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Determinants of Carbon Dioxide Emissions in the Organization of Turkic States: An Environmental Sustainability Perspective

Year 2026, Issue: 117 , 71 - 100 , 30.04.2026
https://doi.org/10.12995/bilig.7368
https://izlik.org/JA52CP52WK

Abstract

The ongoing climate crisis is one of the most severe threats to ecological, economic, and social development, affecting millions worldwide. Reducing greenhouse gas emissions is essential to limit the effects of the global climate crisis. This study aims to assess environmental sustainability by analyzing the impact of key determinants of carbon dioxide (CO₂) emissions in Azerbaijan, Kyrgyzstan, Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, and Türkiye, the member states of the Organization of Turkic States. According to the results of the autoregressive distributed lag bounds test (ARDL), based on data covering the period 1997–2019, economic growth, energy use in agricultural productivity, and industrialization increase CO₂ emissions, whereas forest area reduces CO₂ emissions in the long run. The findings were evaluated for the aforementioned countries, and corresponding policy implications were presented.

References

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Çevresel Sürdürülebilirlik Açısından Türk Devletleri Teşkilatı Ülkelerinde Karbondioksit Emisyonlarını Etkileyen Faktörlerin Değerlendirilmesi

Year 2026, Issue: 117 , 71 - 100 , 30.04.2026
https://doi.org/10.12995/bilig.7368
https://izlik.org/JA52CP52WK

Abstract

Devam eden iklim krizi dünya çapında milyonlarca insanı olumsuz etkileyen ekolojik, ekonomik ve sosyal kalkınmaya yönelik en ciddi tehditlerden biridir. Küresel iklim krizinin etkilerini sınırlamak için sera gazı emisyonlarının azaltılması önem arz etmektedir. Bu çalışmada Türk Devletleri Teşkilatına üye ülkeler olan Azerbaycan, Kırgızistan, Kazakistan, Özbekistan ve Türkiye’nin CO2 (Karbondioksit) emisyonlarını belirleyen değişkenlerin etkisi araştırılarak, çevresel sürdürülebilirliğin değerlendirilmesi amaçlanmıştır. 1997-2019 dönemi verileri kullanılarak gerçekleştirilen çalışmada ARDL (Gecikmesi Dağıtılmış Otoregresif Sınır Testi) sonuçlarına göre, ekonomik büyüme ve tarımsal verimliliğin CO2 emisyonlarını artırırken; yenilenebilir enerji kullanımı, sanayileşme ve orman alanlarının uzun dönemde CO2 emisyonlarını azalttığı tespit edilmiştir. Elde edilen bulgular söz konusu ülkeler için tartışılarak politika çıkarımlarında bulunulmuştur.

