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Machine Learning Based Short Term Load Estimation in Commercial Buildings

Year 2021, Volume: 5 Issue: 2, 171 - 181, 31.12.2021
https://doi.org/10.47897/bilmes.1033438

Abstract

Nowadays, there are many problems with the electricity system, such as increasing consumption, short-time overload during the intra-day, environmental problems caused by fossil fuel, and foreign-source dependency. Therefore, it is necessary to meet these increasing energy needs, minimize environmental impacts, and develop cost optimization solutions. In order to meet these requirements, it is necessary for the network to have a more dynamic structure and to have real-time monitoring and control systems. Furthermore, to develop the aforementioned system, it is necessary to estimate the load of the users in the system. Therefore, the developed artificial neural network-based load estimation algorithm is capable of high accuracy load estimates, and high precision data were obtained for use in the demand side management system

References

  • Aghajani, G. R., Shayanfar, H. A., & Shayeghi, H. (2017). Demand side management in a smart micro-grid in the presence of renewable generation and demand response. Energy. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2017.03.051
  • Bendaoud, N. M. M., & Farah, N. (2020). Using deep learning for short-term load forecasting. Neural computing and applications, 32(18), 15029-15041.
  • Berriel, R. F., Lopes, A. T., Rodrigues, A., Varejao, F. M., & Oliveira-Santos, T. (2017, May). Monthly energy consumption forecast: A deep learning approach. In 2017 International Joint Conference on Neural Networks (IJCNN) (pp. 4283-4290). IEEE.
  • Bruno, S., Dellino, G., La Scala, M., & Meloni, C. (2018). A Microforecasting Module for Energy Consumption in Smart Grids. Proceedings - 2018 IEEE International Conference on Environment and Electrical Engineering and 2018 IEEE Industrial and Commercial Power Systems Europe, EEEIC/I and CPS Europe 2018. https://doi.org/10.1109/EEEIC.2018.8494345
  • Chitalia, G., Pipattanasomporn, M., Garg, V., & Rahman, S. (2020). Robust short-term electrical load forecasting framework for commercial buildings using deep recurrent neural networks. Applied Energy, 278, 115410.
  • Chen, Y., Xu, P., Chu, Y., Li, W., Wu, Y., Ni, L., ... & Wang, K. (2017). Short-term electrical load forecasting using the Support Vector Regression (SVR) model to calculate the demand response baseline for office buildings. Applied Energy, 195, 659-670.
  • Chernykh, I., Chechushkov, D., & Panikovskaya, T. (2014). The prediction of electric energy consumption using an artificial neural network. WIT Transactions on Ecology and the Environment, 190 VOLUME 1, 109–117. https://doi.org/10.2495/EQ140121
  • Fujiwara, T., & Ueda, Y. (2018). Load forecasting method for Commercial facilities by determination of working time and considering weather information. 7th International IEEE Conference on Renewable Energy Research and Applications, ICRERA 2018, 5, 336–341. https://doi.org/10.1109/ICRERA.2018.8567019
  • Huang, J., Jin, H., Xie, X., & Zhang, Q. (2007). Using NARX neural network based load prediction to improve scheduling decision in grid environments. In Third International Conference on Natural Computation (ICNC 2007) (Vol. 5, pp. 718-724). IEEE.
  • Kim, J., Moon, J., Hwang, E., & Kang, P. (2019). Recurrent inception convolution neural network for multi short-term load forecasting. Energy and buildings, 194, 328-341.
  • Li, C., Ding, Z., Zhao, D., Yi, J., & Zhang, G. (2017). Building energy consumption prediction: An extreme deep learning approach. Energies, 10(10), 1525.
  • Kuo, P. H., & Huang, C. J. (2018). A high precision artificial neural networks model for short-term energy load forecasting. Energies, 11(1), 213.
  • Ma, J., Qin, J., Salsbury, T., & Xu, P. (2012). Demand reduction in building energy systems based on economic model predictive control. Chemical Engineering Science, 67(1), 92–100. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ces.2011.07.052
  • Mena, R., Rodríguez, F., Castilla, M., & Arahal, M. R. (2014). A prediction model based on neural networks for the energy consumption of a bioclimatic building. Energy and Buildings, 82, 142–155. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enbuild.2014.06.052
  • Mocanu, E., Nguyen, P. H., Gibescu, M., & Kling, W. L. (2016). Deep learning for estimating building energy consumption. Sustainable Energy, Grids and Networks, 6, 91-99.
  • Molavi, H., & Ardehali, M. M. (2016). Utility demand response operation considering day-of-use tariff and optimal operation of thermal energy storage system for an industrial building based on particle swarm optimization algorithm. Energy and Buildings, 127, 920–929. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enbuild.2016.06.056
  • Owda, H. M. H., Omoniwa, B., Shahid, A. R., & Ziauddin, S. (2014). Using Artificial Neural Network Techniques for Prediction of Electric Energy Consumption. Retrieved from http://arxiv.org/abs/1412.2186
  • Rahman, A., Srikumar, V., & Smith, A. D. (2018). Predicting electricity consumption for commercial and residential buildings using deep recurrent neural networks. Applied energy, 212, 372-385.
  • Saatwong, P., & Suwankawin, S. (2016). Short-term electricity load forecasting for Building Energy Management System. 2016 13th International Conference on Electrical Engineering/Electronics, Computer, Telecommunications and Information Technology, ECTI-CON 2016. https://doi.org/10.1109/ECTICon.2016.7561477
  • Salahat, S. (2017). Short-Term Forecasting of Electricity Consumption in Palestine Using Artificial Neural Networks. International Journal of Artificial Intelligence & Applications, 8(2), 11–21. https://doi.org/10.5121/ijaia.2017.8202
  • Xu, L., Li, C., Xie, X., & Zhang, G. (2018). Long-short-term memory network based hybrid model for short-term electrical load forecasting. Information, 9(7), 165.
  • Yildiz, B., Bilbao, J. I., & Sproul, A. B. (2017). A review and analysis of regression and machine learning models on commercial building electricity load forecasting. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 73, 1104-1122.

