, Riga. 14 Şubat 2016 tarihinde https://www.bis.org/speeches/sp150424.pdf adresinden erişildi.
Hüttl, P. (2014). Negative Deposit Rates: The Danish Experience. 12 Temmuz 2016 tarihinde http://bruegel.org/2014/06/negative-deposit-rates-the-danish-experience/ adresinden erişildi.
Ilgmann, C. ve Menner, M. (2011). Negative Nominal Interest Rates: History and Current Proposals, CAWM Discussion Paper, No. 43, 1-43.
IMF (2017). Negative Interest Rate Policies – Initial Experiences and Assessments IMF Policy Papers, 1 Kasım 2018 tarihinde http://www.imf.org/external/pp/ppindex.aspx adresinden erişildi.
Jackson, H. (2015). The International Experience with Negative Policy Rates, Staff Discussion Paper, Bank of Canada 2015-13. 13 Nisan 2016 tarihinde https://www.banqueducanada.ca/wp-content/uploads/2015/11/dp2015-13.pdf adresinden erişildi.
Jensen, C. M. ve Spange, M. (2015). Interest Rate pass-through and the Demand for Cash at Negative Interest Rates, Monetary Review, 2nd Quarter, Danmarks Nationalbank.
Jobst, A. ve Lin, H. (2016). Negative Interest Rate Policy (NIRP): Implications for Monetary Transmission and Bank Profitability in the Euro Area, IMF Working Paper, WP/16/172. 10 Ocak 2017 tarihinde https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/wp/2016/wp16172.pdf adresinden erişildi.
Kashama, K. M. (2014). The How and Why of a Negative Interest Rate for the Deposit Facility, NBB Economic Review, September, 99-107.
Köhler-Ulbrich, P., Hempell, H.S., ve Scopel, S. (2016). The Euro Area Bank Lending Survey, Occasional Paper Series, No. 179, ECB.
Loayza, N. ve Hebbel, K.S. (2002). Monetary Policy Functions and Transmission Mechanisms: An Overview, Monetary Policy: Rules and Transmission Mechanisms, içinde edition 1, 4, chapter 1, pages 001-020 Central Bank of Chile.
Madaschi, C. ve Irene, P.N. (2017). The Profitability of Banks in a Context of Negative Monetary Policy Rates: The Cases of Sweden and Denmark, ECB Occasional Paper, No. 195, European Central Bank (ECB), 8 Kasım 2018 tarihinde https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/scpops/ecb.op195.en.pdf?804a60196e55da951eb82a662ac0642c adresinden erişildi.
Mankiw, G. N. (2009). It may be Time for the Fed to go Negative, New York Times, April 19, 2009.
McAndrews, J. (2015). Negative Nominal Central Bank Policy Rates: Where is the Lower Bound?, BIS central bankers’ speeches. 30 Mart 2016 tarihinde https://www.bis.org/review/r150512a.htm adresinden erişildi.
Mishkin, F. S. (2014). Central Banking after the Crisis, Macroeconomic and Financial Stability: challenges for Monetary Policy, 19:23-59. 12 Ocak 2015 tarihinde http://www.bcentral.cl/-/volumen-19-macroeconomic-and-financial-stability-challenges-for-monetary-poli-3 adresinden erişildi.
Mishkin F. S. (2004). The Economics of Money Banking and Financial Markets, Seventh Edition, Addison Wesley.
Palombi, R. (2016). Negative Interest Rates: The List Grows, the Effectiveness Questioned but Part of the Landscape for Now, Negative Interest Rates, S&P Global. 11 Şubat 2017 tarihinde http://media.spglobal.com/documents/SPG_Article_2016-08-17_Negative+Interest+Rates.pdf adresinden erişildi.
Palmqvist, S. (2007). Flexible Inflation Targeting– How should Central Banks Take the Real Economy into Consideration?, Economic Review, 2, 61-74.
Reichlin, L. ve Baldwin, R. (2013). "Introduction", Is Inflation Targeting Dead? Central Banking after the Crisis, (eds.Reichlin, Lucrezia ve Baldwin, Richard), London: Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR), 10-30.
Rose, A.K. (2007). A Stable International Monetary System Emerges: Inflation Targeting is Bretton Woods, Reversed, Journal of International Money and Finance, 26, 663-681.
Schweizerische Nationalbank (2016). Monetary policy assessment of 15 December 2016. Schweizerische Nationalbank Press Release. 24 Ocak 2017 tarihinde https://www.snb.ch/en/mmr/reference/pre_20161215/source/pre_20161215.en.pdf adresinden erişildi.
Schweizerische Nationalbank (2015). Swiss national bank discontinues minimum exchange rate and lowers interest rate to -0.75%. Schweizerische Nationalbank Press Release. 24 Ocak 2017 tarihinde https://www.snb.ch/en/mmr/reference/pre_20150115/source/pre_20150115.en.pdf adresinden erişildi.
Schweizerische Nationalbank (2014). Swiss national bank introduces negative interest rates. Schweizerische Nationalbank Press Release, 18.12.2014. 24 Ocak 2017 tarihinde https://www.snb.ch/en/mmr/reference/pre_20141218/source/pre_20141218.en.pdf adresinden erişildi.
Shin, S. H. (2016). Bank Capital and Monetary Policy Transmission, Panel remarks at The ECB and its Watchers XVII conference, Bank for International Settlements. 11 Ocak 2017 tarihinde https://www.bis.org/speeches/sp160407.pdf adresinden erişildi.
Söderström, U. ve Westermark, A. (2009). Monetary Policy When the Interest Rate is Zero, Sveriges Riksbank Economic Review, 2: 5-30.
Svensson, L. (2009a). Flexible Inflation Targeting – Lessons from the Financial Crisis, at the workshop “Towards a new framework for monetary policy? Lessons from the crisis”, organized by the Netherlands Bank. 12 Şubat 2015 tarihinde https://www.bis.org/review/r090923d.pdf adresinden erişildi.
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