References

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  • Apergis, Nicholas, and James E. Payne. “Renewable Energy, Output, CO2 Emissions, and Fossil Fuel Prices in Central America: Evidence from a Nonlinear Panel Smooth Transition Vector Error Correction.” Energy Economics, vol. 42, 2014, pp. 226-232.
  • Azomahou, Theophile, et al. “Economic Development and CO2 Emissions: A Nonparametric Panel Approach.” Journal of Public Economics, vol. 90, no. 6-7, 2006, pp. 1347-1363.
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  • Bengochea-Morancho, Aurelia, et al. “Economic Growth and CO2 Emissions in the European Union.” Environmental and Resource Economics, vol. 19, 2001, pp. 165-172.
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  • Iqbal, Amir, et al. “Investigating the Nexus between CO2 Emissions, Renewable Energy Consumption, FDI, Exports and Economic Growth: Evidence from BRICS Countries.” Environment, Development and Sustainability, vol. 25, no. 3, 2023, pp. 2234-2263.
  • Im, Kyung So, M. Hashem Pesaran, and Yongcheol Shin. “Testing for Unit Roots in Heterogeneous Panels.” Journal of Econometrics, vol. 115, no. 1, 2003, pp. 53-74.
  • Jaforullah, Mohammad, and Alan King. “Does the Use of Renewable Energy Sources Mitigate CO2 Emissions? A Reassessment of the US Evidence.” Energy Economics, vol. 49, 2015, pp. 711-717.
  • Jayanthakumaran, Kankesu, et al. "CO2 Emissions, Energy Consumption, Trade and Income: A Comparative Analysis of China and India.” Energy Policy, vol. 42, 2012, pp. 450-460.
  • Jebli, Mehdi Ben, et al. “Testing Environmental Kuznets Curve Hypothesis: The Role of Renewable and Non-Renewable Energy Consumption and Trade in OECD Countries.” Ecological Indicators, vol. 60, 2016, pp. 824-831.
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  • Li, Dongxue, et al. “Bio-straw Resource Recycling Systems: Agricultural Productivity and Green Development.” Resources, Conservation and Recycling, vol. 190, 2023, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resconrec.2022.106844.
  • Li, Ke, and Boqiang Lin. “Impacts of Urbanization and Industrialization on Energy Consumption/CO2 Emissions: Does the Level of Development Matter?” Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, vol. 52, 2015, pp. 1107-1122.
  • Lin, Boqiang, and Mohamed Moubarak. “Renewable Energy Consumption–economic Growth Nexus for China.” Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, vol. 40, 2014, pp. 111-117.
  • Liu, Xuyi, and Junghan Bae. “Urbanization and Industrialization Impact of CO2 Emissions in China.” Journal of Cleaner Production, vol. 172, 2018, pp. 178-186.
  • Lo, S. F., et al. “Taking CO2 Emissions into a Country's Productivity Change: The Asian Growth Experience.” The International Journal of Sustainable Development & World Ecology, vol. 12, no. 3, 2025, pp. 279-290.
  • Mahmood, Haider, et al. “Industrialization, Urbanization and CO2 Emissions in Saudi Arabia: Asymmetry Analysis.” Energy Reports, vol. 6, 2020, pp. 1553-1560.
  • Mentel, Urszula, et al. “Industrialization and CO2 Emissions in Sub-Saharan Africa: The Mitigating Role of Renewable Electricity.” Energies, vol. 15, no. 3, 2022, https://doi.org/10.3390/en15030946.
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  • Parajuli, Rajan, et al. “Incorporating Forests, Agriculture, and Energy Consumption in the Framework of the Environmental Kuznets Curve: A Dynamic Panel Data Approach.” Sustainability, vol. 11, no. 9, 2019, https://doi.org/10.3390/su11092688.
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  • Pesaran, M. Hashem, and Takashi Yamagata. “Testing Slope Homogeneity in Large Panels." Journal of Econometrics, vol. 142, no. 1, 2008, pp. 50-93.
  • Raheem, Ibrahim Dolapo, and Joseph O. Ogebe. “CO2 Emissions, Urbanization and Industrialization: Evidence from a Direct and Indirect Heterogeneous Panel Analysis.” Management of Environmental Quality: An International Journal, vol. 28, no. 6, 2017, pp. 851-867.
  • Raihan, Asif, and Almagul Tuspekova. “Nexus between Economic Growth, Energy Use, Agricultural Productivity, and Carbon Dioxide Emissions: New Evidence from Nepal.” Energy Nexus, vol. 7, 2022, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.nexus.2022.100113.
  • REdiCAP. “Report from the Regional Dialogue on Carbon Pricing (REdiCAP) in Central Asia.” 25-26 February 2021.
  • Rehman, Abdul, et al. “Carbonization and Agricultural Productivity in Bhutan: Investigating the Impact of Crops Production, Fertilizer Usage, and Employment on CO2 Emissions." Journal of Cleaner Production, vol. 375, 2022, 134178.
  • Sebri, Maamar, and Ousama Ben-Salha. “On the Causal Dynamics between Economic Growth, Renewable Energy Consumption, CO2 Emissions and Trade Openness: Fresh Evidence from BRICS Countries.” Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, vol. 39, 2014, pp. 14-23.
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There are 69 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language English
Subjects Growth, Sustainable Development, Regional Studies
Journal Section Research Article
Authors

Ayşegül Baykul 0000-0002-7581-9972

Selen Işık Maden 0000-0002-3998-855X

Publication Date April 30, 2026
DOI https://doi.org/10.12995/bilig.7368
IZ https://izlik.org/JA52CP52WK
Published in Issue Year 2026 Issue: 117

Cite

APA Baykul, A., & Işık Maden, S. (2026). Determinants of Carbon Dioxide Emissions in the Organization of Turkic States: An Environmental Sustainability Perspective. Bilig, 117, 71-100. https://doi.org/10.12995/bilig.7368
AMA 1.Baykul A, Işık Maden S. Determinants of Carbon Dioxide Emissions in the Organization of Turkic States: An Environmental Sustainability Perspective. Bilig. 2026;(117):71-100. doi:10.12995/bilig.7368
Chicago Baykul, Ayşegül, and Selen Işık Maden. 2026. “Determinants of Carbon Dioxide Emissions in the Organization of Turkic States: An Environmental Sustainability Perspective”. Bilig, nos. 117: 71-100. https://doi.org/10.12995/bilig.7368.
EndNote Baykul A, Işık Maden S (April 1, 2026) Determinants of Carbon Dioxide Emissions in the Organization of Turkic States: An Environmental Sustainability Perspective. Bilig 117 71–100.
IEEE [1]A. Baykul and S. Işık Maden, “Determinants of Carbon Dioxide Emissions in the Organization of Turkic States: An Environmental Sustainability Perspective”, Bilig, no. 117, pp. 71–100, Apr. 2026, doi: 10.12995/bilig.7368.
ISNAD Baykul, Ayşegül - Işık Maden, Selen. “Determinants of Carbon Dioxide Emissions in the Organization of Turkic States: An Environmental Sustainability Perspective”. Bilig. 117 (April 1, 2026): 71-100. https://doi.org/10.12995/bilig.7368.
JAMA 1.Baykul A, Işık Maden S. Determinants of Carbon Dioxide Emissions in the Organization of Turkic States: An Environmental Sustainability Perspective. Bilig. 2026;:71–100.
MLA Baykul, Ayşegül, and Selen Işık Maden. “Determinants of Carbon Dioxide Emissions in the Organization of Turkic States: An Environmental Sustainability Perspective”. Bilig, no. 117, Apr. 2026, pp. 71-100, doi:10.12995/bilig.7368.
Vancouver 1.Ayşegül Baykul, Selen Işık Maden. Determinants of Carbon Dioxide Emissions in the Organization of Turkic States: An Environmental Sustainability Perspective. Bilig. 2026 Apr. 1;(117):71-100. doi:10.12995/bilig.7368

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