Machine Learning Based Short Term Load Estimation in Commercial Buildings

Year 2021, Volume: 5 Issue: 2, 171 - 181, 31.12.2021
https://doi.org/10.47897/bilmes.1033438

Abstract

Nowadays, there are many problems with the electricity system, such as increasing consumption, short-time overload during the intra-day, environmental problems caused by fossil fuel, and foreign-source dependency. Therefore, it is necessary to meet these increasing energy needs, minimize environmental impacts, and develop cost optimization solutions. In order to meet these requirements, it is necessary for the network to have a more dynamic structure and to have real-time monitoring and control systems. Furthermore, to develop the aforementioned system, it is necessary to estimate the load of the users in the system. Therefore, the developed artificial neural network-based load estimation algorithm is
capable of high accuracy load estimates, and high precision data were obtained for use in the demand side management system. 

References

  • Aghajani, G. R., Shayanfar, H. A., & Shayeghi, H. (2017). Demand side management in a smart micro-grid in the presence of renewable generation and demand response. Energy. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2017.03.051
  • Bendaoud, N. M. M., & Farah, N. (2020). Using deep learning for short-term load forecasting. Neural computing and applications, 32(18), 15029-15041.
  • Berriel, R. F., Lopes, A. T., Rodrigues, A., Varejao, F. M., & Oliveira-Santos, T. (2017, May). Monthly energy consumption forecast: A deep learning approach. In 2017 International Joint Conference on Neural Networks (IJCNN) (pp. 4283-4290). IEEE.
  • Bruno, S., Dellino, G., La Scala, M., & Meloni, C. (2018). A Microforecasting Module for Energy Consumption in Smart Grids. Proceedings - 2018 IEEE International Conference on Environment and Electrical Engineering and 2018 IEEE Industrial and Commercial Power Systems Europe, EEEIC/I and CPS Europe 2018. https://doi.org/10.1109/EEEIC.2018.8494345
  • Chitalia, G., Pipattanasomporn, M., Garg, V., & Rahman, S. (2020). Robust short-term electrical load forecasting framework for commercial buildings using deep recurrent neural networks. Applied Energy, 278, 115410.
  • Chen, Y., Xu, P., Chu, Y., Li, W., Wu, Y., Ni, L., ... & Wang, K. (2017). Short-term electrical load forecasting using the Support Vector Regression (SVR) model to calculate the demand response baseline for office buildings. Applied Energy, 195, 659-670.
  • Chernykh, I., Chechushkov, D., & Panikovskaya, T. (2014). The prediction of electric energy consumption using an artificial neural network. WIT Transactions on Ecology and the Environment, 190 VOLUME 1, 109–117. https://doi.org/10.2495/EQ140121
  • Fujiwara, T., & Ueda, Y. (2018). Load forecasting method for Commercial facilities by determination of working time and considering weather information. 7th International IEEE Conference on Renewable Energy Research and Applications, ICRERA 2018, 5, 336–341. https://doi.org/10.1109/ICRERA.2018.8567019
  • Huang, J., Jin, H., Xie, X., & Zhang, Q. (2007). Using NARX neural network based load prediction to improve scheduling decision in grid environments. In Third International Conference on Natural Computation (ICNC 2007) (Vol. 5, pp. 718-724). IEEE.
  • Kim, J., Moon, J., Hwang, E., & Kang, P. (2019). Recurrent inception convolution neural network for multi short-term load forecasting. Energy and buildings, 194, 328-341.
  • Li, C., Ding, Z., Zhao, D., Yi, J., & Zhang, G. (2017). Building energy consumption prediction: An extreme deep learning approach. Energies, 10(10), 1525.
  • Kuo, P. H., & Huang, C. J. (2018). A high precision artificial neural networks model for short-term energy load forecasting. Energies, 11(1), 213.
  • Ma, J., Qin, J., Salsbury, T., & Xu, P. (2012). Demand reduction in building energy systems based on economic model predictive control. Chemical Engineering Science, 67(1), 92–100. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ces.2011.07.052
  • Mena, R., Rodríguez, F., Castilla, M., & Arahal, M. R. (2014). A prediction model based on neural networks for the energy consumption of a bioclimatic building. Energy and Buildings, 82, 142–155. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enbuild.2014.06.052
  • Mocanu, E., Nguyen, P. H., Gibescu, M., & Kling, W. L. (2016). Deep learning for estimating building energy consumption. Sustainable Energy, Grids and Networks, 6, 91-99.
  • Molavi, H., & Ardehali, M. M. (2016). Utility demand response operation considering day-of-use tariff and optimal operation of thermal energy storage system for an industrial building based on particle swarm optimization algorithm. Energy and Buildings, 127, 920–929. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enbuild.2016.06.056
  • Owda, H. M. H., Omoniwa, B., Shahid, A. R., & Ziauddin, S. (2014). Using Artificial Neural Network Techniques for Prediction of Electric Energy Consumption. Retrieved from http://arxiv.org/abs/1412.2186
  • Rahman, A., Srikumar, V., & Smith, A. D. (2018). Predicting electricity consumption for commercial and residential buildings using deep recurrent neural networks. Applied energy, 212, 372-385.
  • Saatwong, P., & Suwankawin, S. (2016). Short-term electricity load forecasting for Building Energy Management System. 2016 13th International Conference on Electrical Engineering/Electronics, Computer, Telecommunications and Information Technology, ECTI-CON 2016. https://doi.org/10.1109/ECTICon.2016.7561477
  • Salahat, S. (2017). Short-Term Forecasting of Electricity Consumption in Palestine Using Artificial Neural Networks. International Journal of Artificial Intelligence & Applications, 8(2), 11–21. https://doi.org/10.5121/ijaia.2017.8202
  • Xu, L., Li, C., Xie, X., & Zhang, G. (2018). Long-short-term memory network based hybrid model for short-term electrical load forecasting. Information, 9(7), 165.
  • Yildiz, B., Bilbao, J. I., & Sproul, A. B. (2017). A review and analysis of regression and machine learning models on commercial building electricity load forecasting. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 73, 1104-1122.
There are 22 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language English
Subjects Electrical Engineering
Journal Section Articles
Authors

