Research Article
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Dynamics of conservative financing policy: An empirical analysis on listed Turkish firms

Year 2025, Volume: 8 Issue: 1, 19 - 34, 10.03.2025
https://doi.org/10.58308/bemarej.1606692

Abstract

DDespite being in operation for roughly forty years, Turkish stock market is an emerging market with a limited number of listed firms mostly controlled by a family or a business group. The analysis regarding non-financial firms listed on Borsa Istanbul over the fifteen-year period indicates that the vast majority of these firms are reluctant to debt financing, and a remarkable rate of them exhibit a conservative financing bias. However, this behaviour has been ignored in previous researches since the focus was primarily on capital structure and its determinants. Besides, prior studies on conservative financing policy broadly deal with the issue by investigating the financing behaviour of the firms from advanced economies, especially the UK and the US. In this regard, this paper aims to provide a new perspective to the debates on conservative policy by presenting evidences from an emerging economy that experiences frequent crises. The results indicate that cash reserves, cash flows, dividends and ownership concentration have a strong impact on adopting a conservative policy for Turkish firms. The cash flows and dividends also play an important role in maintaining this policy. However, contrary to common findings, macroeconomic conditions do not appear to have a direct impact on it.

Ethical Statement

Bu çalışmanın tüm hazırlanma süreçlerinde etik kurallara ve bilimsel atıf gösterme ilkelerine riayet edilmiş olup, etik kurul izni gerektiren bir husus bulunmamaktadır. Çalışmada kullanılan veriler istenmesi halinde sorumlu yazar tarafından gönderilecektir.

