Research Article
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Effect of Removing Lunch Break on Intraday Return, Volatility and Trading Volume in Debt Securities Market

Year 2020, , 937 - 958, 31.12.2020
https://doi.org/10.31795/baunsobed.748465

Abstract

In this study, the effect of removing lunch break on August 1, 2019 in Borsa Istanbul Debt Securities Market, on intraday return, volatility and trading volume of government debt securities and intraday pattern in this market are analysed. To this end, for 15-minute intervals data of return, volatility and trading volume of 45 same day settlement government debt securities are used for the time period of May 02, 2019- October 31, 2019, which covers 3 months before and after of the removal. After the analyses, it was revealed that intraday volatility and average trading volume do form reverse J-shaped and L-shaped respectively. The removal of lunch break decreases intraday returns, increases average trade volume and reduces volatility. Although the change in the microstructure of the market improves the price discovery efficiency of underlying securities, the improvement is limited to opening transactions as compared to midday and closing time.

References

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  • Andersen, T. G., & Bollerslev, T. (1997). Intraday periodicity and volatility persistence in financial markets. Journal of Empirical Finance, 4(2), 115-158. doi:10.1016/S0927-5398(97)00004-2
  • Andersen, T. G., Bollerslev, T., & Cai, J. (2000). Intraday and interday volatility in the japanese stock market. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 10(2), 107-130. doi:10.1016/S1042-4431(99)00029-3
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  • Comerton-Forde, C., & Rydge, J. (2006). The influence of call auction algorithm rules on market efficiency. Journal of Financial Markets, 9(2), 199-222. doi:10.1016/j.finmar.2006.02.001
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  • Hillion, P., & Suominen, M. (2004). The manipulation of closing prices. Journal of Financial Markets, 7(4), 351–375. doi:10.1016/j.finmar.2004.04.002
  • Houston, J. F., & Ryngaert, M. D. (1992). The links between trading time and market volatility. Journal of Financial Research, 15(2), 91-100. doi:10.1111/j.1475-6803.1992.tb00790.x
  • Huang, Y. C., & Chan, S. H. (2014). The trading behavior of attention securities with different closing mechanisms: Evidence from taiwan. Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies, 17(04), 1-16. doi:10.1142/S021909151450026X
  • Huang, Y. C., & Tsai, P. L. (2014). Effectiveness of closing call auctions: Evidence from the taiwan stock exchange. Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 44(3), 5-20. doi:10.2753/ree1540-496x440301
  • Hughes, M. P., Smith, S. D., & Winters, D. B. (2007). An empirical examination of intraday volatility in on-the-run u.S. Treasury bills. Journal of Economics and Business, 59(6), 487-499. doi:10.1016/j.jeconbus.2006.10.001
  • Ibikunle, G. (2015). Opening and closing price efficiency: Do financial markets need the call auction? Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 34, 208-227. doi:10.1016/j.intfin.2014.11.014
  • Inci, A. C., & Ozenbas, D. (2017). Intraday volatility and the implementation of a closing call auction at borsa istanbul. Emerging Markets Review, 33, 79-89. doi:10.1016/j.ememar.2017.09.002
  • Jain, P. C., & Joh, G.-H. (1988). The dependence between hourly prices and trading volume. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 23(3), 269-283.
  • Kadioglu, E., & Küçükkocaoğlu, G. (2015). Borsa İstanbul’da güniçi getiri ve volatilite yapısı ile tek fiyatlı açılış ve kapanış seanslarının etkisi. Journal of Brsa Banking & Financial Markets, 9(1), 103–126.
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  • Kandel, E., Rindi, B., & Bosetti, L. (2012). The effect of a closing call auction on market quality and trading strategies. Journal of Financial Intermediation, 21(1), 23-49. doi:10.1016/j.jfi.2011.03.002
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  • Miralles-Quirós, J. L., Miralles-Quirós, M. d. M., & Daza-Izquierdo, J. (2015). Intraday patterns and trading strategies in the spanish stock market. Applied Economics, 47(1), 88-99. doi:10.1080/00036846.2014.962224
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BORÇLANMA ARAÇLARI PİYASASINDA ÖĞLE ARASININ KALDIRILMASININ GÜNİÇİ GETİRİ, VOLATİLİTE VE İŞLEM HACMİNE ETKİSİ