Mustafa Yasin Erten 0000-0002-5140-1213

Nihat İnanç 0000-0003-2989-6632

Publication Date December 31, 2021
Acceptance Date December 15, 2021
Published in Issue Year 2021 Volume: 5 Issue: 2

Cite

APA Erten, M. Y., & İnanç, N. (2021). Machine Learning Based Short Term Load Estimation in Commercial Buildings. International Scientific and Vocational Studies Journal, 5(2), 171-181. https://doi.org/10.47897/bilmes.1033438
AMA Erten MY, İnanç N. Machine Learning Based Short Term Load Estimation in Commercial Buildings. ISVOS. December 2021;5(2):171-181. doi:10.47897/bilmes.1033438
Chicago Erten, Mustafa Yasin, and Nihat İnanç. “Machine Learning Based Short Term Load Estimation in Commercial Buildings”. International Scientific and Vocational Studies Journal 5, no. 2 (December 2021): 171-81. https://doi.org/10.47897/bilmes.1033438.
EndNote Erten MY, İnanç N (December 1, 2021) Machine Learning Based Short Term Load Estimation in Commercial Buildings. International Scientific and Vocational Studies Journal 5 2 171–181.
IEEE M. Y. Erten and N. İnanç, “Machine Learning Based Short Term Load Estimation in Commercial Buildings”, ISVOS, vol. 5, no. 2, pp. 171–181, 2021, doi: 10.47897/bilmes.1033438.
ISNAD Erten, Mustafa Yasin - İnanç, Nihat. “Machine Learning Based Short Term Load Estimation in Commercial Buildings”. International Scientific and Vocational Studies Journal 5/2 (December 2021), 171-181. https://doi.org/10.47897/bilmes.1033438.
JAMA Erten MY, İnanç N. Machine Learning Based Short Term Load Estimation in Commercial Buildings. ISVOS. 2021;5:171–181.
MLA Erten, Mustafa Yasin and Nihat İnanç. “Machine Learning Based Short Term Load Estimation in Commercial Buildings”. International Scientific and Vocational Studies Journal, vol. 5, no. 2, 2021, pp. 171-8, doi:10.47897/bilmes.1033438.
Vancouver Erten MY, İnanç N. Machine Learning Based Short Term Load Estimation in Commercial Buildings. ISVOS. 2021;5(2):171-8.


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