Supporting Institution

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References

  • Akcay, Ü., & Güngen, A. R. (2019). The Making of Turkey’s 2018-2019 Economic Crisis. Working Paper, No. 120/2019, Berlin Institute for International Political Economy (IPE), Hochschule für Wirtschaft und Recht Berlin, https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/200182/1/1667890263.pdf. Accessed October 2021
  • Bessler, W., Drobetz, W., Haller. R., & Meier, I. (2013). The international zero-leverage phenomenon. Journal of Corporate Finance, 23(2013), 196-221. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2013.08.004
  • Bigelli, A., Martín-Ugedo, J. F., & Sánchez-Vidal, F. J. (2014). Financial conservatism of private firms. Journal of Business Research, 67(2014), 2419-2427. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2376784
  • Byoun, S., & Xu, Z. (2013). Why Do Some Firms Go Debt Free? Asia-Pacific Journal of Financial Studies, 42(2013),1-38. http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.891346
  • Chen, J. J. 2004). Determinants of capital structure of Chinese-listed companies. Journal of Business Research, 57(2004), 1341-1351. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0148-2963(03)00070-5
  • Dang, V. A. (2013). An empirical analysis of zero-leverage firms: New evidence from the UK. International Review of Financial Analysis, 30(2013), 189–202. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2013.08.007
  • DeAngelo, H., & Masulis, R. W. (1980). Optimal Capital Structure under Corporate and Personal Taxation. The Journal of Financial Economics, 8(1980), 3-29. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-405X(80)90019-7
  • Delcoure, N. (2007). The determinants of capital structure in transitional economies. International Review of Economics and Finance, 16(2007), 400–415. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iref.2005.03.005
  • Ebrahimi, T., Gupta, J., & Ozkan, A. (2020). Supply‐side factors, CEO overconfidence, and zero‐leverage policy. International Journal of Finance & Economics, 2020(25), 547-564. https://doi.org/10.1002/ijfe.1765
  • El Ghoul, S., Guedhami, O., Kwok, C., & Zheng, X. (2018). Zero-Leverage Puzzle: An International Comparison. Review of Finance, 22(3), 1063–1120. https://doi.org/10.1093/rof/rfw065
  • Easterbrook, F. H. (1984). Two Agency-Cost Explanations of Dividends. The American Economic Review, 74(4), 650-659. https://www.jstor.org/stable/1805130. Accessed September 2019
  • Ferrão, J., Curto, J. D., & Gama, A. P. (2016). Low-leverage policy dynamics: An empirical analysis. Review of Accounting and Finance, 15(4), 463-483.
  • Gottardo, P., & Moisello, A. M. (2016). High and Low Leverage Choices: Some Evidence from Private Firms. Modern Economy, 7, 276-289. https://doi.org/10.4236/ME.2016.73030
  • Huang, Z., Li, W., & Gao, W. (2017). Why do firms choose zero-leverage policy? Evidence from China. Applied Economics, 49(28), 2736-2748. https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2016.1245845
  • Iona, A., Leonida, L., & Ozkan, A. (2004). Determinant of financial conservatism: Evidence from low-leverage and cash-rich UK firms. Discussion Papers in Economics, No. 2004/1, Department of Economics and Related Studies, University of York. https://www.york.ac.uk/media/economics/documents/discussionpapers/2004/0401.pdf. Accessed January 2017
  • Iona, A., Leonida, L., & Ventouri, A. (2017). Does executive ownership lead to excess target cash? The case of UK firms. Corporate Governance: The International Journal of Business in Society, 17(5), 876-895. https://doi.org/10.1108/CG-02-2017-0028
  • Jensen, M. C. (1986). Agency Costs of Free Cash Flow, Corporate Finance, and Takeovers. The American Economic Review, 76(2), 323-329. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.99580
  • Jensen, M. C., & Meckling, W. H. (1976). Theory Of The Firm: Managerial Behaviour, Agency Costs And Capital Structure. Journal of Financial Economics, 3(1976), 305-360. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-405X(76)90026-X
  • Korajczyka, R. A., & Levy, A. (2003). Capital structure choice: macroeconomic conditions and financial costraints. Journal of Financial Economics, 68(1), 75-109. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0304-405X(02)00249-0
  • Kraus, A., & Litzenberger, R. H. (1973). A State-Preference Model of Optimal Financial Leverage. The Journal of Finance, 28(4), 911-922. https://www.jstor.org/stable/pdf/2978343.pdf. Accessed February 2020
  • Kwak, D. W., Martin, R. S., & Woolridge, J. M. (2018). The Robustness of Conditional Logit for Binary Response Panel Data Models with Serial Correlation. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics Working Paper 502. https://www.bls.gov/osmr/research-papers/2018/ec180020.htm. Accessed March 2020
  • Machokoto, M., Areneke, G., & Nyangara, D. (2020). Financial conservatism, firm value and international business risk: Evidence from emerging economies around the global financial crisis. International Journal of Finance & Economics, 2020, 1-19. https://doi.org/10.1002/ijfe.2032
  • Midi, H., Sarkar, S. K., & Rana, S. (2010). Collinearity diagnostics of binary logistic regression model. Journal of Interdisciplinary Mathematics, 13(3), 253-267. https://doi.org/10.1080/09720502.2010.10700699
  • Minton, B. A., & Wruck, K. H. (2001). Financial Conservatism: Evidence on Capital Structure from Low Leverage Firms. Unpublished Working Paper No. 2001-6, Ohio State University. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=269608. Accessed January 2017
  • Modigliani, M., & Miller, M. H. (1958). The Cost of Capital, Corporation Finance and the Theory of Investment. The American Economic Review, 48(3), 261-297. https://www.jstor.org/stable/pdf/1809766.pdf. Accessed December 2019
  • Morais, F., Serrasqueirob, Z., & Ramalho, J. J. S. (2020) The zero-leverage phenomenon: A bivariate probit with partial observability approach. Research in International Business and Finance, 53(2020), 1-16. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2020.101201
  • Myers, S. C. (1984). The Capital Structure Puzzle. Journal of Finance, 39(3), 575-592. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1984.tb03646.x
  • Myers, S. C., & Majluf, N. S. (1984). Corporate financing and investment decisions when firms have information that investors do not have. Journal of Financial Economics, 13(1984), 187-221. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-405X(84)90023-0
  • Orhangazi, O., & Yeldan, E. (2020). Re-Making of the Turkish Crisis. Political Economy Research Institute Working Paper Series No. 504, University of Massachusetts Amherst. https://www.peri.umass.edu/publication/item/1254-re-making-of-the-turkish-crisis. Accessed December 2020
  • Ozkan, G. (2022). Muhafazakar Finansman Politikasının Benimsenmesinde Etkili Olan Faktörler: BİST’e Kayıtlı Şirketler Üzerine Bir İnceleme. (Yayınlanmamış Doktora Tezi), Başkent Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü, Ankara, Türkiye.
  • Sánchez-Vidal, F. J., Hernández-Roblesa, M., & Mínguez-Vera, A. (2020). Financial conservatism fosters job creation during economic crises. Applied Economics, 52(45), 4913-4926. https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2020.1751053
  • Shuetrim, G., Lowe, P., & Morling, S. (1993). The Determinants of Corporate Leverage: A Panel Data Analysis. Reserve Bank of Australia Research Discussion Paper 9313. https://www.cs.odu.edu/~dlibug/ups/rdf/remo/rba/rbardp/rdp9313.pdf. Accessed July 2017
  • Stammann, A., Heiß, F., & McFadden, D. (2016). Estimating Fixed Effects Logit Models with Large Panel Data. Conference Paper, German Economic Association. https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/145837/1/VfS_2016_pid_6909.pdf. Accessed March 2020
  • Strebulaev, I. A., & Yang, B. (2013). The mystery of zero-leverage firms. Journal of Financial Economics, 109(2013), 1-23. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2013.02.001
  • Türk Sanayici ve İş İnsanları Derneği (TÜSİAD, 2019). 2019 Yılına Girerken Türkiye ve Dünya Ekonomisi. Türk Sanayici ve İş İnsanları Derneği Ekonomik Araştırmalar Bölümü, Yayın No: TÜSİAD-T/2019-02/602, Şubat 2019, İstanbul, Türkiye
  • Yasmin, A., & Rashid, A. (2019). On the Mystery of Financial Conservatism: Insights from Pakistan. Emerging Markets Finance & Trade, 55(12), 2904-2927. https://doi.org/10.1080/1540496X.2018.1553158
  • Zeng, A. (2011). Financial Conservatism and Firms’ Financing and Investment Behaviours during The Global Financial Crisis: Evidence from Listed Chinese Companies. 2011 International Conference on Economics and Finance Research IPEDR, 4 (2011), 166-170, (2011) IACSIT Press, Singapore.

