Petrol Zengini Türk Ülkelerinde Volatilite, Çeşitlendirme ve Petrol Krizi

Abstract

Makale üç petrol-zengini Hazar havzası ülkelerinde: Kazakistan, Azerbaycan ve Türkmenistanda ekonomik ve ihracat çeşitlendirmesinin mevcut seviyesini analiz ediyor ve Petrol fiyatlarındaki son dönem krizine karşı bu ekonomilerin yüksek hassasiyeti ile ilgili nedenleri ortaya çıkarmaya çalışıyor. Diğer tarafdan, bu ekonomiler sözde subsizide edilen ekonomiler açısından değerlendirilmektedir; bu türden ekonomiler kamu harcamaları ve cari tüketim harcamaları ile tahrik edilir. Bu durumda kamu harcamaları ve cari tüketim karşılaşılan büyük petrol gelirleri sonucunda parasal enjeksiyonlarla körükleniyor.

Keywords

• Ekonomik çeşitlendirme,petrole bağımlılık,subsidize edilen ekonomiler,Kazakistan,Azerbaycan,Türkmenistan

Volatility, Diversification and Oil Shock in Resource-Rich Turkic Countries: Avenues for Recovery

Abstract

The paper analyses the current level of economic and export diversification in three resource-rich Caspian basin Countries: Kazakhstan, Azerbaijan and Turkmenistan and attempts to reveal the underlying causes of high vulnerability of these economies to the recent oil price shock. On the other hand, the economies are evaluated in the light of so called subsidized economies, e.g. an economy mainly driven by public spending and current consumption expenditure. The latter in this case are mainly fueled by monetary injections as a result of large resource windfalls encountered by an economy. 

Keywords

• Economic diversification,oil dependence,subsidized economies,Kazakhstan,Azerbaijan,Turkmenistan

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