Year 2020, , 937 - 958, 31.12.2020
https://doi.org/10.31795/baunsobed.748465

Abstract

Bu çalışmada, Borsa İstanbul Borçlanma Araçları Piyasası’nda 01.08.2019 tarihinden itibaren öğle arasının kaldırılmasının piyasada işlem gören devlet tahvillerinin güniçi getiri, volatilite ve işlem hacmine olan etkisi ve bu piyasadaki güniçi yapılar araştırılmıştır. Bu amaçla, öğle arasının kaldırılma tarihinin 3 ay öncesi ve sonrasını kapsayan 02.05.2019-31.10.2019 döneminde piyasada işlem gören aynı gün valörlü 45 devlet tahvilinin 15-dakikalık periyodlar için hesaplanan getiri, volatilite ve işlem hacmi verileri kullanılmıştır. Yapılan analizler sonucunda, güniçi volatilite ve ortalama işlem hacmi formunun sırasıyla ters “J” ve “L” harfi şeklinde olduğu, öğle arasının kaldırılmasının gün içi getiriyi azalttığı, ortalama işlem hacmini artırdığı ve volatiliteyi düşürdüğü bulunmuştur. Piyasanın mikro yapısında meydana gelen bu değişiklik, fiyat oluşum etkinliğini artırmış olmakla birlikte bu etkinlik artışının, açılış işlemlerinde gün ortası ve kapanışa göre daha sınırlı kaldığı tespit edilmiştir.