Dynamics of conservative financing policy: An empirical analysis on listed Turkish firms

Year 2025, Volume: 8 Issue: 1, 19 - 34, 10.03.2025
https://doi.org/10.58308/bemarej.1606692

Abstract

Despite being in operation for roughly forty years, Turkish stock market is an emerging market with a limited number of listed firms. Additionally, most of them are controlled by a family or a business group where families are the major shareholders again. Moreover, the analysis regarding non-financial firms listed on Borsa Istanbul over the fifteen-year period indicates that the vast majority of these firms are reluctant to debt financing, and a remarkable rate of them exhibit a conservative financing bias. However, this behaviour has been ignored in previous researches since the focus was primarily on capital structure and its determinants. In this regard, this study focuses on the main determinants of this conservative tendency in the light of main capital structure theories. Besides, prior studies on conservative financing policy broadly deal with the issue by investigating the financing behaviour of the firms from advanced economies, especially the UK and the US. In this context, this paper also aims to provide a new perspective to the debates on conservative policy by presenting evidences from an emerging economy that experiences frequent crises. The results indicate that cash reserves, cash flows, dividends and ownership concentration have a positive and strong impact on adopting a conservative debt policy for Turkish firms, while growth opportunities and size have opposite effects. The cash flows and dividends also play an important role in maintaining this policy. However, contrary to common findings, macroeconomic conditions do not appear to have a direct impact on it.

Ethical Statement

Bu çalışmanın tüm hazırlanma süreçlerinde etik kurallara ve bilimsel atıf gösterme ilkelerine riayet edilmiş olup, etik kurul iznini gerektiren bir husus bulunmamaktadır. Çalışmada kullanılan verilen ihtiyaç duyulması halinde sorumlu yazar tarafından gönderilecektir.