References

  • Abhyankar, A., Ghosh, D., Levin, E., & Limmack, R. J. (1997). Bid‐ask spreads, trading volume and volatility: Intra‐day evidence from the london stock exchange. Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, 24(3), 343-362.
  • Agarwalla, S. K., Jacob, J., & Pandey, A. (2015). Impact of the introduction of call auction on price discovery: Evidence from the indian stock market using high-frequency data. International Review of Financial Analysis, 39, 167-178. doi:10.1016/j.irfa.2015.01.012
  • Ahn, H.-J., Bae, K.-H., & Chan, K. (2001). Limit orders, depth, and volatility: Evidence from the stock exchange of hong kong. The Journal of Finance, 56(2), 767-788. doi:10.1111/0022-1082.00345
  • Amihud, Y., & Mendelson, H. (1987). Trading mechanisms and stock returns: An empirical investigation. The Journal of Finance, 42(3), 533-553. doi:10.1111/j.1540-6261.1987.tb04567.x
  • Amihud, Y., Mendelson, H., & Murgia, M. (1990). Stock market microstructure and return volatility: Evidence from italy. Journal of Banking & Finance, 14(2), 423-440. doi:10.1016/0378-4266(90)90057-9
  • Anagnostidis, P., Kanas, A., & Papachristou, G. (2015). Information revelation in the greek exchange opening call: Daily and intraday evidence. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 38, 167-184. doi:10.1016/j.intfin.2015.05.014
  • Andersen, T. G., & Bollerslev, T. (1997). Intraday periodicity and volatility persistence in financial markets. Journal of Empirical Finance, 4(2), 115-158. doi:10.1016/S0927-5398(97)00004-2
  • Andersen, T. G., Bollerslev, T., & Cai, J. (2000). Intraday and interday volatility in the japanese stock market. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 10(2), 107-130. doi:10.1016/S1042-4431(99)00029-3
  • Aslan, A., & Sensoy, A. (2019). Intraday efficiency-frequency nexus in the cryptocurrency markets. Finance Research Letters. doi:10.1016/j.frl.2019.09.013 Barclay, M. J., & Hendershott, T. (2003). Price discovery and trading after hours. The Review of Financial Studies, 16(4), 1041-1073. doi:10.1093/rfs/hhg030
  • Bildik, R. (2001). Intra-day seasonalities on stock returns: Evidence from the turkish stock market. Emerging Markets Review, 2(4), 387-417. doi:10.1016/S1566-0141(01)00026-7
  • Chelley-Steeley, P. (2009). Price synchronicity: The closing call auction and the london stock market. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 19(5), 777-791. doi:10.1016/j.intfin.2009.02.001
  • Chen, C.-n. (2013). The predictability of opening returns for the returns of the trading day: Evidence from taiwan futures market. International Review of Economics & Finance, 25, 272-281. doi:10.1016/j.iref.2012.07.012
  • Comerton-Forde, C., Lau, S. T., & McInish, T. H. (2007). Opening and closing behavior following the introduction of call auctions in singapore. Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 15(1), 18–35. doi:10.1016/j.pacfin.2006.04.002
  • Comerton-Forde, C., & Rydge, J. (2006). The influence of call auction algorithm rules on market efficiency. Journal of Financial Markets, 9(2), 199-222. doi:10.1016/j.finmar.2006.02.001
  • Eaves, J., & Williams, J. (2010). Are intraday volume and volatility u-shaped after accounting for public information? American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 92(1), 212-227. doi:10.1093/ajae/aap007
  • Engle, R. F., & Sokalska, M. E. (2012). Forecasting intraday volatility in the us equity market. Multiplicative component garch. Journal of Financial Econometrics, 10(1), 54-83. doi:10.1093/jjfinec/nbr005
  • Fan, Y.-J., & Lai, H.-N. (2006). The intraday effect and the extension of trading hours for taiwanese securities. International Review of Financial Analysis, 15(4), 328-347. doi:10.1016/j.irfa.2006.02.005
  • Foster, F. D., & Viswanathan, S. (1993). The effect of public information and competition on trading volume and price volatility. Review of Financial Studies, 6(1), 23-56. doi:10.1093/rfs/6.1.23
  • Gao, L., Han, Y., Zhengzi Li, S., & Zhou, G. (2018). Market intraday momentum. Journal of Financial Economics, 129(2), 394-414. doi:10.1016/j.jfineco.2018.05.009
  • Garman, M. B., & Klass, M. J. (1980). On the estimation of security price volatilities from historical data. The Journal of Business, 53(1), 67-78. doi:10.1086/296072
  • Gerety, M. S., & Mulherin, J. H. (1994). Price formation on stock exchanges: The evolution of trading within the day. Review of Financial Studies, 7(3), 609-629. doi:10.1093/rfs/7.3.609
  • Hamao, Y., & Hasbrouck, J. (1995). Securities trading in the absence of dealers: Trades and quotes on the tokyo stock exchange. The Review of Financial Studies, 8(3), 849-878.