References

  • Akcay, Ü., & Güngen, A. R. (2019). The Making of Turkey’s 2018-2019 Economic Crisis. Working Paper, No. 120/2019, Berlin Institute for International Political Economy (IPE), Hochschule für Wirtschaft und Recht Berlin, https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/200182/1/1667890263.pdf. Accessed October 2021
  • Bessler, W., Drobetz, W., Haller. R., & Meier, I. (2013). The international zero-leverage phenomenon. Journal of Corporate Finance, 23(2013), 196-221. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2013.08.004
  • Bigelli, A., Martín-Ugedo, J. F., & Sánchez-Vidal, F. J. (2014). Financial conservatism of private firms. Journal of Business Research, 67(2014), 2419-2427. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2376784
  • Byoun, S., & Xu, Z. (2013). Why Do Some Firms Go Debt Free? Asia-Pacific Journal of Financial Studies, 42(2013),1-38. http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.891346
  • Chen, J. J. 2004). Determinants of capital structure of Chinese-listed companies. Journal of Business Research, 57(2004), 1341-1351. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0148-2963(03)00070-5
  • Dang, V. A. (2013). An empirical analysis of zero-leverage firms: New evidence from the UK. International Review of Financial Analysis, 30(2013), 189–202. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2013.08.007
  • DeAngelo, H., & Masulis, R. W. (1980). Optimal Capital Structure under Corporate and Personal Taxation. The Journal of Financial Economics, 8(1980), 3-29. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-405X(80)90019-7
  • Delcoure, N. (2007). The determinants of capital structure in transitional economies. International Review of Economics and Finance, 16(2007), 400–415. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iref.2005.03.005
  • Ebrahimi, T., Gupta, J., & Ozkan, A. (2020). Supply‐side factors, CEO overconfidence, and zero‐leverage policy. International Journal of Finance & Economics, 2020(25), 547-564. https://doi.org/10.1002/ijfe.1765
  • El Ghoul, S., Guedhami, O., Kwok, C., & Zheng, X. (2018). Zero-Leverage Puzzle: An International Comparison. Review of Finance, 22(3), 1063–1120. https://doi.org/10.1093/rof/rfw065
  • Easterbrook, F. H. (1984). Two Agency-Cost Explanations of Dividends. The American Economic Review, 74(4), 650-659. https://www.jstor.org/stable/1805130. Accessed September 2019
  • Ferrão, J., Curto, J. D., & Gama, A. P. (2016). Low-leverage policy dynamics: An empirical analysis. Review of Accounting and Finance, 15(4), 463-483.
  • Gottardo, P., & Moisello, A. M. (2016). High and Low Leverage Choices: Some Evidence from Private Firms. Modern Economy, 7, 276-289. https://doi.org/10.4236/ME.2016.73030
  • Huang, Z., Li, W., & Gao, W. (2017). Why do firms choose zero-leverage policy? Evidence from China. Applied Economics, 49(28), 2736-2748. https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2016.1245845
  • Iona, A., Leonida, L., & Ozkan, A. (2004). Determinant of financial conservatism: Evidence from low-leverage and cash-rich UK firms. Discussion Papers in Economics, No. 2004/1, Department of Economics and Related Studies, University of York. https://www.york.ac.uk/media/economics/documents/discussionpapers/2004/0401.pdf. Accessed January 2017
  • Iona, A., Leonida, L., & Ventouri, A. (2017). Does executive ownership lead to excess target cash? The case of UK firms. Corporate Governance: The International Journal of Business in Society, 17(5), 876-895. https://doi.org/10.1108/CG-02-2017-0028
  • Jensen, M. C. (1986). Agency Costs of Free Cash Flow, Corporate Finance, and Takeovers. The American Economic Review, 76(2), 323-329. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.99580
  • Jensen, M. C., & Meckling, W. H. (1976). Theory Of The Firm: Managerial Behaviour, Agency Costs And Capital Structure. Journal of Financial Economics, 3(1976), 305-360. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-405X(76)90026-X
  • Korajczyka, R. A., & Levy, A. (2003). Capital structure choice: macroeconomic conditions and financial costraints. Journal of Financial Economics, 68(1), 75-109. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0304-405X(02)00249-0
  • Kraus, A., & Litzenberger, R. H. (1973). A State-Preference Model of Optimal Financial Leverage. The Journal of Finance, 28(4), 911-922. https://www.jstor.org/stable/pdf/2978343.pdf. Accessed February 2020
  • Kwak, D. W., Martin, R. S., & Woolridge, J. M. (2018). The Robustness of Conditional Logit for Binary Response Panel Data Models with Serial Correlation. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics Working Paper 502. https://www.bls.gov/osmr/research-papers/2018/ec180020.htm. Accessed March 2020