  • Haniff, M. N., & Pok, W. C. (2010). Intraday volatility and periodicity in the malaysian stock returns. Research in International Business and Finance, 24(3), 329-343. doi:10.1016/j.ribaf.2010.03.001
  • Harju, K., & Hussain, S. M. (2011). Intraday seasonalities and macroeconomic news announcements. European Financial Management, 17(2), 367-390. doi:10.1111/j.1468-036X.2009.00512.x
  • Harris, L. (1986). A transaction data study of weekly and intradaily patterns in stock returns. Journal of Financial Economics, 16(1), 99-117. doi:10.1016/0304-405X(86)90044-9
  • Harris, L. (1989). A day-end transaction price anomaly. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 24(1), 29–45. doi:10.2307/2330746
  • Hillion, P., & Suominen, M. (2004). The manipulation of closing prices. Journal of Financial Markets, 7(4), 351–375. doi:10.1016/j.finmar.2004.04.002
  • Houston, J. F., & Ryngaert, M. D. (1992). The links between trading time and market volatility. Journal of Financial Research, 15(2), 91-100. doi:10.1111/j.1475-6803.1992.tb00790.x
  • Huang, Y. C., & Chan, S. H. (2014). The trading behavior of attention securities with different closing mechanisms: Evidence from taiwan. Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies, 17(04), 1-16. doi:10.1142/S021909151450026X
  • Huang, Y. C., & Tsai, P. L. (2014). Effectiveness of closing call auctions: Evidence from the taiwan stock exchange. Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 44(3), 5-20. doi:10.2753/ree1540-496x440301
  • Hughes, M. P., Smith, S. D., & Winters, D. B. (2007). An empirical examination of intraday volatility in on-the-run u.S. Treasury bills. Journal of Economics and Business, 59(6), 487-499. doi:10.1016/j.jeconbus.2006.10.001
  • Ibikunle, G. (2015). Opening and closing price efficiency: Do financial markets need the call auction? Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 34, 208-227. doi:10.1016/j.intfin.2014.11.014
  • Inci, A. C., & Ozenbas, D. (2017). Intraday volatility and the implementation of a closing call auction at borsa istanbul. Emerging Markets Review, 33, 79-89. doi:10.1016/j.ememar.2017.09.002
  • Jain, P. C., & Joh, G.-H. (1988). The dependence between hourly prices and trading volume. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 23(3), 269-283.
  • Kadioglu, E., & Küçükkocaoğlu, G. (2015). Borsa İstanbul’da güniçi getiri ve volatilite yapısı ile tek fiyatlı açılış ve kapanış seanslarının etkisi. Journal of Brsa Banking & Financial Markets, 9(1), 103–126.
  • Kadioglu, E., Küçükkocaoğlu, G., & Kılıç, S. (2015). Closing price manipulation in borsa istanbul and the impact of call auction sessions. Borsa Istanbul Review, 15(3), 213–221. doi:10.1016/j.bir.2015.04.002
  • Kandel, E., Rindi, B., & Bosetti, L. (2012). The effect of a closing call auction on market quality and trading strategies. Journal of Financial Intermediation, 21(1), 23-49. doi:10.1016/j.jfi.2011.03.002
  • Küçükkocaoğlu, G. (2005). Borsa İstanbul’da gün İçi getiri, volatilite ve kapanış fiyatı manipülasyonu. Ankara: Sermaye Piyasası Kurulu.
  • Küçükkocaoğlu, G., & Küçüksözen, C. (2009). Açılış seansı uygulamasının borsa İstanbul’un mikroyapısı üzerine etkileri. Standard–Ekonomik ve Teknik Dergi, 564, 48.
  • Kyle, A. S. (1985). Continuous auctions and insider trading. Econometrica, 53(6), 1315-1335. doi:10.2307/1913210
  • Lee, H.-C., Chien, C.-Y., Chen, H.-L., & Huang, Y.-S. (2009). The extended opening session of the futures market and stock price behavior: Evidence from the taiwan stock exchange. Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies, 12(03), 403-416. doi:10.1142/S021909150900168X
  • Lockwood, L. J., & Linn, S. C. (1990). An examination of stock market return volatility during overnight and intraday periods, 1964-1989. The Journal of Finance, 45(2), 591-601. doi:10.1111/j.1540-6261.1990.tb03705.x
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There are 64 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language Turkish
Subjects Economics, Business Administration
Journal Section Economics
Authors

Eyüp Kadıoğlu 0000-0001-7836-868X

Nurcan Öcal 0000-0002-5870-2844

Faruk Bostancı 0000-0002-4151-7618

Publication Date December 31, 2020
Submission Date June 5, 2020
Acceptance Date September 3, 2020
Published in Issue Year 2020

Cite

APA Kadıoğlu, E., Öcal, N., & Bostancı, F. (2020). BORÇLANMA ARAÇLARI PİYASASINDA ÖĞLE ARASININ KALDIRILMASININ GÜNİÇİ GETİRİ, VOLATİLİTE VE İŞLEM HACMİNE ETKİSİ. Balıkesir Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi, 23(44), 937-958. https://doi.org/10.31795/baunsobed.748465

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