  • Machokoto, M., Areneke, G., & Nyangara, D. (2020). Financial conservatism, firm value and international business risk: Evidence from emerging economies around the global financial crisis. International Journal of Finance & Economics, 2020, 1-19. https://doi.org/10.1002/ijfe.2032
  • Midi, H., Sarkar, S. K., & Rana, S. (2010). Collinearity diagnostics of binary logistic regression model. Journal of Interdisciplinary Mathematics, 13(3), 253-267. https://doi.org/10.1080/09720502.2010.10700699
  • Minton, B. A., & Wruck, K. H. (2001). Financial Conservatism: Evidence on Capital Structure from Low Leverage Firms. Unpublished Working Paper No. 2001-6, Ohio State University. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=269608. Accessed January 2017
  • Modigliani, M., & Miller, M. H. (1958). The Cost of Capital, Corporation Finance and the Theory of Investment. The American Economic Review, 48(3), 261-297. https://www.jstor.org/stable/pdf/1809766.pdf. Accessed December 2019
  • Morais, F., Serrasqueirob, Z., & Ramalho, J. J. S. (2020) The zero-leverage phenomenon: A bivariate probit with partial observability approach. Research in International Business and Finance, 53(2020), 1-16. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2020.101201
  • Myers, S. C. (1984). The Capital Structure Puzzle. Journal of Finance, 39(3), 575-592. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1984.tb03646.x
  • Myers, S. C., & Majluf, N. S. (1984). Corporate financing and investment decisions when firms have information that investors do not have. Journal of Financial Economics, 13(1984), 187-221. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-405X(84)90023-0
  • Orhangazi, O., & Yeldan, E. (2020). Re-Making of the Turkish Crisis. Political Economy Research Institute Working Paper Series No. 504, University of Massachusetts Amherst. https://www.peri.umass.edu/publication/item/1254-re-making-of-the-turkish-crisis. Accessed December 2020
  • Ozkan, G. (2022). Muhafazakar Finansman Politikasının Benimsenmesinde Etkili Olan Faktörler: BİST’e Kayıtlı Şirketler Üzerine Bir İnceleme. (Yayınlanmamış Doktora Tezi), Başkent Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü, Ankara, Türkiye.
  • Sánchez-Vidal, F. J., Hernández-Roblesa, M., & Mínguez-Vera, A. (2020). Financial conservatism fosters job creation during economic crises. Applied Economics, 52(45), 4913-4926. https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2020.1751053
  • Shuetrim, G., Lowe, P., & Morling, S. (1993). The Determinants of Corporate Leverage: A Panel Data Analysis. Reserve Bank of Australia Research Discussion Paper 9313. https://www.cs.odu.edu/~dlibug/ups/rdf/remo/rba/rbardp/rdp9313.pdf. Accessed July 2017
  • Stammann, A., Heiß, F., & McFadden, D. (2016). Estimating Fixed Effects Logit Models with Large Panel Data. Conference Paper, German Economic Association. https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/145837/1/VfS_2016_pid_6909.pdf. Accessed March 2020
  • Strebulaev, I. A., & Yang, B. (2013). The mystery of zero-leverage firms. Journal of Financial Economics, 109(2013), 1-23. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2013.02.001
  • Türk Sanayici ve İş İnsanları Derneği (TÜSİAD, 2019). 2019 Yılına Girerken Türkiye ve Dünya Ekonomisi. Türk Sanayici ve İş İnsanları Derneği Ekonomik Araştırmalar Bölümü, Yayın No: TÜSİAD-T/2019-02/602, Şubat 2019, İstanbul, Türkiye
  • Yasmin, A., & Rashid, A. (2019). On the Mystery of Financial Conservatism: Insights from Pakistan. Emerging Markets Finance & Trade, 55(12), 2904-2927. https://doi.org/10.1080/1540496X.2018.1553158
  • Zeng, A. (2011). Financial Conservatism and Firms’ Financing and Investment Behaviours during The Global Financial Crisis: Evidence from Listed Chinese Companies. 2011 International Conference on Economics and Finance Research IPEDR, 4 (2011), 166-170, (2011) IACSIT Press, Singapore.
There are 37 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language English
Subjects Business Administration
Journal Section Research Article
Authors

Gülşen Özkan 0000-0003-4626-3853

Özge Sezgin Alp 0000-0003-3219-0948

Güray Küçükkocaoğlu 0000-0001-6170-3269

Publication Date March 10, 2025
Submission Date December 24, 2024
Acceptance Date January 30, 2025
Published in Issue Year 2025 Volume: 8 Issue: 1

Cite

APA Özkan, G., Sezgin Alp, Ö., & Küçükkocaoğlu, G. (2025). Dynamics of conservative financing policy: An empirical analysis on listed Turkish firms. Business Economics and Management Research Journal, 8(1), 19-34. https://doi.org/10.58308/bemarej.1606692

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